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On Fri, 20 Dec, 8:02 AM UTC
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[1]
AI can't do your Christmas shopping just yet -- but next year might be different
I'm a computer scientist and a bad Christmas shopper. Over the weekend, I wondered whether AI systems might be able to help me out. Could I just prompt ChatGPT to pick a personalized gift for my cousin Johnny and have it shipped in time to reach him? Alas, the cheerful chatbot couldn't help, telling me it "can't make purchases or handle shipping directly." In the two years since ChatGPT launched, we have seen wave after wave of AI products and features promising to save us from mundane tasks. Yet so far, gift shopping is beyond them -- apart from the odd built-in chatbot on a shopping site or app. However, things may be different by next Christmas. One thing many experts expect in 2025 is the rise of AI agents: bots that can take actions on your behalf in the real world. Agents are already here An AI agent can do more than just suggest where you can get a Santa suit. It can buy it for you and have it delivered to your door. And the vision for "agentic AI" is that teams of AI agents will work together. You would give your team of agents a prompt: "I'm cooking Christmas dinner this year. Find my closest Facebook friends, send them invites, make sure one of them is a chef and tell them to bring the turkey." The agents would sort it all, without you ever having to lift a finger. Crucially, AI agents should have the ability to coordinate across multiple websites. In fact, limited AI agents are already here. A report by AI developer Langchain claims 51% of respondents to its survey already use AI agents in production. In 2024, venture funds invested an estimated US$1.8 billion in AI agent projects. Deloitte's latest Global Predictions Report argues 25% of companies that use generative AI will launch agentic AI projects in 2025. We are also seeing agents for consumers beginning to emerge. These are systems that could potentially automate many browser-based tasks (including shopping). In October, Anthropic -- the company behind the popular Claude generative AI bot -- released a "computer use" feature that allows the AI to take over a user's mouse and keyboard to browse and take actions on any website. Education expert Leon Furze created a demo using computer use to automatically browse to a learning management system, open the page for an assignment, create text for the assignment, and click the submit button. All done automatically from a single text prompt. More recently, Google Deepmind released its own version, Project Mariner, which similarly allows an AI to autonomously navigate and carry out actions in the Chrome browser. Both these systems are still early versions, with Project Mariner only available to a trusted set of testers. But they hint at what's to come. You can't use either of these tools today to automate your Christmas shopping -- at least, not easily. So what would be needed to make a truly useful Christmas shopping AI agent? The technology exists The technology side of a shopping agent is relatively straightforward. As a user, I might want to give a prompt such as "Send photo gifts to my family in England. Select some fun family photos from my phone, search for a website that does photo gifts, order appropriate gifts for each family member, and send using my address book." Executing this would require multiple AI agents: one to find the photos, one to find the shopping sites, one to personalize the gifts, a credit card agent to buy them, and an address-finding agent. Whether through computer use, Project Mariner, or some other AI agent platform, there is no technological reason why this can't be done today. The trust problem However, there are two significant barriers to making AI agents useful. First, and most obvious, is trust. Would you trust an AI agent with your credit card details? Despite two years of advances in AI since ChatGPT, hallucinations -- where the AI doesn't know an answer and so simply makes something up -- are still a problem. A recent study showed that even in AI programming -- one of the most popular and valuable uses of AI -- 52% of AI-generated answers to coding questions contained errors. It only takes one error from the AI to send Aunty Molly's gift to Uncle Joe. And let's just hope it's a harmless error such as poor gift matching, not leaking your bank account details. What agents need to know The second and less obvious barrier is that for AI agents to be useful, they need to understand context. Even with something relatively simple like buying gifts, context is everything. I have years of knowledge about what my mother likes. I won't always get it right, but I'll do a lot better than a generic AI response. This knowledge is usually tacit and there's simply no way ChatGPT can have access to the rich history of human interactions that lead to that perfect gift. Having said that, AI bots are already recording information about their users. To prove this, just ask ChatGPT, "What do you know about me?" Depending on your settings, you might be surprised by the answer. Perhaps at some point the AI systems we use regularly will know enough about us and our family that Christmas shopping can be fully automated.
