AI Agents Create New Fraud Battleground as Chargebacks and Scams Surge in Autonomous Commerce

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AI agents now handle autonomous shopping, but this convenience creates a murky new frontier for fraud and chargebacks. Friendly fraud surged from 15% to 36% of all fraud in 2024, while scam-related losses jumped 121% year-over-year. As agents execute purchases with minimal human oversight, merchants face unprecedented challenges proving consumer intent and fighting disputes in this new commerce landscape.

AI Agents Execute Purchases, But Who Bears Responsibility?

The infrastructure for autonomous shopping has moved from theoretical to operational, and AI agents can now browse products, compare options, fill shopping carts, and complete transactions on behalf of consumers—all stemming from a single moment of consent granted at the outset

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. This shift introduces a fundamental question that will define the next era of commerce disputes: when an AI agent makes a purchase, where does consumer intent begin and end?

Consider a scenario unfolding in homes today. A consumer asks their AI assistant to find a highly-rated vitamin C serum. The agent searches, compares reviews, identifies a top-rated option with a subscription model, and presents it. The consumer approves with a tap. The product page clearly disclosed monthly shipments and cancellation terms—the agent processed that information. But did the consumer fully absorb it? A month later, when the second shipment arrives, the consumer doesn't remember signing up for ongoing deliveries and files a chargeback

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. This represents a purchase made with reduced cognitive intent, where consumer agency was diluted by the speed and efficiency of the agent acting on their behalf.

Chargeback Fraud Surges as Psychological Distance Grows

According to LexisNexis Risk Solutions' analysis of over 104 billion global transactions, first-party misuse and friendly fraud jumped from 15 percent of all fraud in 2023 to 36 percent in 2024, representing a significant swing in global fraud patterns

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. Agentic commerce amplifies this trend by increasing the psychological distance between consumers and merchants. The consumer didn't visit the merchant's website, scroll through product pages, or manually enter payment details. The transaction happened somewhere else, orchestrated by something else.

This distance creates both more cardholder confusion about descriptors on credit card statements and less remorse to falsely claim "I didn't authorize that" or "I didn't receive what I expected"

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. The browsing happens through protocol layers—Google's Universal Commerce Protocol, Microsoft's Copilot Checkout, Shopify's multi-protocol infrastructure, PayPal's abstraction layer—and merchants may never have direct contact with the buyer at any point in the transaction lifecycle

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Scam-Driven Fraud Accelerates Across Financial Systems

While chargeback fraud presents one challenge, scam-driven fraud introduces another dimension entirely. PYMNTS Intelligence data reveals that scams recently accounted for 23% of fraudulent transactions reported by financial institutions, following a 56% year-over-year rise. More concerning, the share of dollars lost due to scams increased by 121%

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. These situations reflect a common weakness in modern fraud prevention: the transactions are authorized, credentials are valid, and behavior appears reasonable when viewed in isolation. The deception occurs at the level of human judgment rather than system breach.

Financial institutions are feeling the strain. PYMNTS Intelligence finds that 40% of financial institutions lost more money to fraud, while 38% experienced higher fraud volumes

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. Instant payment rails intensify this pressure because settlement windows are compressed and reversals become more difficult. Deloitte has projected significant growth in authorized push payment fraud as instant payment adoption expands

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Evidentiary Challenges Mount for Merchants Fighting Disputes

For merchants, fighting chargebacks has always required evidence: proof of delivery, records of customer communication, documentation of transaction authorization. In traditional e-commerce, that trail exists in server logs, email confirmations, and checkout flows. In agentic commerce, the evidentiary landscape fragments

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. Consumer intent is expressed to an AI assistant, and when disputes arrive, merchants face a new question: where is the evidence that the consumer authorized this specific purchase with this specific scope?

Evidence traces are critical post-purchase—not just for merchants, but for the entire ecosystem to have visibility into what cardholders consented to, what was disclosed, and what the cardholder understood at the moment of approval. But collecting that data is only half the challenge. The other half is transforming it into tailored, scenario-specific evidence, which requires smart automation rather than simply automated templates

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Continuous Risk Assessment Emerges as Defense Strategy

Agentic artificial intelligence introduces a different operational posture for battling fraud. Instead of evaluating risk at fixed points, these systems observe and assess continuously throughout the transaction lifecycle

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. An agent can evaluate behavioral patterns as a customer navigates a payment session, correlating device attributes, session dynamics, historical activity, and contextual anomalies as risk signals evolve. Decisions are refined while the interaction unfolds, and intervention does not inherently require interruption.

Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

This capability addresses a longstanding tension in fraud prevention: stronger controls have historically translated into broader friction. Agentic systems enable more selective responses, with risk evaluation occurring in parallel with the payment flow

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. Authentication frameworks may adjust using credentials already present in the session, and contextual confirmations appear as routine security checks rather than alerts.

Investment Patterns Reflect Industry Urgency

The industry's investment patterns reflect mounting pressures. PYMNTS Intelligence reports that 26% of financial institutions added behavioral analytics capabilities in the past year, while 76% are deploying or planning new fraud technologies

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. Confidence in faster payments is also rising, with 98% of financial institutions believing that faster payment experiences can be offered without compromising security.

Yet adoption challenges remain material. Cost pressures continue to dominate investment decisions, with 83% of financial institutions citing cost as a constraint on fraud-prevention upgrades

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. Governance demands also expand as continuous decisioning introduces model-risk considerations, auditability requirements, and accountability questions. As PYMNTS CEO Karen Webster noted, data from last month indicates that 41% of consumers used dedicated AI platforms for product discovery, and agent-enabled shopping may equate to more than $5 trillion in spending activity

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. These consumers aren't layering AI on top of old habits—they're moving forward entirely, leaving traditional commerce models behind.

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