HP Reports Strong Q3 Results Driven by AI PC Adoption and Windows 11 Upgrades

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HP Inc. beats revenue estimates in Q3 2025, showing growth in personal systems segment and AI PC adoption. The company cites Windows 11 upgrades and supply chain diversification as key factors in its performance.

HP Exceeds Q3 Revenue Expectations

HP Inc. (HPQ.N) reported better-than-expected third-quarter revenue, with a 3% increase to $13.93 billion, surpassing analysts' estimates of $13.70 billion

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. This marks HP's fifth consecutive quarter of revenue growth, primarily driven by strong demand for artificial intelligence-powered personal computers (AI PCs) and the ongoing Windows 11 upgrade cycle

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Source: The Motley Fool

Source: The Motley Fool

AI PC Adoption and Windows 11 Upgrades Fuel Growth

The company's Personal Systems segment, which includes both consumer and commercial PCs, saw a 6% revenue increase to $9.93 billion

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. HP reported that AI PC adoption has accelerated, with these devices now making up over 25% of HP's PC mix, a full quarter ahead of schedule

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. AI PCs, which integrate local neural processing units (NPUs) for AI workloads, command a 5%-10% average selling price (ASP) uplift compared to non-AI PC products

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The imminent end of support for Microsoft's Windows 10 operating system in October is expected to further boost PC sales. HP CEO Enrique Lores noted that just over half of the Windows install base has transitioned to Windows 11 so far, suggesting significant potential for future upgrades

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Supply Chain Diversification and Tariff Mitigation

HP has made strategic moves to diversify its supply chain and reduce exposure to trade-related risks. The company reported that nearly all products sold in North America are now manufactured outside of China, with production ramping up across Vietnam, Thailand, Mexico, and the US

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. This shift has helped HP mitigate the majority of tariff-related costs during the third quarter of fiscal 2025, supporting gross margin stabilization and improving business agility

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Printing Segment Faces Challenges

While the Personal Systems segment showed growth, HP's Printing segment experienced a 4% decline in revenue to $4 billion

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. Both Consumer Printing and Commercial Printing businesses recorded declines, with respective year-over-year drops of 8% and 3%

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. The segment's operating margin held steady at 17.3%, unchanged from the same period last year

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Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Financial Outlook and Investor Reaction

HP forecast fourth-quarter adjusted profit per share between 87 cents and 97 cents, roughly in line with analysts' estimates of 92 cents

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. The company also reaffirmed its full-year free cash flow guidance of $2.6 billion to $3 billion

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Initially, HP's stock rose 4.6% in extended trading following the earnings release

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. However, investor enthusiasm waned, and the stock was trading almost 3% lower later, possibly due to concerns about the conservative guidance for the current quarter

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Analyst Perspectives

Source: SiliconANGLE

Source: SiliconANGLE

JPMorgan analyst Samik Chatterjee reaffirmed an Overweight rating on HP and raised the price target to $30, citing AI PC momentum, the Windows 11 refresh cycle, and supply chain gains

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. Chatterjee expressed confidence in HP's ability to mitigate downside risks and expects continued AI PC momentum into 2026

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As HP continues to navigate the evolving tech landscape, its focus on AI integration, security enhancements, and supply chain optimization positions the company to capitalize on emerging trends in the PC and printing markets.

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