Marvell Technology's Stock Plummets Amid Weak Data Center Outlook and AI Chip Concerns

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

14 Sources

Marvell Technology's shares tumbled after the chipmaker's data center demand outlook fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the AI chip market and custom silicon business.

Marvell's Stock Tumbles on Disappointing Outlook

Shares of Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) plummeted by 15% in premarket trading on Friday, following the chipmaker's underwhelming data center demand outlook 1. The company, which designs custom chips for AI workloads used by tech giants like Microsoft and Amazon, failed to meet the lofty expectations set by investors in the rapidly growing AI sector 2.

Source: Economic Times

Source: Economic Times

Disappointing Financial Results

Marvell reported second-quarter revenue of $2.01 billion, aligning with Wall Street expectations. However, its forecast for the third quarter fell short, projecting revenue of $2.06 billion (plus or minus 5%), below the analysts' average estimate of $2.11 billion 3. The company's data center segment, its largest revenue driver, grew by only 3% to $1.49 billion, missing estimates of $1.51 billion.

AI Chip Market Concerns

The disappointing outlook has stoked worries about the custom AI chip market. Marvell's CEO, Matthew Murphy, attributed the flat sequential growth in data center revenue for the third quarter to "lumpiness" in infrastructure build-outs by large cloud providers 1. This explanation, however, failed to assuage investor concerns about the company's growth prospects in the AI sector.

Competitive Landscape and Market Position

Source: CNBC

Source: CNBC

Marvell faces stiff competition in the AI chip market, particularly from larger rivals like Broadcom. Analysts have pointed out that Marvell's lack of scale compared to its peers could be a disadvantage, especially as hyperscale customers pursue multi-vendor sourcing strategies 4. The company's reliance on custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) also exposes it to customer inventory-led swings in demand.

Impact of Cloud Provider Strategies

Recent developments in the cloud computing sector have added to the uncertainty surrounding Marvell's outlook. A media report suggested that Microsoft had delayed the release of some of its upcoming in-house AI chips until 2028 or later, potentially impacting Marvell's pipeline 2. Additionally, Amazon Web Services, another major customer for Marvell, has been losing ground to faster-growing rivals like Microsoft's Azure and Google Cloud 1.

Broader Industry Context

Marvell's disappointing outlook comes at a time when the AI chip industry is facing increased scrutiny from investors. The recent earnings report from Nvidia, a market bellwether, also showed signs of a cooling market despite beating forecasts 1. However, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of the AI chip market, predicting it will expand into a multi-trillion-dollar market over the next five years 3.

Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Future Outlook

Despite the current setback, Marvell's management expects a stronger performance in the fourth quarter, particularly in its custom business 5. The company remains focused on capitalizing on the growing demand for AI infrastructure and custom silicon solutions. However, investors and analysts will be closely watching Marvell's ability to navigate the challenges in the competitive and rapidly evolving AI chip market.

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