[2]
AI can't do your Christmas shopping just yet - but next year might be different
In the two years since ChatGPT launched, we have seen wave after wave of AI products and features promising to save us from mundane tasks. Yet so far, gift shopping is beyond them - apart from the odd built-in chatbot on a shopping site or app. However, things may be different by next Christmas. One thing many experts expect in 2025 is the rise of AI agents: bots that can take actions on your behalf in the real world.I'm a computer scientist and a bad Christmas shopper. Over the weekend, I wondered whether AI systems might be able to help me out. Could I just prompt ChatGPT to pick a personalised gift for my cousin Johnny and have it shipped in time to reach him? Alas, the cheerful chatbot couldn't help, telling me it "can't make purchases or handle shipping directly". In the two years since ChatGPT launched, we have seen wave after wave of AI products and features promising to save us from mundane tasks. Yet so far, gift shopping is beyond them - apart from the odd built-in chatbot on a shopping site or app. However, things may be different by next Christmas. One thing many experts expect in 2025 is the rise of AI agents: bots that can take actions on your behalf in the real world. Agents are already here An AI agent can do more than just suggest where you can get a Santa suit. It can buy it for you and have it delivered to your door. And the vision for "agentic AI" is that teams of AI agents will work together. You would give your team of agents a prompt: I'm cooking Christmas dinner this year. Find my closest Facebook friends, send them invites, make sure one of them is a chef and tell them to bring the turkey. The agents would sort it all, without you ever having to lift a finger. Crucially, AI agents should have the ability to coordinate across multiple websites. In fact, limited AI agents are already here. A report by AI developer Langchain claims 51% of respondents to its survey already use AI agents in production. In 2024, venture funds invested an estimated US$1.8 billion in AI agent projects. Deloitte's latest Global Predictions Report argues 25% of companies that use generative AI will launch agentic AI projects in 2025. Research firm Gartner predicts that by 2028, 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made by AI agents. Agents for everybody? We are also seeing agents for consumers beginning to emerge. These are systems that could potentially automate many browser-based tasks (including shopping). In October, Anthropic - the company behind the popular Claude generative AI bot - released a "computer use" feature that allows the AI to take over a user's mouse and keyboard to browse and take actions on any website. Education expert Leon Furze created a demo using computer use to automatically browse to a learning management system, open the page for an assignment, create text for the assignment, and click the submit button. All done automatically from a single text prompt. More recently, Google Deepmind released its own version, Project Mariner, which similarly allows an AI to autonomously navigate and carry out actions in the Chrome browser. Both these systems are still early versions, with Project Mariner only available to a trusted set of testers. But they hint at what's to come. You can't use either of these tools today to automate your Christmas shopping - at least, not easily. So what would be needed to make a truly useful Christmas shopping AI agent? The technology exists The technology side of a shopping agent is relatively straightforward. As a user, I might want to give a prompt such as Send photo gifts to my family in England. Select some fun family photos from my phone, search for a website that does photo gifts, order appropriate gifts for each family member, and send using my address book. Executing this would require multiple AI agents: one to find the photos, one to find the shopping sites, one to personalise the gifts, a credit card agent to buy them, and an address-finding agent. Whether through computer use, Project Mariner, or some other AI agent platform, there is no technological reason why this can't be done today. The trust problem However, there are two significant barriers to making AI agents useful. First, and most obvious, is trust. Would you trust an AI agent with your credit card details? Despite two years of advances in AI since ChatGPT, hallucinations - where the AI doesn't know an answer and so simply makes something up - are still a problem. A recent study showed that even in AI programming - one of the most popular and valuable uses of AI - 52% of AI-generated answers to coding questions contained errors. It only takes one error from the AI to send Aunty Molly's gift to Uncle Joe. And let's just hope it's a harmless error such as poor gift matching, not leaking your bank account details. What agents need to know The second and less obvious barrier is that for AI agents to be useful, they need to understand context. Even with something relatively simple like buying gifts, context is everything. I have years of knowledge about what my mother likes. I won't always get it right, but I'll do a lot better than a generic AI response. This knowledge is usually tacit and there's simply no way ChatGPT can have access to the rich history of human interactions that lead to that perfect gift. Having said that, AI bots are already recording information about their users. To prove this, just ask ChatGPT, "What do you know about me?" Depending on your settings, you might be surprised by the answer. Perhaps at some point the AI systems we use regularly will know enough about us and our family that Christmas shopping can be fully automated.
