Nvidia Faces $10.5 Billion Revenue Hit from H20 Chip Export Restrictions Amid Record Q1 Earnings

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

62 Sources

Nvidia reports record Q1 FY2026 revenue of $44.1 billion but faces significant losses due to U.S. export restrictions on its H20 AI chips to China. The company expects a $10.5 billion revenue hit in the first half of FY2026 while transitioning to its new Blackwell architecture.

Nvidia's Record-Breaking Q1 Performance

Nvidia reported a stellar first quarter for its fiscal year 2026, with revenue reaching $44.062 billion, marking a 69% increase year-over-year and a 12% rise quarter-over-quarter 2. This performance was primarily driven by the surging global demand for AI infrastructure, with the company's data center revenue setting a new record of $39.112 billion 2.

Impact of U.S. Export Restrictions on H20 Chips

Source: pcgamer

Source: pcgamer

Despite the strong overall performance, Nvidia faces significant challenges due to the Trump administration's recent chip export restrictions. The company reported a $4.5 billion charge in Q1 related to licensing requirements impacting its ability to sell H20 AI chips to companies in China 1. Additionally, Nvidia was unable to ship an additional $2.5 billion of H20 revenue in the quarter due to these restrictions 1.

Projected Revenue Loss and Future Outlook

The impact of the export restrictions is expected to continue into Q2, with Nvidia forecasting an $8 billion hit to the company's revenue 1. In total, the export controls are projected to cost Nvidia $10.5 billion in lost revenues for the first half of the 2026 fiscal year 3. Despite these challenges, Nvidia expects Q2 revenue of approximately $45.0 billion ± 2% 2.

Transition to Blackwell Architecture

Source: Inc. Magazine

Source: Inc. Magazine

Nvidia highlighted the strong momentum in its new Blackwell-based systems, with the NVL72 GB200 machines ramping to full-scale production during the quarter 2. CEO Jensen Huang stated, "Our breakthrough Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer -- a 'thinking machine' designed for reasoning -- is now in full-scale production across system makers and cloud service providers" 2. Blackwell contributed nearly 70% of data center compute revenue in the quarter 3.

Gaming and Other Segments

Nvidia's gaming products achieved record-breaking revenue of $3.8 billion, a 48% increase from the previous quarter and a 42% rise year-over-year 2. The professional visualization business reported revenue of $509 million, while the automotive and robotics segment earned $567 million 2.

Geopolitical Implications and Future Strategies

Source: The Motley Fool

Source: The Motley Fool

CEO Jensen Huang expressed concerns about the potential backfire of U.S. trade policies, stating, "China's AI moves on with or without US chips. The question is not whether China will have AI; It already does. The question is whether one of the world's largest AI markets will run on American platforms" 3. Nvidia is exploring limited ways to compete in the Chinese market, including the potential development of a cut-down version of its RTX Pro 6000 cards for Chinese buyers 3.

Market Response and Future Outlook

Despite the challenges posed by export restrictions, Nvidia's stock rose nearly 5% in after-hours trading 3. The company aims to reach mid-70% gross margins later in the year, reflecting an improving product mix and normalization after the Q1 inventory charge related to unsellable H20 units 2. Nvidia continues to see strong demand for its AI infrastructure, with major hyperscalers each deploying nearly 72,000 Blackwell GPUs per week 3.

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