New AI tool reveals exact odds of AI replacing your job across 756 occupations

You can now see the odds of AI replacing your job

Driving the news: The Action Network, a sports media platform focused on odds, betting and analytics, created a tool that lets users enter their job title and see the odds it could be replaced by AI. * The tool suggests that desk-based digital work is most vulnerable, especially documentation-heavy roles. Communication and research jobs are also among the most vulnerable. * Physical and in-person jobs are safest, the analysis says. Zoom in: The tool relies on data from Anthropic research measuring how AI is used across workplace tasks. * Anthropic was not consulted for the tool, according to the Action Network. The site used Anthropic's data to create percentage-style probabilities to show the estimated likelihood that AI would replace a job. * The goal was to help readers interpret and compare different occupations. Friction point: Some research shows that AI speeds up work and makes people busier. Other analyses suggest it's leading to job displacement. Zoom out: Anxiety about AI's impact on jobs is fueling gambling websites and prediction markets where people bet on tech layoffs and the AI bubble. * "The playbook is extremely simple," says Nelson Chu, CEO of investment strategy company Percent. "Find whatever people are most afraid of, whether that's a war breaking out or AI replacing their livelihoods, and build a betting market around it." Case in point: More than $1.5 million has been bet on a Kalshi market over whether the "Citrini scenario" -- a doom-and-gloom scenario surrounding AI and the economy that stems from a long, speculative essay -- will happen. What we're watching: Tech leaders are at odds over how AI's rise will affect the workforce. * Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says AI will create new jobs, particularly in infrastructure and skilled trades. But Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has warned of a white-collar job bloodbath. The bottom line: No one knows exactly how AI will shape the job market -- but people are already betting on the outcome.

Is Your Job AI-Proof? This New Tool Calculates Your Exact Odds of Being Replaced

Sports betting analytics company Action Network released a tool that estimates the odds of various jobs being replaced by AI. Users can search for one of 756 occupations that range from computer programmer and aerospace engineer to dancer and veterinarian. Results of the search show the "implied odds" that AI will replace the job, as well its ranking on the list and reasoning behind it. (Implied odds or implied probability is a metric used in sports betting that shows the percentage of a particular outcome in comparison to others, according to the publication Legal Sports Report.) Computer programmers, customer service representatives, and data entry keyers fill out the top three jobs most imperiled by AI, with implied odds of 45 percent, 42 percent, and 40 percent, respectively. The tool notes that "desk-based digital work" ranks so high because the roles "revolve around structured digital tasks AI can already help perform." Veterinarians, by contrast, rank 194th on the list with just 6 percent implied odds of AI replacement, because "the role relies on in-person care, physical procedures, and real-world decision-making that still requires human presence," according to the tool. The assortment of jobs at the bottom of the list that Action Network deems have zero percent implied odds of replacement include crossing guards, dental hygienists, psychologists, and bartenders.