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A rising tide of e-waste, made worse by AI, threatens our health, the environment and the economy
University of East London provides funding as a member of The Conversation UK. Our growing reliance on technology at home and in the workplace has raised the profile of e-waste. This consists of discarded electrical devices including laptops, smartphones, televisions, computer servers, washing machines, medical equipment, games consoles and much more. The amount of e-waste produced this decade could reach as much as 5 million metric tonnes, according to recent research published in Nature. This is around 1,000 times more e-waste than was produced in 2023. According to the study, the boom in artificial intelligence will significantly contribute to this e-waste problem, because AI requires lots of computing power and storage. It will, among other things, lead to more turnover of computer servers used in the data centres that support the extra computational needs of AI systems. This rising tide of e-waste, coupled with the limited lifetimes of hi-tech devices, could affect global sustainability goals. E-waste contain toxic and hazardous substances such as mercury, which can pose serious risks to human health and the environment. E-waste is among the fastest-growing types of solid waste globally: more than 5 billion mobile phones are thrown away each year, according to the Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment forum. In 2022, e-waste reached a record 62 million tonnes - an 82% increase since 2010 - and accounted for 70% of total global waste. However, less than 20% is formally recycled. Data centres and transmission networks are responsible for more than 1% of global energy use, and 0.6% of global carbon emissions. According to a recent McKinsey report, by 2030, the power consumption of AI applications in the US will rise from 4% to 12% of the total power demand today. Meeting these demands could require investments exceeding US$500 billion (£395 billion) for data centre infrastructure. It is already forcing big tech companies to find novel solutions to satisfy this hunger for energy, such as purchasing electricity from nuclear power providers. The environmental impacts of e-waste are considerable. The toxic chemicals in electronic and electrical hardware can contaminate soil and water. In some parts of the world, e-waste is burned to extract valuable materials, generating air pollution. Even the processes to formally recycle materials pose challenges because of the hazardous materials in waste. Some factors underlying the rise in e-waste, such as growing energy consumption in data centres, could also hamper efforts to reduce carbon emissions. The rising tide of waste itself could set back progress on sustainability goals, especially those seeking to balance economic development with protecting the environment. There's particular concern over the effects of e-waste on human health. Discarded devices can contain cancer-causing chemicals such as PAHs (polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons). Exposure to e-waste has also been linked to low birthweight and reproductive problems in adults. Children are particularly vulnerable, because their development can be affected by toxic substances in the environment. The economic impacts of e-waste are also significant. The costs of cleaning it up will rise, and because comparatively little e-waste undergoes formal recycling, it can lead to the loss of economically valuable resources such as gold, platinum and other critical materials used in technology. Sources and trends The Nature study on the effects of AI on e-waste used "material flow analysis" to project the growth in demand for hardware. The researchers came up with four scenarios to predict the future growth of e-waste: "limited", "conservative", "moderate" and "aggressive". A three-year lifespan was assumed for computer servers in data centres, based on historical information. The amount of e-waste was calculated by estimating the numbers of servers being discarded each year. This enabled the projection of cumulative volumes of e-waste for each scenario up to 2030. The results suggest that between 1.2 and 5.0 million tonnes of waste will have been produced between 2020 and 2030. The substantial increase in waste technology underscores the need for intervention strategies. The study backs circular economy approaches to tackle the problem - a model of production and consumption that keeps materials and products in use, preventing them turning into waste. This could involve extending server lifespans, re-using components, optimising AI operations through advanced algorithms (to reduce the computational power needed), and improving the efficiency of computer chips. The study estimates such solutions could reduce e-waste by between 16% and 86%, depending on how they are applied. Integrating green design into electronic products could also benefit the environment. This could include installing more biodegradable parts into hardware, substituting toxic components with less harmful ones, and improving the lifespans of products. Raising awareness among the public is also vital. We will need to switch from a culture of "use it and throw it away" to one where we think twice about whether we actually need new technology. Donating devices to others when we are finished with them, and encouraging the use of certified e-waste recycling centres, where this technology should be disposed, can also help. Local and national governments play essential roles in managing e-waste by creating policies, regulations and strategies to reduce its environmental impact and promote sustainable practices. Governments are tasked with setting standards for e-waste collection and recycling. These help ensure that e-waste is disposed of safely and efficiently. The development of recycling technologies is an area where government investment is crucial, as innovative solutions can improve safety and efficiency. Some e-waste will always exist, as technological advancement is crucial to improving our quality of life. But doing everything possible to reduce how much we generate, and mitigating the impact of the e-waste that is produced, will be vital for protecting the environment, the economy and our health.
