AMD's AI Chip Breakthrough: Challenging Nvidia's Dominance in the AI GPU Market

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

4 Sources

AMD's latest MI350 series chips are competing with Nvidia's Blackwell GPUs, leading to a significant stock upgrade and increased AI revenue projections.

AMD's Breakthrough in AI Chip Technology

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has made a significant leap in the artificial intelligence (AI) chip market with its latest MI350 series GPUs. This development has caught the attention of industry analysts and investors, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape in the AI hardware sector 12.

HSBC's Bullish Outlook on AMD

HSBC analyst Frank Lee has upgraded AMD's stock from "hold" to "buy," doubling the price target to $200. This represents a potential 44.5% upside for the stock 1. The upgrade is based on the performance of AMD's MI350 series, which is now considered comparable to Nvidia's Blackwell line, specifically the HGX B200 AI GPU 2.

MI350 Series: A Game-Changer for AMD

The MI350 series, launched during AMD's June 12 Advancing AI event, includes the Instinct MI350X and Instinct MI355X 1. These chips offer significant performance upgrades, with AMD claiming four times more computing power than the previous generation 2. The pricing premium for these chips is higher than initially expected, which could drive earnings upside in 2025 and 2026 2.

Source: CNBC

Source: CNBC

Competitive Pricing and Performance

HSBC now believes that the average selling price (ASP) for the MI355 could reach $25,000, up from the previous assumption of $15,000 1. This pricing strategy, combined with performance comparable to Nvidia's offerings, positions AMD strongly in the AI GPU market 3.

Future Prospects: MI400 Series and Helios AI Rack

AMD is not stopping at the MI350 series. The company plans to release its full-server Helios AI rack in 2026, built on the next-gen Instinct MI400 Series GPUs 1. This upcoming release is expected to compete with Nvidia's next-generation Vera Rubin platform, scheduled for the second half of 2026 2.

Market Response and Financial Projections

Following the upgrade, AMD's stock saw a significant boost, with shares rising more than 4% in early trading 24. HSBC has revised its fiscal year 2026 AI revenue projections for AMD to $15.1 billion, a 57% increase from the current consensus of $9.6 billion 3.

Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Industry Implications and Competition

While AMD is making strides, Nvidia remains a formidable competitor. Nvidia briefly became the world's most valuable company with a market cap exceeding $4 trillion 2. However, AMD's progress in the AI chip market suggests a potential shift in the competitive dynamics of the industry 4.

Cautionary Notes

Despite the optimistic outlook, some analysts remain cautious. Truist Securities maintains a "Hold" rating, citing uncertainty about whether some customers are buying AMD's GPUs primarily to push back on Nvidia's pricing power 3. Additionally, competition from ARM-based rivals in the server and PC CPU markets presents ongoing challenges for AMD 3.

Source: The Motley Fool

Source: The Motley Fool

As the AI hardware battle intensifies, AMD's recent advancements and positive market reception indicate a promising future for the company in the rapidly evolving AI technology landscape.

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