AI Chatbots Sway Voters More Effectively Than Traditional Political Ads, New Studies Reveal

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Two landmark studies published in Nature and Science reveal that AI chatbots can shift voter opinions by up to 15 percentage points—far exceeding the impact of conventional political advertising. Researchers tested nearly 80,000 participants across multiple countries and found that chatbots persuade through factual information, but often spread misinformation, particularly when advocating for right-leaning candidates.

AI Chatbots Demonstrate Unprecedented Political Persuasion Capabilities

Two groundbreaking studies published simultaneously in Nature and Science journals have revealed that AI chatbots possess a remarkable ability to influence voters' attitudes, shifting candidate preferences far beyond what traditional political advertising achieves

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. The research, involving nearly 80,000 participants across the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, and Poland, demonstrates that conversational large language models can sway political opinions by 2-15 percentage points on a 0-100 scale—a stark contrast to the less than one percentage point shift typically produced by political advertising

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Source: Nature

Source: Nature

The studies examined 19 different AI models, including ChatGPT variants, xAI's Grok-3, DeepSeek, and Meta's Llama, testing their capacity for election influence across 707 political issues and multiple real-world elections

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. Researchers from the UK AI Security Institute, MIT, Stanford, Carnegie Mellon, and Cornell University collaborated to understand not just whether AI models can be persuasive, but what makes them effective at influencing voters' attitudes.

Factual Information Drives AI's Persuasive Power

The research reveals that AI chatbots achieve their persuasive impact primarily through flooding users with factual information rather than emotional appeals or storytelling

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. In experiments conducted before the 2024 US presidential election involving Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, more than 2,300 participants engaged in conversations with AI models designed to advocate for specific candidates. When chatbots focused on policy issues like the economy and health care, they proved significantly more effective than when concentrating on candidate personalities

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Donald Trump supporters who chatted with an AI model favoring Kamala Harris moved 3.9 points toward her on a 100-point scale, while Harris supporters shifted 2.3 points toward Trump when exposed to pro-Trump chatbots

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. The effects were even more pronounced in Canada and Poland, where participants' preferences shifted by approximately 10 points after conversing with the chatbots

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. David Rand, senior author of both studies and professor at Cornell University, noted he was "totally flabbergasted" by the magnitude of these effects

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Source: Nature

Source: Nature

Misinformation Amplifies Through Right-Leaning Advocacy

While factual information proved central to AI's persuasive power, the studies uncovered a troubling asymmetry: chatbots advocating for right-leaning candidates consistently delivered more inaccurate claims than those supporting left-leaning candidates

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. This pattern held across all three countries and multiple AI models. When researchers fact-checked thousands of statements produced by the chatbots, they found that while most were accurate, the pro-Trump model made significantly more inaccurate claims than models supporting other candidates

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Thomas Costello, a psychologist at American University who worked on the project, explained that the underlying models reproduce real-world phenomena, including "political communication that comes from the right, which tends to be less accurate" according to studies of partisan social media posts

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. Experiments in the UK involving nearly 77,000 participants revealed that people were equally swayed by true and false information presented by chatbots, raising concerns about democratic processes

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Source: MIT Tech Review

Source: MIT Tech Review

Fine-Tuning Matters More Than Model Size

Contrary to dystopian predictions about superhuman persuasion capabilities, the research found that raw computational power and model scale had surprisingly modest effects on persuasiveness

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. For every tenfold increase in computing power, persuasive abilities rose by only about 1.6 percentage points

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. What mattered far more was post-training interventions, particularly fine-tuning models to mimic effective persuasion patterns.

Models that received specialized fine-tuning for persuasion were up to 50% more effective than their untuned counterparts

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. Kobi Hackenburg, a researcher at the UK AI Security Institute, demonstrated that with appropriate persuasion post-training, a model trained on a laptop could match ChatGPT-4o's persuasion performance

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. The most persuasive configuration shifted participants who initially disagreed with a political statement by 26.1 points toward agreement

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Persistent Effects and Long-Term Implications

The studies revealed that roughly one-third of the persuasive effect persisted when participants were contacted a month later, contradicting assumptions that initial shifts would be volatile and inconsequential

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. This durability matters significantly for understanding potential election influence, as chatbots are now used by more than one hundred million users daily

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Lisa Argyle, a computational social scientist at Purdue University, warned that AI could become "a very dangerous thing" when people become more misinformed rather than informed

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. The findings raise urgent questions about safeguarding democratic processes. Stephan Lewandowsky, a cognitive scientist at the University of Bristol, emphasized the need to detect when large language models have been designed with particular ideologies and to prevent prompt engineering from creating antidemocratic persuasive agents

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