Elon Musk's xAI Seeks $113 Billion Valuation Amid Ambitious Growth Projections and Political Turmoil

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

14 Sources

Elon Musk's AI startup xAI is launching a $300 million share sale, valuing the company at $113 billion. The company is also seeking a $5 billion debt financing package, projecting over $13 billion in annual earnings by 2029. However, Musk's recent political fallout with President Trump has complicated the fundraising efforts.

xAI's Ambitious Valuation and Share Sale

Elon Musk's artificial intelligence startup, xAI, is making waves in the tech industry with its latest financial moves. The company is launching a $300 million share sale that values the group at a staggering $113 billion 13. This secondary stock offering, known as a tender offer, will allow xAI employees to sell shares to new investors, validating the price tag struck when xAI acquired Musk's social media service X (formerly Twitter) in March 3.

Source: Economic Times

Source: Economic Times

The deal structure values xAI at $80 billion and X at $33 billion, following Musk's $44 billion acquisition of Twitter in October 2022 3. This move comes after xAI obtained a $45 billion valuation in a $5 billion private funding round late last year 3.

Ambitious Growth Projections and Debt Financing

xAI's financial ambitions extend beyond the share sale. The company is also seeking a $5 billion debt financing package to fund new data centers and chips 5. According to projections revealed by xAI's banker Morgan Stanley, the company expects to generate more than $13 billion in annual earnings by 2029 4.

The company's financial roadmap includes:

  • $1 billion in gross revenue by the end of 2025
  • $14 billion in gross revenue by 2029
  • $2.7 billion in EBITDA by 2027
  • $13.1 billion in EBITDA by 2029 4

However, like many AI startups, xAI is currently operating at a loss. In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported $52 million in gross revenue but lost $341 million before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) 4.

Political Complications and Investor Concerns

Source: Financial Times News

Source: Financial Times News

The fundraising efforts have been complicated by Musk's recent political fallout with U.S. President Donald Trump. The public spat between the two has raised concerns among potential investors and could potentially impact the pricing of the debt 5. Some investors are now speculating that xAI may have to offer higher interest rates to secure the financing 5.

Investors have also raised questions about the intellectual property securing the loan package and the value of the collateral. The debt is partially secured by the data centers xAI is building 5.

xAI's Market Position and Strategy

xAI was launched in 2023 to compete with established players like OpenAI and other Big Tech rivals in the AI space 3. The company has already unveiled its Grok chatbot and built a supercomputer cluster called Colossus, one of the largest AI data center projects in the U.S. 3

Source: Financial Times News

Source: Financial Times News

To strengthen its market position, xAI has formed strategic partnerships. Microsoft recently announced it would make xAI models available to its cloud computing customers, while messaging app Telegram agreed to distribute Grok to its 1 billion users 3.

Investor Due Diligence and Market Outlook

Despite the ambitious projections, some investors have expressed concerns about the limited data shared during the due diligence process. Morgan Stanley has maintained tight control over access to the data room and management calls 5.

However, many investors remain optimistic about xAI's potential in the commercial AI market. One lender stated, "It's a product that will probably be one of the winners of commercial AI. On the consumer side OpenAI has a big lead, but on the commercial side they can be a material player and that will be worth a lot more than $15bn to $20bn." 5

As xAI continues its fundraising efforts and market expansion, the tech industry watches closely to see how this ambitious AI startup will navigate the challenges of rapid growth, political complications, and fierce competition in the evolving AI landscape.

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