[2]
A rising tide of e-waste, made worse by AI, threatens health, the environment and the economy
Our growing reliance on technology at home and in the workplace has raised the profile of e-waste. This consists of discarded electrical devices including laptops, smartphones, televisions, computer servers, washing machines, medical equipment, games consoles and much more. The amount of e-waste produced this decade could reach as much as 5 million metric tonnes, according to recent research published in Nature. This is around 1,000 times more e-waste than was produced in 2023. According to the study, the boom in artificial intelligence will significantly contribute to this e-waste problem, because AI requires lots of computing power and storage. It will, among other things, lead to more turnover of computer servers used in the data centers that support the extra computational needs of AI systems. This rising tide of e-waste, coupled with the limited lifetimes of hi-tech devices, could affect global sustainability goals. E-waste contains toxic and hazardous substances such as mercury, which can pose serious risks to human health and the environment. E-waste is among the fastest-growing types of solid waste globally: more than 5 billion mobile phones are thrown away each year, according to the Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment forum. In 2022, e-waste reached a record 62 million tonnes -- an 82% increase since 2010 -- and accounted for 70% of total global waste. However, less than 20% is formally recycled. Data centers and transmission networks are responsible for more than 1% of global energy use, and 0.6% of global carbon emissions. According to a recent McKinsey report, by 2030, the power consumption of AI applications in the US will rise from 4% to 12% of the total power demand today. Meeting these demands could require investments exceeding US$500 billion (£395 billion) for data center infrastructure. It is already forcing big tech companies to find novel solutions to satisfy this hunger for energy, such as purchasing electricity from nuclear power providers. The environmental impacts of e-waste are considerable. The toxic chemicals in electronic and electrical hardware can contaminate soil and water. In some parts of the world, e-waste is burned to extract valuable materials, generating air pollution. Even the processes to formally recycle materials pose challenges because of the hazardous materials in waste. Some factors underlying the rise in e-waste, such as growing energy consumption in data centers, could also hamper efforts to reduce carbon emissions. The rising tide of waste itself could set back progress on sustainability goals, especially those seeking to balance economic development with protecting the environment. There's particular concern over the effects of e-waste on human health. Discarded devices can contain cancer-causing chemicals such as PAHs (polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons). Exposure to e-waste has also been linked to low birthweight and reproductive problems in adults. Children are particularly vulnerable, because their development can be affected by toxic substances in the environment. The economic impacts of e-waste are also significant. The costs of cleaning it up will rise, and because comparatively little e-waste undergoes formal recycling, it can lead to the loss of economically valuable resources such as gold, platinum and other critical materials used in technology. Sources and trends The Nature study on the effects of AI on e-waste used "material flow analysis" to project the growth in demand for hardware. The researchers came up with four scenarios to predict the future growth of e-waste: "limited," "conservative," "moderate" and "aggressive." A three-year lifespan was assumed for computer servers in data centers, based on historical information. The amount of e-waste was calculated by estimating the numbers of servers being discarded each year. This enabled the projection of cumulative volumes of e-waste for each scenario up to 2030. The results suggest that between 1.2 and 5.0 million tonnes of waste will have been produced between 2020 and 2030. The substantial increase in waste technology underscores the need for intervention strategies. The study backs circular economy approaches to tackle the problem -- a model of production and consumption that keeps materials and products in use, preventing them turning into waste. This could involve extending server lifespans, re-using components, optimizing AI operations through advanced algorithms (to reduce the computational power needed), and improving the efficiency of computer chips. The study estimates such solutions could reduce e-waste by between 16% and 86%, depending on how they are applied. Integrating green design into electronic products could also benefit the environment. This could include installing more biodegradable parts into hardware, substituting toxic components with less harmful ones, and improving the lifespans of products. Raising awareness among the public is also vital. We will need to switch from a culture of "use it and throw it away" to one where we think twice about whether we actually need new technology. Donating devices to others when we are finished with them, and encouraging the use of certified e-waste recycling centers, where this technology should be disposed of, can also help. Local and national governments play essential roles in managing e-waste by creating policies, regulations and strategies to reduce its environmental impact and promote sustainable practices. Governments are tasked with setting standards for e-waste collection and recycling. These help ensure that e-waste is disposed of safely and efficiently. The development of recycling technologies is an area where government investment is crucial, as innovative solutions can improve safety and efficiency. Some e-waste will always exist, as technological advancement is crucial to improving our quality of life. But doing everything possible to reduce how much we generate, and mitigating the impact of the e-waste that is produced, will be vital for protecting the environment, the economy and our health.
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A recent study reveals that the rise of AI could lead to a massive increase in e-waste production, potentially reaching 5 million metric tonnes by 2030. This surge poses significant risks to human health, the environment, and the global economy.
A recent study published in Nature has revealed alarming projections for electronic waste (e-waste) production, with artificial intelligence (AI) playing a significant role in exacerbating the problem. The research suggests that e-waste volumes could reach a staggering 5 million metric tonnes by 2030, approximately 1,000 times more than what was produced in 2023 12.
The rapid expansion of AI technologies is a key contributor to this surge in e-waste. AI systems require substantial computing power and storage, leading to increased turnover of computer servers in data centers. This demand is not only driving up e-waste production but also significantly impacting energy consumption. By 2030, AI applications in the US are projected to consume between 4% to 12% of the total power demand, necessitating investments exceeding $500 billion in data center infrastructure 12.
E-waste poses severe threats to both the environment and human health. The toxic substances found in discarded electronic devices, such as mercury and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), can contaminate soil and water, and have been linked to various health issues including cancer, low birth weight, and reproductive problems 12.
The economic ramifications of the e-waste crisis are substantial. With less than 20% of e-waste being formally recycled, valuable resources like gold, platinum, and other critical materials used in technology are being lost. The costs associated with cleaning up e-waste are expected to rise, further straining economic resources 12.
The study advocates for circular economy approaches to address the e-waste challenge. Proposed solutions include:
These interventions could potentially reduce e-waste by 16% to 86%, depending on their implementation 12.
Integrating green design principles into electronic products is crucial for environmental protection. This includes using more biodegradable parts, substituting toxic components with less harmful alternatives, and improving product lifespans. Additionally, raising public awareness about responsible consumption and disposal of electronic devices is vital in combating the e-waste problem 12.
Local and national governments play a critical role in managing e-waste through policy-making, regulations, and strategies. Setting standards for e-waste collection and recycling, and investing in recycling technologies are essential steps towards ensuring safe and efficient disposal of electronic waste 12.
As the AI revolution continues to reshape our technological landscape, addressing the consequent e-waste crisis becomes increasingly urgent. Balancing technological advancement with environmental sustainability will be crucial in mitigating the long-term impacts on our health, environment, and economy.
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