India offers zero taxes through 2047 to lure global AI workloads to data centers

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India unveiled a tax holiday until 2047 for foreign cloud providers running global AI workloads from Indian data centers, aiming to attract billions in investment from tech giants like Google and Microsoft. But the budget halved funding for the IndiaAI Mission to ₹1,000 crore, raising questions about execution amid infrastructure challenges like power shortages and water scarcity.

India AI Gets Historic Tax Break to Compete for Global Compute Infrastructure

India has made a bold move to position itself as a major player in the global AI infrastructure race. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced in the annual budget a tax holiday until 2047 for foreign cloud providers that run global AI workloads from data centers located in India

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. The zero-tax offer applies specifically to revenues from cloud services sold outside India, while services to Indian customers must be routed through locally incorporated resellers and taxed domestically

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. This policy represents what veteran investor Raamdeo Agrawal called a "transformational" decision that could reshape India's participation in what he described as "humanity's biggest infrastructure build"

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Source: ET

Source: ET

The budget also introduced a 15% cost-plus safe harbour for Indian data center operators providing services to related foreign entities, and raised the safe harbour threshold for IT services from ₹300 crore to ₹2,000 crore with a uniform 15.5% margin

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. Nasscom praised these IT services incentives, calling the enhanced safe harbour threshold a "key ask" that will provide much-needed clarity and competitiveness for India's technology sector

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. Deloitte India partner S Anjani Kumar said the policy could do for India's cloud and data center ecosystem what IT services incentives did in the early 2000s, catalyzing large-scale investment to attract global investment and strengthen digital sovereignty

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Tech Giants Pour Billions Into Indian AI Infrastructure

The timing aligns with massive commitments from U.S. cloud giants racing to expand compute infrastructure worldwide. Google announced in October it would invest $15 billion to build an AI hub and expand data centers in India, its largest commitment in the country to date, following a $10 billion commitment in 2020

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. Microsoft followed in December with plans to invest $17.5 billion by 2029 to expand its AI and cloud footprint, funding new facilities, infrastructure, and training programs

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. Amazon stepped up its spending in December, saying it would invest an additional $35 billion in India by 2030, taking its total planned commitment to about $75 billion as it expands retail and cloud operations

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Source: Digit

Source: Digit

Domestic players are also ramping up capacity to meet global demand. Digital Connexion, a joint venture backed by Reliance Industries, Brookfield Asset Management, and Digital Realty Trust, said in November it would invest $11 billion by 2030 to develop a 1-gigawatt, AI-focused data center campus spanning about 400 acres in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh

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. Adani Group announced in December plans to invest up to $5 billion alongside Google in its AI data center project

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. India's data center power capacity is projected to surpass 2 gigawatts by 2026, up from just over 1 gigawatt currently, and could expand more than fivefold to exceed 8 gigawatts by 2030, driven by capital investments of more than $30 billion

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IndiaAI Mission Funding Cut Raises Execution Concerns

Despite the infrastructure push, the budget halved allocation for the IndiaAI Mission to ₹1,000 crore in 2026-27 from ₹2,000 crore this fiscal year, raising concerns about India's ability to compete in the global AI race

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. Experts warned that building meaningful AI capacity requires significantly higher and more sustained public investment. However, officials explained the lower allocation reflects a deliberate strategy where the mission subsidizes end-users' access to graphics processing units (GPUs) instead of buying GPUs outright

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. Abhishek Singh, chief executive of IndiaAI Mission, said the hardware is procured by empaneled cloud service providers, while "the actual expenditure happens once these GPUs are utilized by end users"

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Revised estimates for FY26 show actual expenditure under the mission stood at about ₹800 crore against allocation of ₹2,000 crore

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. Arjun Malhotra, general partner at Good Capital, flagged a deeper execution problem, citing the 85% underspend in the Research, Development and Innovation fund for deeptech and R&D, where nearly ₹20,000 crore was budgeted for FY26 but only about ₹3,000 crore was spent

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. "That suggests either bureaucratic bottlenecks, a lack of projects ready to absorb capital, or announcement-heavy, execution-light governance," Malhotra said

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Infrastructure Challenges Threaten Expansion Plans

Scaling up data center capacity in India faces significant hurdles. Patchy power availability, high electricity costs, and water scarcity pose key constraints for energy-intensive AI workloads that could slow construction and raise operating costs for cloud providers

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. Rohit Kumar, founding partner of The Quantum Hub, said execution challenges around power availability, land access, and state-level clearances remain despite the strategic push

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. Sagar Vishnoi, co-founder of Future Shift Labs, said allowing foreign cloud firms to earn profits tax-free until 2047 reflects a "strategic bet on global Big Tech," even as India could produce its own technology champions over the next two decades

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Semiconductor Ecosystem and Skill Requirements Get Budget Attention

The budget stepped up incentives to deepen India's role in electronics and semiconductor manufacturing as the country seeks to move beyond assembly. Nirmala Sitharaman announced a second phase of the India Semiconductor Mission focused on producing equipment and materials, developing full-stack domestic chip intellectual property, and strengthening supply chains

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. The government raised the outlay for the Electronics Components Manufacturing Scheme to ₹400 crore

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. Sitharaman also announced a high-powered "Education to Employment and Enterprises" Standing Committee of Parliament to study the impact of emerging technologies including AI on the services sector, jobs, and skill requirements

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. The focus on cloud platforms, advanced skilling, and sector-specific data platforms aims to expand AI use cases across healthcare, manufacturing, financial services, and public administration

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