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On July 16, 2024
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Better AI Chip Stock: Broadcom vs. Marvell Technology | The Motley Fool
But like Nvidia, both diversified chip specialists are benefiting from the rapid expansion of the artificial intelligence (AI) market. Let's examine the AI-driven tailwinds for both companies and see which stock is a better chipmaking play right now. Broadcom has expanded and transformed over the past eight years. The Singapore-based chipmaker Avago bought the original Broadcom in 2016, inherited its brand, and relocated its headquarters to the U.S. in 2018. The "new" Broadcom subsequently expanded into the infrastructure software market by acquiring CA Technologies, cloud software giant VMware, and Symantec's enterprise security division. In its latest quarter, Broadcom generated 58% of its revenue from its semiconductor business, which sells a wide range of wireless, optical, and data storage chips. The remaining 42% of its revenue came from its infrastructure software. Broadcom notably relied on Apple for 20% of its sales in fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2023 (which ended last October), but its acquisition of VMware -- which closed last November -- should reduce that percentage in fiscal 2024. Marvell is best known for its data processing units (DPUs), which bundle together CPUs, networking interfaces, and programmable data acceleration engines. It also sells infrastructure, Wi-Fi, and custom chips -- as well as networking and storage devices -- for the cloud, 5G, automotive, enterprise networking, and AI markets. Marvell similarly expanded inorganically over the past decade, but it didn't acquire any big software companies. In its latest quarter, Marvell generated 70% of its revenuefrom the data center market, while the rest was split between its other end markets. A single unnamed customer (most likely Western Digital or Seagate) accounted for 24% of its revenue in fiscal 2024 (which ended this February). Broadcom and Marvell are both experiencing strong sales of optical and networking chips for data centers. These chips don't process AI tasks on their own, but they're essential for ferrying massive amounts of data. So as data centers upgrade their servers with Nvidia's GPUs, they need to buy more of Broadcom's and Marvell's chips. Broadcom expects to generate at least $11 billion in AI chip revenue in fiscal 2024, which would be equivalent to more than 21% of its projected full-year revenue. Marvell garnered more than 10% of its revenue from AI chips in fiscal 2024, and it expects that percentage to rise in fiscal 2025. Neither of these chipmakers is a direct play on the AI market like Nvidia, which generated 87% of its revenue from the data center market in its latest quarter. Instead, they both serve a more balanced blend of non-AI and AI-driven markets. Broadcom's revenue growth will be inflated by its acquisition of VMware this year, but analysts expect it to continue expanding after it laps that purchase. Marvell made a few acquisitions in fiscal 2023, but its revenue fell 7% in fiscal 2024 as macro headwinds throttled the growth of its carrier, enterprise networking, consumer, auto, and industrial markets. Analysts see that slowdown persisting through fiscal 2025 until the macro environment presumably improves in fiscal 2026. Data source: Marketscreener. FY = fiscal year. In terms of revenue, Marvell looks a bit cheaper than Broadcom relative to its enterprise value (EV). But if we look at their projected gains in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), Broadcom looks like the better value. Data source: Marketscreener. FY = fiscal year. Furthermore, Broadcom is consistently profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis, while Marvell isn't. Marvell racked up GAAP losses over the past four fiscal years as it expanded, and analysts don't expect it to turn profitable again until fiscal 2026 -- but that's assuming it doesn't make any more massive acquisitions. Over the past 12 months, Broadcom's stock rallied 93% as Marvell's stock rose 16%. Investors were clearly more impressed by Broadcom's bold expansion of its software business, its increasing exposure to the AI market, and its stable GAAP profits. I believe those strengths will keep it ahead of Marvell -- which has less exposure to the AI market, less predictable growth rates, and steeper losses -- for the foreseeable future.
