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Buy this tech services stock as positive catalysts start lining up, says Morgan Stanley
Hewlett Packard Enterprise should be due for more moves to the upside on the heels of its upcoming quarterly results, Morgan Stanley said Thursday. The firm upgraded the tech services company to overweight from equal weight and increased its price target by $6 to $28, implying 33% upside from Wednesday's close. This comes as shares have surged about 20% in the past three months, supported by a rise in shares following the closure of the company's acquisition of Juniper Networks in early July. "Our thesis is straight-forward - with the closure of JNPR, we see 18% upside to FY26 Consensus EPS, with EPS growing to $2.70-3.00 in FY27, and believe that as the market comes to better understand nearly half of HPE's business is networking, inclusive of more AI exposure (JNPR in xAI cluster), HPE's multiple will re-rate above the current 8x multiple," analyst Erik Woodring wrote in a Thursday note. HPE 3M mountain HPE, 3-month Looking ahead, shares could see support in the wake of HPE's third-quarter results after the bell on Sept. 3, the analyst said. He sees overall hardware spending growth decelerating in the second half of the year, leading him to favor names like HPE that have exposure to networking and artificial intelligence. "We believe the July quarter setup is most favorable for OWrated HPE, as the stock remains the cheapest of the group (at 8.5x times our FY26 EPS), AI expectations are low, and management should guide October quarter results decently ahead of Consensus, which is yet to incorporate the JNPR acquisition," he wrote. Woodring also believes that HPE's analyst day in October is the "most important upcoming catalyst," with the expectation that the company will provide longer-term forecasts that could "help the market more clearly appreciate HPE's future earnings/cash flow power." Wall Street is split on the name, however. While Woodring is in the camp of analysts with a bullish view, with 10 out of 20 having a strong buy or buy rating, the remaining 10 have stepped to the sidelines with a hold rating, per LSEG. Shares jumped about 3% in premarket trading on Thursday following the upgrade.
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Hewlett Packard Enterprise Stock Gets Morgan Stanley Upgrade on AI Spending Boom
Morgan Stanley pointed to "healthy enterprise spending" for anything artificial intelligence- and network-related. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) shares advanced Thursday on an upgrade by Morgan Stanley, which sees increased corporate spending on the computer processing hardware maker's artificial intelligence (AI) and other products. Morgan Stanley raised its rating to "overweight" from "equal-weight," and boosted the price target to $28 from $22. In a note to clients, the analysts noted that "our checks signaled healthy enterprise spending across the board in the quarter, led by anything AI compute or networking related, followed by client devices (strong PC refresh), and then servers/storage, with networking growth inflecting positively for the first time in several quarters." They added that their research "leaves us positive on the potential for top and bottom line outperformance in the July quarter across the group." Along with the Hewlett Packard Enterprise moves, Morgan Stanley also increased the price targets for Dell Technologies (DELL) and NetApp (NTAP). With today's gains of more than 3%, shares of Hewlett Packard Enterprise moved into positive territory this year.
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Morgan Stanley upgrades Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) to overweight, citing potential growth in AI and networking sectors following the Juniper Networks acquisition.
Morgan Stanley has taken a bullish position on Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), upgrading the tech services company to overweight from equal weight and raising its price target to $28 from $22 12. This upgrade comes on the heels of HPE's recent acquisition of Juniper Networks and growing optimism about the company's potential in the artificial intelligence (AI) and networking sectors.
Source: CNBC
The closure of HPE's acquisition of Juniper Networks in early July has been a significant catalyst for the company's recent stock performance. Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring believes that this acquisition will substantially boost HPE's presence in the networking sector and increase its exposure to AI technologies 1. With nearly half of HPE's business now focused on networking, including more AI exposure through Juniper's involvement in xAI clusters, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-related hardware and services.
Morgan Stanley's thesis suggests an 18% upside to FY26 Consensus EPS, with earnings per share projected to grow to $2.70-3.00 in FY27 1. The firm expects that as the market better understands HPE's increased focus on networking and AI, the company's valuation multiple could expand beyond its current 8x multiple.
Several potential catalysts could drive HPE's stock performance in the near term:
Q3 Results: HPE's third-quarter results, scheduled for September 3, are expected to be a positive catalyst. Morgan Stanley anticipates favorable guidance for the October quarter, which has yet to incorporate the impact of the Juniper Networks acquisition 1.
Analyst Day: The company's analyst day in October is viewed as "the most important upcoming catalyst" by Morgan Stanley. It is expected that HPE will provide longer-term forecasts, helping the market appreciate the company's future earnings and cash flow potential 1.
Morgan Stanley's research indicates "healthy enterprise spending across the board," particularly in AI compute and networking-related products 2. This trend bodes well for HPE, given its strengthened position in these sectors following the Juniper acquisition. The analysts also noted positive inflections in networking growth for the first time in several quarters, further supporting their bullish outlook on HPE.
Following the upgrade, HPE's shares jumped about 3% in premarket trading on Thursday 1. However, it's worth noting that Wall Street remains divided on the stock. While Morgan Stanley and some other analysts maintain a bullish view, with 10 out of 20 analysts giving a strong buy or buy rating, the remaining 10 have a hold rating 1.
Morgan Stanley's positive stance on HPE is part of a broader optimism about the tech hardware sector. The firm also increased price targets for other companies in the space, including Dell Technologies and NetApp, indicating a generally positive outlook for enterprise technology spending, particularly in AI and networking-related areas 2.
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