Musk Admits Defeat: Tesla's FSD Licensing Dreams Collapse as Automakers Reject 'Unworkable' Terms

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Elon Musk acknowledges that no automakers want to license Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology, ending years of promises about industry adoption. The admission reveals fundamental disagreements over safety requirements and liability concerns.

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Musk's Admission Ends Years of FSD Licensing Promises

After years of promising that other automakers would eventually license Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, CEO Elon Musk has finally admitted defeat. In a candid post on X, Musk acknowledged that legacy automakers simply "don't want it," effectively ending a narrative that has been central to Tesla's valuation story since 2021

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The licensing strategy was supposed to transform Tesla from merely an automaker into an "AI and robotics company," with Musk arguing that Tesla's autonomous driving lead was so significant that competitors would have no choice but to adopt FSD to remain competitive

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The Evolution of Broken Promises

Musk first floated the licensing concept during Tesla's Q4 2020 earnings call, claiming "preliminary discussions" with other automakers. The promises escalated over time, with Musk tweeting in June 2023 that Tesla was "happy to license Autopilot/FSD or other Tesla technology" to competitors

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The speculation reached its peak in April 2024 when Musk explicitly stated that Tesla was "in talks with one major automaker" and predicted a "good chance" of signing a deal that year. However, Ford CEO Jim Farley, likely the automaker in question, publicly dismissed the idea, stating that "Waymo is better" .

"Unworkable Requirements" Reveal Industry Standards Gap

In his recent X post, Musk blamed the failure on automakers' "unworkable requirements," claiming they wanted to implement FSD "for a tiny program in 5 years" with conditions that made collaboration "pointless"

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. He ended the post with dinosaur emojis, suggesting legacy automakers risk being left behind in the autonomous driving race

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However, these "unworkable requirements" likely reflect standard automotive industry practices. Legacy automakers typically follow a "V-model" of validation, defining requirements, testing rigorously, and validating safety before release. When Mercedes-Benz released its Drive Pilot system, a true Level 3 autonomous system, the company accepted full legal liability when the system is engaged

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Tesla's Beta Strategy Creates Liability Concerns

Tesla's approach contrasts sharply with industry standards. The company's "aggressive deployment" strategy involves releasing "beta" software to customers and using them to validate the system. This methodology has resulted in numerous federal investigations and lawsuits, creating significant liability concerns for potential licensing partners

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Just this month, Tesla settled the James Tran vs. Tesla lawsuit involving a Model Y on Autopilot that crashed into a stationary police vehicle. By settling just days before trial, Tesla avoided a jury verdict but sent a clear message about the risks associated with its technology

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Industry Moves Toward Alternative Solutions

While Tesla struggles with licensing, other automakers are finding different paths forward. Major manufacturers like Toyota have partnered with Waymo to integrate autonomous driving technology into consumer vehicles, choosing proven systems over Tesla's controversial approach

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The fundamental issue appears to be liability. Legacy automakers want indemnification against crashes when licensing autonomous driving software, but Tesla, aware of its vision-only system's current limitations, likely refuses to accept such responsibility

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