ChatGPT Traffic Plunges 22% as Gemini Gains Ground in Escalating AI Competition

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

4 Sources

Share

OpenAI's ChatGPT has lost 22% of its daily visits over six weeks, dropping from 203 million to 158 million, while Google's Gemini maintains steady traffic. The shift prompted Sam Altman to declare a code red, pausing non-ChatGPT projects as Google's distribution network across Search, Android, and Workspace gives Gemini a structural advantage in the consumer AI market.

ChatGPT vs Gemini Traffic Reveals Shifting Dynamics in Consumer AI Market

The battle between ChatGPT vs Gemini has entered a critical phase as new website traffic data exposes a significant shift in user behavior. According to Similarweb, an analytics firm tracking web traffic patterns, ChatGPT's seven-day average daily visits fell 22% over the past six weeks, dropping from approximately 203 million to around 158 million

2

. During the same period, Google's Gemini maintained stable traffic at 55-60 million daily visits, effectively narrowing the gap between the two platforms

2

. The decline in daily visits marks a troubling trend for OpenAI as AI competition intensifies across Silicon Valley.

Source: Gadgets 360

Source: Gadgets 360

OpenAI vs Google: How Distribution Strength Reshapes the Battle

The ChatGPT traffic drop tells only part of the story in this OpenAI vs Google showdown. Industry experts point to Google's distribution network as the decisive factor behind Gemini's resilience. "Google does not necessarily need to out-innovate the competition, but needs to out-distribute it," Jaspreet Bindra, cofounder of AI & Beyond, told ET

2

. Gemini is embedded across Google Search through AI overviews, integrated into Workspace productivity tools, and baked into Android at the operating system level. This distribution strength means users encounter Gemini without visiting a separate website, giving Google a structural advantage that OpenAI cannot easily replicate

2

.

Source: Analytics Insight

Source: Analytics Insight

Website traffic data from Similarweb shows that over the course of 2025, ChatGPT's global traffic share plummeted from 86.7% to 64.5%, while Gemini surged from a modest 5.7% to 21.5%

1

. Meanwhile, newer entrants like Grok captured 3.7% and DeepSeek secured 3.4% of market share, while Microsoft's Copilot remained near-stagnant and Anthropic's Claude saw marginal growth

1

.

Gemini 3 Pro Launch Triggers OpenAI Code Red Declaration

The timing of the ChatGPT traffic drop coincides with the Gemini 3 Pro launch in November 2025, which significantly outperformed GPT-5.1 on most AI model benchmarks

1

. This prompted Sam Altman to reportedly declare an OpenAI code red to employees, placing all non-ChatGPT projects on indefinite halt

1

. OpenAI responded in December with the GPT-5.2 AI model to level the playing field, but the damage to user engagement had already begun

1

.

Source: Digit

Source: Digit

Google's latest Gemini 3 Flash model runs up to three times faster than Gemini 2.5 Pro and can analyze text, images, video, and audio while performing tasks like creating apps, generating images, and conducting deep research

2

. Between December 7, 2025, and January 3, 2026, ChatGPT recorded around 200 million daily visits through much of December before falling to approximately 158 million in early January

2

.

User Engagement Metrics Show Deeper Gemini Interaction

While ChatGPT maintains a larger absolute user base, user engagement data reveals that Gemini users spend more time per session. The average visit duration for Gemini stood at 7 minutes 20 seconds, ahead of ChatGPT's 6 minutes 32 seconds

2

. Gemini users also viewed 4.3 pages per visit compared with 3.8 pages on ChatGPT, indicating deeper interaction per session

2

. Gemini now commands close to 40% of ChatGPT's audience size, up from 31-33% in early December

2

.

Generative AI Market Shift Shows Fragmented Landscape

The generative AI market shift extends beyond the ChatGPT vs Gemini rivalry. Large language models from other players are gaining traction, with Perplexity.ai recording 154.9 million visits (2.19% share), Grok reaching 247 million visits (3.51%), and DeepSeek hitting 282 million visits (4%) in December

2

. "When users experience something that feels better, even marginally, they are willing to try it. You can clearly see that behaviour in usage patterns," said Srikanth Velamakanni, cofounder and CEO of Fractal Analytics

2

.

Experts tracking the consumer AI market note that adoption is shifting from experimentation to infrastructure. "Increased integration into operating systems and productivity suites shows that LLMs are becoming embedded into everyday tools, which favours incumbents with large platforms such as Google, Microsoft, and Meta," Bindra explained

2

. This structural shift means distribution strength may matter more than technical superiority in determining which AI chatbot wins the consumer market.

Analysts caution that Similarweb data reflects desktop and mobile web activity, not native app usage, and counts visits rather than unique users

3

. Some attribute the decline to seasonal factors during the December holiday period, though rival platforms have not experienced similar slowdowns . Neither OpenAI nor Google has publicly commented on the latest traffic figures, but the data suggests that web traffic patterns will remain volatile as major AI releases continue to reshape user preferences.

Today's Top Stories

TheOutpost.ai

Your Daily Dose of Curated AI News

Don’t drown in AI news. We cut through the noise - filtering, ranking and summarizing the most important AI news, breakthroughs and research daily. Spend less time searching for the latest in AI and get straight to action.

© 2026 Triveous Technologies Private Limited
Instagram logo
LinkedIn logo