[2]
Better AI Chip Stock: Broadcom vs. Marvell Technology
But like Nvidia, both diversified chip specialists are benefiting from the rapid expansion of the artificial intelligence (AI) market. Let's examine the AI-driven tailwinds for both companies and see which stock is a better chipmaking play right now. Broadcom has expanded and transformed over the past eight years. The Singapore-based chipmaker Avago bought the original Broadcom in 2016, inherited its brand, and relocated its headquarters to the U.S. in 2018. The "new" Broadcom subsequently expanded into the infrastructure software market by acquiring CA Technologies, cloud software giant VMware, and Symantec's enterprise security division. In its latest quarter, Broadcom generated 58% of its revenue from its semiconductor business, which sells a wide range of wireless, optical, and data storage chips. The remaining 42% of its revenue came from its infrastructure software. Broadcom notably relied on Apple for 20% of its sales in fiscal 2022 and fiscal 2023 (which ended last October), but its acquisition of VMware -- which closed last November -- should reduce that percentage in fiscal 2024. Marvell is best known for its data processing units (DPUs), which bundle together CPUs, networking interfaces, and programmable data acceleration engines. It also sells infrastructure, Wi-Fi, and custom chips -- as well as networking and storage devices -- for the cloud, 5G, automotive, enterprise networking, and AI markets. Marvell similarly expanded inorganically over the past decade, but it didn't acquire any big software companies. In its latest quarter, Marvell generated 70% of its revenuefrom the data center market, while the rest was split between its other end markets. A single unnamed customer (most likely Western Digital or Seagate) accounted for 24% of its revenue in fiscal 2024 (which ended this February). Why Broadcom and Marvell are both AI plays Broadcom and Marvell are both experiencing strong sales of optical and networking chips for data centers. These chips don't process AI tasks on their own, but they're essential for ferrying massive amounts of data. So as data centers upgrade their servers with Nvidia's GPUs, they need to buy more of Broadcom's and Marvell's chips. Broadcom expects to generate at least $11 billion in AI chip revenue in fiscal 2024, which would be equivalent to more than 21% of its projected full-year revenue. Marvell garnered more than 10% of its revenue from AI chips in fiscal 2024, and it expects that percentage to rise in fiscal 2025. Neither of these chipmakers is a direct play on the AI market like Nvidia, which generated 87% of its revenue from the data center market in its latest quarter. Instead, they both serve a more balanced blend of non-AI and AI-driven markets. Which of these chipmakers is growing faster? Broadcom's revenue growth will be inflated by its acquisition of VMware this year, but analysts expect it to continue expanding after it laps that purchase. Marvell made a few acquisitions in fiscal 2023, but its revenue fell 7% in fiscal 2024 as macro headwinds throttled the growth of its carrier, enterprise networking, consumer, auto, and industrial markets. Analysts see that slowdown persisting through fiscal 2025 until the macro environment presumably improves in fiscal 2026. Data source: Marketscreener. FY = fiscal year. In terms of revenue, Marvell looks a bit cheaper than Broadcom relative to its enterprise value (EV). But if we look at their projected gains in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), Broadcom looks like the better value. Data source: Marketscreener. FY = fiscal year. Furthermore, Broadcom is consistently profitable on a generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) basis, while Marvell isn't. Marvell racked up GAAP losses over the past four fiscal years as it expanded, and analysts don't expect it to turn profitable again until fiscal 2026 -- but that's assuming it doesn't make any more massive acquisitions. The better AI chip buy: Broadcom Over the past 12 months, Broadcom's stock rallied 93% as Marvell's stock rose 16%. Investors were clearly more impressed by Broadcom's bold expansion of its software business, its increasing exposure to the AI market, and its stable GAAP profits. I believe those strengths will keep it ahead of Marvell -- which has less exposure to the AI market, less predictable growth rates, and steeper losses -- for the foreseeable future. The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now... and Broadcom wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $791,929!* Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*. Leo Sun has positions in Apple. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and Marvell Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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As artificial intelligence continues to reshape the tech landscape, Broadcom and Marvell Technology emerge as key players in the AI chip market. This article compares their strategies, financial performance, and future prospects in the rapidly evolving AI industry.
The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution has sparked an unprecedented demand for specialized chips, propelling companies like Broadcom and Marvell Technology into the spotlight. As businesses and consumers alike embrace AI-powered solutions, the market for AI chips is experiencing explosive growth, presenting both opportunities and challenges for these semiconductor giants 1.
Broadcom, a diversified technology company, has been making significant strides in the AI chip market. The company's approach focuses on developing custom AI accelerators for hyperscalers, which are large-scale data center operators. Broadcom's CEO, Hock Tan, has emphasized the company's commitment to AI, projecting that AI-related revenues could reach $3 billion to $4 billion in fiscal 2024 2.
Marvell Technology, on the other hand, has positioned itself as a key player in the AI infrastructure space. The company specializes in producing data processing units (DPUs) and electro-optics, which are crucial components for AI applications. Marvell's CEO, Matt Murphy, has highlighted the company's focus on cloud-optimized silicon, expecting substantial growth in AI-related revenues 1.
Both companies have demonstrated strong financial performance, albeit with different trajectories. Broadcom reported a 7.8% year-over-year revenue growth in its latest quarter, with a notable 20% increase in its semiconductor solutions segment. The company's diversified portfolio, including its infrastructure software business, provides a stable foundation for its AI ambitions 2.
Marvell, while experiencing a recent revenue decline due to inventory corrections and macroeconomic challenges, remains optimistic about its long-term prospects in the AI market. The company's strategic focus on cloud, 5G, and automotive sectors positions it well for future growth as these industries increasingly adopt AI technologies 1.
The AI chip market is highly competitive, with giants like NVIDIA and AMD also vying for market share. Broadcom's advantage lies in its established relationships with major tech companies and its ability to create custom solutions. Marvell's strength comes from its specialized focus on AI infrastructure components and its agility in adapting to market demands 2.
As the AI industry continues to evolve, both Broadcom and Marvell Technology are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI chips. Their success will likely depend on their ability to innovate, maintain strong customer relationships, and navigate the rapidly changing technological landscape.
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