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The end of an era -- DDR4 production to essentially end this year, Micron the final domino to fall
Micron finally sent official notices to its customers that its DDR4 memory will finally reach end of life (EOL). According to Digitimes, shipments for these memory chips will gradually decline over the next six to nine months. The top memory chip makers have been planning to end DDR4 production due to increasing competition from Chinese memory makers that have been flooding the market with more affordable alternatives. Now, with Micron confirming its plans to shelve the tech, the world's top three manufacturers are off the board. Samsung said in April that it's already going to stop making DDR4 chips this year and focus instead on the higher-end and more profitable DDR5, LPDDR5, and HBM memory. And even though Chinese memory maker CXMT just reached peak DDR4 production, reports say that it's also pivoting towards DDR5 and HBM chips. Despite multiple companies ending production of DDR4 memory, demand is still seemingly high for these chips. DDR4 prices continue to surge in the open market, with rates jumping by as much as 50% in May. Micron Chief Business Officer Sumit Sadana told Digitimes that the company expects DDR4 to suffer from major supply gaps, and that it could get to the point that DDR4 becomes more expensive than DDR5/LPDDR5 chips. Because of this, Micron is urging its customers to upgrade to next-generation memory, especially as these chips are becoming more affordable. Nevertheless, the company will reserve some DDR4/LPDDR4 supply for its long-term customers in automotive, industrial, and network applications -- industries that prioritize reliability and a steady supply over the faster speeds. On the other hand, PC and mobile devices are expected to have a modest increase in demand, especially as AI features are becoming more commonplace. This would require an increase in base memory configurations -- for example, Apple finally ditched the 8GB MacBook Air, which it famously once said is equivalent to 16GB of RAM in Windows, so that it would have enough memory to run Apple Intelligence. Smartphones have now also started moving from the usual 8GBs of RAM to 12GB and 16GB for some models. We expect mainstream DDR4 production to eventually come to an end, especially as hardware manufacturers increasingly switch to DDR5, which offers better margins. However, there is still massive demand for DDR4 memory, meaning it will be harder and more expensive to find these chips. Smaller players will likely step in and take advantage of this opportunity, but they might not have the scale and experience that the major memory chip manufacturers have, resulting in a drop in quality and long-term reliability.
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Micron Announces Discontinuation Of DDR4 Memory: Demand Is Still There But Prices Will Likely Surge
With the discontinuation of DDR4 production by Micron, Chinese players such as CXMT will take care of the demand, but prices are still likely to increase in the coming months. Major memory manufacturers have shown interest in transitioning to newer memories like DDR5 and LPDDR5 due to their booming demand and more profits. To fulfill the demand, companies like Samsung and SK Hynix have freed up some of their manufacturing capacity by drastically dropping the production of DDR4 memories. While DDR4 production is still ongoing, it will halt significantly in the next few months. Samsung recently announced that it is dropping DDR4 production in favor of the latest DDR5 memories, and now Micron has announced that it is halting the mass production of DDR4 in the coming months. According to Digitimes, the production will continue but will drop drastically before the end of this year. This leaves the burden on other smaller players, such as CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies), which has rapidly ramped up DDR4 production in recent years. Taiwanese memory makers such as Winbond and Nanya have also expanded their DDR4 fabs, ensuring they can fill the gaps when the memory giants, such as Samsung and Micron, exit the DDR4 market. The decision to stop DDR4 production didn't come due to lower demand but due to transitioning to faster and newer memories. DDR5, LPDDR5, and HBM memories are more lucrative for these giants, and they have been ramping up their production to fulfill the demands of their clients and consumers. Micron has just started sampling its next-gen HBM4 memory to its clients, offering an incredible 2048-bit interface for AI servers. DDR4 seems no longer as profitable as these faster memories, which is why DDR4 production will dwindle drastically this year. Smaller players will have to fill these supply gaps as the demand for DDR4 still exists and will remain in the near future, since millions of DDR4-compatible systems still exist. And while the DDR4 made by Chinese manufacturers is cheaper, the Chief Business Officer of Micron, Sumit Sadana, says that the DDR4 will suffer major supply gaps, which will eventually result in more expensive DDR4 memories than DDR5 and LPDDR5.
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Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix are phasing out DDR4 memory production, focusing on newer technologies like DDR5 and HBM. This shift is expected to cause supply gaps and potential price surges in the DDR4 market.
The computer hardware industry is witnessing a significant shift as major memory manufacturers announce the discontinuation of DDR4 memory production. Micron, the last of the top three manufacturers to make this move, has officially notified its customers that DDR4 memory will reach end of life (EOL) status 1. This decision follows similar announcements from Samsung and SK Hynix, marking the end of an era for this widely used memory technology.
Source: Wccftech
The primary driver behind this industry-wide transition is the increasing competition from Chinese memory makers flooding the market with more affordable alternatives. Major manufacturers are pivoting towards higher-end and more profitable technologies such as DDR5, LPDDR5, and HBM memory 1. These newer technologies offer better margins and are in growing demand, especially with the rise of AI features in various devices.
Despite the production halt, demand for DDR4 memory remains high. This mismatch between supply and demand has already led to price surges, with rates jumping by as much as 50% in May 1. Micron's Chief Business Officer, Sumit Sadana, warns of potential major supply gaps, suggesting that DDR4 could become more expensive than its newer counterparts 2.
As major players exit the DDR4 market, smaller manufacturers and Chinese companies are expected to fill the void. Taiwanese memory makers like Winbond and Nanya have expanded their DDR4 production capabilities, while Chinese manufacturer CXMT has ramped up its operations 2. However, concerns remain about the quality and long-term reliability of DDR4 memory produced by these smaller players compared to the established giants.
The transition away from DDR4 will have varying impacts across different industries. Micron plans to maintain some DDR4/LPDDR4 supply for long-term customers in automotive, industrial, and network applications, where reliability and steady supply are prioritized over speed 1. Meanwhile, the PC and mobile device sectors are expected to see a modest increase in demand, driven by the need for higher base memory configurations to support AI features.
While mainstream DDR4 production is winding down, the technology is far from obsolete. Millions of DDR4-compatible systems remain in use, ensuring continued demand for the foreseeable future 2. However, as major manufacturers shift their focus to newer technologies, consumers and businesses alike may need to prepare for potential challenges in sourcing DDR4 memory and consider upgrading to newer memory standards in the coming years.
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