Dell Technologies wins Barclays upgrade as AI server orders surge and enterprise markets recover

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Dell Technologies secured a Barclays upgrade to Overweight from Equal Weight, driven by surging AI server demand and improving enterprise prospects. The company plans to ship $9.4 billion of AI servers in Q4, pushing full-year AI server shipments to approximately $25 billion. Barclays maintained its $148 price target while citing Dell's resilient operating margin profile and expanding market opportunities.

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Dell Technologies Secures Barclays Upgrade Amid Surging AI Server Demand

Dell Technologies earned a Barclays upgrade to Overweight from Equal Weight on Thursday, sending Dell stock climbing as investors responded to strengthening momentum in the company's AI strategy. Barclays analyst Tim Long maintained the $148 price target while expressing growing confidence in Dell's position across AI servers and improving opportunities in enterprise server and storage markets

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. The analyst upgrade signals a shift in sentiment around Dell's ability to capitalize on AI infrastructure demand while managing margin pressures.

Strong AI Server Orders Drive Revenue Projections

The Barclays upgrade centers on stronger-than-expected strong AI server orders that have reshaped Dell's growth trajectory. Long highlighted Dell's plans to ship approximately $9.4 billion of AI servers in the fourth quarter, which would lift full-year AI server shipments to about $25 billion

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. The analyst now models 155% and 60% growth in AI orders in fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 respectively. Dell previously reported record AI server demand of $12.3 billion and $30 billion in total orders during its third quarter, demonstrating sustained AI-driven revenue momentum

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. This aggressive expansion in AI infrastructure positions Dell to capture a significant share of enterprise AI deployment budgets.

Operating Margin Profile Shows Resilience Despite Gross Margin Pressure

Barclays' analyst upgrade reflects increased comfort with Dell's operating margin profile in its AI server business, even as gross margins remain under pressure. Long acknowledged that while gross margins are likely to remain in the high single-digit range, the company has successfully managed to mid-single-digit operating margins for the business

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. This margin structure, now largely understood by the market, demonstrates Dell's disciplined operational execution. The company's ability to maintain operating margins while scaling AI server production addresses earlier concerns about the dilutive impact of low-margin AI hardware on overall profitability.

One Dell Way Transformation Strengthens AI Infrastructure Capabilities

Dell COO Jeff Clarke outlined "One Dell Way," a major operational transformation detailed in an internal memo reported by Business Insider. The initiative will replace multiple applications and databases with a single enterprise platform launching May 3, standardizing processes, unifying data and reducing complexity across the business

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. Clarke emphasized that simplifying Dell's infrastructure is critical to unlocking AI's potential, making it easier for customers to deploy AI workloads and for Dell to operate as a single, integrated organization. This operational revamp follows Dell's $120 million acquisition of Israeli AI startup Dataloop AI, bolstering its end-to-end AI infrastructure offerings

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. The combination of internal transformation and strategic acquisition positions Dell to deliver more integrated AI solutions.

Enterprise Recovery Expands Growth Opportunities Beyond AI

Beyond AI servers, Barclays points to an enterprise recovery in traditional server and storage markets that broadens Dell's growth potential. Long noted that Dell continues to increase the mix of its intellectual property offerings in storage and sees meaningful upgrade potential, with a large portion of the installed base still running on older-generation servers

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. The analyst believes Dell's supply chain leadership can help better navigate the current commodity environment, providing a competitive advantage as enterprises modernize their infrastructure. This dual growth engine—AI servers driving near-term expansion while enterprise refresh cycles provide sustained demand—reduces Dell's dependence on any single market segment.

Stock Valuation and Earnings Forecast Signal Upside Potential

Investors are looking ahead to Dell's next earnings report on February 26, with the EPS estimate at $3.42, up from $2.68 year-over-year, and revenue estimate at $31.60 billion, up from $23.93 billion year-over-year

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. The stock carries a Buy Rating with an average price target of $165.64, suggesting approximately 38% upside from current levels. Dell trades at a P/E of 15.9x, indicating fair stock valuation relative to the expected 28% earnings growth

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. Recent analyst actions include Goldman Sachs maintaining a Buy rating with a lowered price target of $165 and Mizuho maintaining an Outperform rating with a raised price target of $175. The technical picture shows Dell trading 3.7% below its 20-day simple moving average and 11.5% below its 100-day simple moving average, with shares up 10.17% over the past 12 months

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. Investors should monitor bookings momentum and margin trends closely as Dell executes its AI strategy while managing the transition to more standardized operations.

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