Nvidia's Stock Rebounds After DeepSeek Scare, But AI Chip Market Faces New Challenges

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On Thu, 13 Feb, 12:09 AM UTC

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Nvidia's stock has largely recovered from the January selloff triggered by Chinese AI startup DeepSeek, but lingering concerns about AI chip demand and emerging competitors persist in the rapidly evolving AI market.

Nvidia's Stock Recovers from DeepSeek Shock

Nvidia, the leading AI chipmaker, has seen its stock rebound significantly following a dramatic selloff in January 2025. The company's shares plummeted by more than 17% in a single day, wiping out approximately $590 billion in market value, after Chinese AI startup DeepSeek claimed to have developed high-performance AI models at a lower computational cost 1. This event, which also impacted the broader tech sector, raised concerns about potential disruptions to Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market.

The Road to Recovery

Despite initial fears, Nvidia's stock has shown remarkable resilience. As of February 2025, the company's shares have regained about 90% of their lost value, trading at around $140 per share 2. While still below its January 7th peak of $153.13, the rapid recovery demonstrates continued investor confidence in Nvidia's long-term prospects.

Global AI Investments Bolster Nvidia's Position

The recovery has been supported by announcements of significant AI investments worldwide:

  1. The European Commission plans to mobilize €200 billion for investment, including a €20 billion fund for AI gigafactories 1.
  2. South Korea intends to purchase 10,000 high-performance GPUs, including Nvidia's H100 and H200 models 1.
  3. Major tech companies like Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet expect substantial increases in capital expenditures for AI infrastructure 4.

Strategic Portfolio Adjustments

Nvidia has made strategic changes to its investment portfolio, which have been well-received by investors:

  1. Reduced its stake in Arm Holdings by 44%, potentially due to Arm's move towards creating its own processors 3.
  2. New investments in WeRide, an autonomous vehicle technology leader, and Nebius Group, an AI technology company 3.

Challenges and Future Outlook

Despite the recovery, some challenges remain:

  1. Concerns persist about potential slowdowns in demand for high-end chips due to emerging competitors like DeepSeek 5.
  2. The transition to Nvidia's new Blackwell processor family may cause a temporary growth slowdown 4.
  3. Analysts predict weaker sequential revenue gains in the data center sector compared to previous quarters 4.

As Nvidia prepares to announce its fourth-quarter earnings on February 26, 2025, the market eagerly anticipates insights into the company's performance and future strategies in the evolving AI chip landscape.

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