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Tesla posts first annual revenue drop as Musk bets on robots
Elon thinks taxis and androids will succeed where car sales are stalling Tesla reported 2025 revenue of $94.8 billion, down 3 percent year-on-year and marking the first annual revenue decline since the electric car maker began publishing financial results in 2010. Quarterly revenue slipped to $24.9 billion, also down 3 percent year-on-year, even as the company narrowly beat analysts' expectations. Automotive revenue fell 11 percent to $17.7 billion in the quarter after Tesla delivered 418,227 cars in the final three months of 2025 - a 15.6 percent drop on the same period a year earlier. For the year as a whole, deliveries were down 8.6 percent, the second straight annual decline in units and the steepest Tesla has ever reported. The slide comes as the EV market gets more crowded and less forgiving, with cheaper rivals such as China's BYD pushing harder on price and volume. It has also arrived at an awkward moment politically, with Musk's ties to Donald Trump sparking backlash among some customers and investors and muddying Tesla's once carefully managed image. Net income plunged 61 percent in the quarter to $840 million as operating expenses jumped 39 percent. For the year, profits fell 46 percent to $3.8 billion, Tesla's weakest annual performance since the depths of the pandemic. Musk used the earnings call to roll out a freshly polished mission statement built around "amazing abundance," arguing that advances in AI and robotics will reshape society - and, in his telling, deliver "universal high income" rather than basic income. The billionaire's answer is to sideline the cars that helped build Tesla in the first place. Production of the Model S and X is to wind down next quarter, with their Fremont factory space handed over to Optimus. Musk described the move as "slightly sad," while sketching a future where the site produces up to a million humanoid robots a year instead. Autonomy remains the central obsession. Musk claims Tesla is now running paid robotaxi rides in Austin with "no safety monitor" and, more recently, "no chase car or anything like that," insisting that vehicles are operating with no humans involved at all. Tesla expects to have fully autonomous vehicles operating across as much as half of the US by the end of the year, pending regulatory approval. Musk also dusted off a long-running promise: that Tesla owners will one day be able to loan their cars to an autonomous fleet and make money while they're not driving them. In the rosiest version of the math, he suggested, that income could even exceed the cost of a lease. The purpose-built Cybercab is central to that plan. Designed without a steering wheel or pedals, it assumes autonomy will work all the time or not at all. Production is expected to begin in April, with Musk predicting that, over time, Tesla will make "far more Cybercabs than all of our other vehicles combined." All this will require cash that Tesla is no longer generating at the same rate. While capital spending fell 14 percent in the fourth quarter, the company warned that 2026 capex will exceed $20 billion as it funds new factories, expands battery production, builds AI compute infrastructure, and ramps up manufacturing for Cybercab, Semi, Megapack, and Optimus. Musk even floated the idea of Tesla building its own semiconductor "Terafab," arguing it would be "crazy not to try" given looming chip shortages and geopolitical risk. For Tesla, the warning lights are on. Revenue is shrinking, profits are under pressure, and the car business is losing momentum. Musk's answer is to proclaim that "the future is autonomous," and the market appears to have bought the story. ®
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How Tesla Is Betting on Robotaxis and Robots as EV Sales Slump
Tesla Inc. is facing a difficult road ahead after deliveries of its fully electric vehicles declined for a second year in a row and were overtaken by Chinese rival BYD Co. on an annual basis for the first time. The slump reflects heightened competition, the end of US tax credits for EV purchases and backlash against the polarizing politics of Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk. Despite those headwinds, investors remain buoyant, keeping Tesla's market capitalization hovering around $1.5 trillion. They're increasingly looking beyond human-driven EVs in the here and now, instead betting on what Musk sees as the firm's true-calling: self-driving cars and humanoid robots, powered by artificial intelligence.
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Tesla reported its first annual revenue decline since 2010, with 2025 revenue falling 3% to $94.8 billion amid an 8.6% drop in vehicle deliveries. As the EV sales slump deepens, Elon Musk is doubling down on a radical pivot—shutting down Model S and X production to make room for Optimus humanoid robots and launching the steering wheel-free Cybercab robotaxi by April 2026.
Tesla has posted its first annual revenue decline since it began publishing financial results in 2010, with 2025 revenue dropping 3% year-over-year to $94.8 billion
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. The downturn marks a significant inflection point for the electric vehicle maker, as quarterly revenue also slipped to $24.9 billion, down 3% despite narrowly beating analyst expectations. Automotive revenue took the hardest hit, falling 11% to $17.7 billion in the fourth quarter after Tesla delivered just 418,227 cars—a 15.6% drop compared to the same period a year earlier1
. For the full year, deliveries declined 8.6%, representing the second consecutive annual decline and the steepest drop Tesla has ever reported1
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Source: Bloomberg
The EV sales slump reflects mounting pressure from an increasingly crowded EV market, where Chinese rival BYD Co. has overtaken Tesla on an annual basis for the first time
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. Cheaper competitors are pushing aggressively on price and volume, while the end of US tax credits for EV purchases has further dampened demand2
. Adding to Tesla's challenges, Elon Musk's political ties to Donald Trump have sparked backlash among some customers and investors, muddying the company's once carefully managed brand image1
.Net income plunged 61% in the fourth quarter to $840 million as operating expenses jumped 39%
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. For the full year, profits fell 46% to $3.8 billion, marking Tesla's weakest annual performance since the pandemic1
. Despite these troubling financial metrics, investors remain buoyant, keeping Tesla's market capitalization hovering around $1.5 trillion2
. This confidence stems from a growing belief that Tesla's future lies not in traditional vehicles but in artificial intelligence-powered autonomy and robotics.During the earnings call, Elon Musk unveiled a freshly polished mission statement centered on "amazing abundance," arguing that advances in AI and robotics will fundamentally reshape society and deliver "universal high income" rather than basic income
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. His answer to Tesla's current struggles involves sidelining the cars that built the company in the first place. Production of the Model S and X will wind down next quarter, with their Fremont factory space repurposed for manufacturing Optimus humanoid robots1
. Musk described the move as "slightly sad" while sketching a future where the site produces up to a million robots annually1
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Source: The Register
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Autonomy remains Musk's central obsession. He claims Tesla is now running paid robotaxi rides in Austin with "no safety monitor" and more recently "no chase car or anything like that," insisting vehicles operate with no human involvement whatsoever
1
. Tesla expects to have fully autonomous vehicles operating across as much as half of the US by year-end, pending regulatory approval1
.The purpose-built Cybercab sits at the heart of this vision. Designed without a steering wheel or pedals, it assumes autonomy will work flawlessly or not at all
1
. Production is expected to begin in April, with Musk predicting Tesla will eventually manufacture "far more Cybercabs than all of our other vehicles combined"1
. Musk also revived a long-standing promise that Tesla owners will one day loan their self-driving cars to an autonomous fleet, potentially earning income that could exceed lease costs1
.This ambitious pivot requires substantial capital that Tesla is no longer generating at previous rates. While capital spending fell 14% in the fourth quarter, the company warned that 2026 capex will exceed $20 billion as it funds new factories, expands battery production, builds AI compute infrastructure, and ramps up manufacturing for Cybercab, Semi, Megapack, and Optimus
1
. Musk even floated building Tesla's own semiconductor "Terafab," arguing it would be "crazy not to try" given looming chip shortages and geopolitical risk1
.Investors are increasingly looking beyond human-driven EVs, instead betting on what Musk positions as Tesla's true calling: self-driving cars and humanoid robots powered by artificial intelligence
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. Whether this gamble pays off remains uncertain as revenue shrinks, profits face pressure, and the core automotive business loses momentum1
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