[3]
AI can't do your Christmas shopping just yet - but next year might be different
CSIRO provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. I'm a computer scientist and a bad Christmas shopper. Over the weekend, I wondered whether AI systems might be able to help me out. Could I just prompt ChatGPT to pick a personalised gift for my cousin Johnny and have it shipped in time to reach him? Alas, the cheerful chatbot couldn't help, telling me it "can't make purchases or handle shipping directly". In the two years since ChatGPT launched, we have seen wave after wave of AI products and features promising to save us from mundane tasks. Yet so far, gift shopping is beyond them - apart from the odd built-in chatbot on a shopping site or app. However, things may be different by next Christmas. One thing many experts expect in 2025 is the rise of AI agents: bots that can take actions on your behalf in the real world. Agents are already here An AI agent can do more than just suggest where you can get a Santa suit. It can buy it for you and have it delivered to your door. And the vision for "agentic AI" is that teams of AI agents will work together. You would give your team of agents a prompt: I'm cooking Christmas dinner this year. Find my closest Facebook friends, send them invites, make sure one of them is a chef and tell them to bring the turkey. The agents would sort it all, without you ever having to lift a finger. Crucially, AI agents should have the ability to coordinate across multiple websites. In fact, limited AI agents are already here. A report by AI developer Langchain claims 51% of respondents to its survey already use AI agents in production. In 2024, venture funds invested an estimated US$1.8 billion in AI agent projects. Deloitte's latest Global Predictions Report argues 25% of companies that use generative AI will launch agentic AI projects in 2025. Research firm Gartner predicts that by 2028, 15% of day-to-day work decisions will be made by AI agents. Agents for everybody? We are also seeing agents for consumers beginning to emerge. These are systems that could potentially automate many browser-based tasks (including shopping). In October, Anthropic - the company behind the popular Claude generative AI bot - released a "computer use" feature that allows the AI to take over a user's mouse and keyboard to browse and take actions on any website. Education expert Leon Furze created a demo using computer use to automatically browse to a learning management system, open the page for an assignment, create text for the assignment, and click the submit button. All done automatically from a single text prompt. More recently, Google Deepmind released its own version, Project Mariner, which similarly allows an AI to autonomously navigate and carry out actions in the Chrome browser. Both these systems are still early versions, with Project Mariner only available to a trusted set of testers. But they hint at what's to come. You can't use either of these tools today to automate your Christmas shopping - at least, not easily. So what would be needed to make a truly useful Christmas shopping AI agent? The technology exists The technology side of a shopping agent is relatively straightforward. As a user, I might want to give a prompt such as Send photo gifts to my family in England. Select some fun family photos from my phone, search for a website that does photo gifts, order appropriate gifts for each family member, and send using my address book. Executing this would require multiple AI agents: one to find the photos, one to find the shopping sites, one to personalise the gifts, a credit card agent to buy them, and an address-finding agent. Whether through computer use, Project Mariner, or some other AI agent platform, there is no technological reason why this can't be done today. The trust problem However, there are two significant barriers to making AI agents useful. First, and most obvious, is trust. Would you trust an AI agent with your credit card details? Despite two years of advances in AI since ChatGPT, hallucinations - where the AI doesn't know an answer and so simply makes something up - are still a problem. A recent study showed that even in AI programming - one of the most popular and valuable uses of AI - 52% of AI-generated answers to coding questions contained errors. It only takes one error from the AI to send Aunty Molly's gift to Uncle Joe. And let's just hope it's a harmless error such as poor gift matching, not leaking your bank account details. What agents need to know The second and less obvious barrier is that for AI agents to be useful, they need to understand context. Even with something relatively simple like buying gifts, context is everything. I have years of knowledge about what my mother likes. I won't always get it right, but I'll do a lot better than a generic AI response. This knowledge is usually tacit and there's simply no way ChatGPT can have access to the rich history of human interactions that lead to that perfect gift. Having said that, AI bots are already recording information about their users. To prove this, just ask ChatGPT, "What do you know about me?" Depending on your settings, you might be surprised by the answer. Perhaps at some point the AI systems we use regularly will know enough about us and our family that Christmas shopping can be fully automated. But this year, I will still have to attend to it myself. Bah humbug!
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While AI can't handle Christmas shopping yet, experts predict the rise of AI agents in 2025 that could revolutionize how we approach mundane tasks, including holiday gift-buying.
As the holiday season approaches, many are wondering if artificial intelligence (AI) can simplify the often stressful task of Christmas shopping. Despite significant advancements in AI technology since the launch of ChatGPT two years ago, current AI systems are still unable to handle complex tasks like personalized gift shopping and shipping 1.
While AI can't currently manage your Christmas shopping, experts predict a significant shift in capabilities by next year. The rise of AI agents – bots capable of taking real-world actions on behalf of users – is expected to be a major development in 2025 2.
These AI agents are envisioned to work in teams, coordinating across multiple websites to complete complex tasks. For instance, they could potentially organize a Christmas dinner by finding and inviting friends, ensuring one is a chef, and delegating tasks – all from a single user prompt 3.
Limited AI agents are already in use, with 51% of respondents in a Langchain survey reporting their deployment in production. Venture funds have invested an estimated $1.8 billion in AI agent projects in 2024, and Deloitte predicts that 25% of companies using generative AI will launch agentic AI projects in 2025 1.
Recent developments like Anthropic's "computer use" feature and Google Deepmind's Project Mariner demonstrate the potential for AI to autonomously navigate and perform actions in web browsers 2.
Despite technological readiness, two significant barriers exist:
Trust: Users must be willing to entrust AI agents with sensitive information like credit card details. The persistent issue of AI hallucinations, where systems generate incorrect information, remains a concern 3.
Contextual Understanding: AI agents need to comprehend complex personal contexts to make appropriate gift choices. The tacit knowledge accumulated through years of human interactions is challenging to replicate in AI systems 1.
As AI systems continue to evolve and gather more user data, the possibility of fully automated Christmas shopping may become a reality. However, for now, the personal touch in gift-giving remains irreplaceable 2.
Reference
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AI agents are emerging as autonomous systems capable of handling complex tasks across various industries, from customer service to software development. While promising increased efficiency, their deployment raises questions about job displacement, privacy, and trustworthiness.
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