Nvidia Poised to Weather Tariff Storm with AI Focus, Says Analyst

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Redburn Atlantic maintains a buy rating on Nvidia, citing the company's resilience in AI and chipmaking investments despite tariff uncertainties. The firm sets a $178 price target, reflecting a 61% upside.

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Nvidia's Resilience Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Nvidia, the artificial intelligence chip giant, is expected to weather the storm of tariff uncertainties and potential semiconductor industry slowdown, according to a recent analysis by Redburn Atlantic. The firm maintains a buy rating on Nvidia and has named it a top pick for investors once the sector's turbulence subsides 12.

Analyst Insights and Price Target

Redburn Atlantic analyst Timm Schulze-Melander set a price target of $178 for Nvidia, indicating a substantial 61% upside from Monday's closing price. This optimistic outlook comes despite Nvidia's shares falling more than 20% over the past couple of months due to increasing concerns over President Donald Trump's tariff policy 1.

Schulze-Melander stated, "We expect corporate narratives on end markets to strike a cautious tone, pointing to macro uncertainty and potential demand softening. We assess that leading-edge AI and chipmaking investment will prove to be more resilient" 1.

AI Focus and Strategic Investments

Nvidia's resilience can be attributed to its strategic focus on AI infrastructure. The company recently announced plans to develop $500 billion in AI-related infrastructure across the United States over the next four years, signaling a significant shift in its global supply strategy 2.

President Donald Trump praised CEO Jensen Huang and credited the tariff policies for driving Nvidia's massive commitment to build AI infrastructure in the United States. This aligns with Trump's upcoming tariff plan on imported semiconductors, emphasizing the desire to manufacture semiconductors domestically 2.

Potential Risks and Industry Impact

While Redburn Atlantic maintains a positive outlook on Nvidia, they acknowledge potential risks. Schulze-Melander noted that a slowdown in AI innovation would pose a greater threat to Nvidia's outlook than a U.S. economic decline, as it could impact the recovery of global PC and handset sales, which collectively account for 35% of global semiconductor sales 12.

The analyst added, "This could undermine accelerated compute investment plans, which would be an incremental negative for DRAM, GPU, CPU and networking chip suppliers. This would have implications along the entire length of the semiconductor supply chain, not just at Nvidia" 1.

Data Center Modernization as a Resilient Factor

Despite potential headwinds, Schulze-Melander expects strategically important data center modernization to be among the last areas to face budget cuts. This factor is expected to provide resilience compared to the broader semiconductor cycle 12.

Wall Street Sentiment

The majority of Wall Street analysts remain bullish on Nvidia. According to LSEG data, 57 out of 63 analysts have a strong buy or buy rating on the stock, with only six maintaining a neutral stance. The average price target stands at approximately $169, implying more than 53% upside potential 1.

As the semiconductor industry navigates through uncertain waters of tariff policies and potential slowdowns, Nvidia's focus on AI and data center modernization appears to position it favorably in the eyes of analysts and investors alike.

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