Nvidia to Launch Cheaper Blackwell AI Chip for China Amid US Export Restrictions

23 Sources

Nvidia plans to introduce a new, lower-priced Blackwell-architecture AI chip for the Chinese market, following US export restrictions on its H20 model. The new GPU is expected to begin mass production in June and will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000.

Nvidia's Strategic Move in Response to US Export Restrictions

Nvidia, the leading AI chip manufacturer, is set to launch a new, more affordable artificial intelligence chip for the Chinese market. This move comes in the wake of recent US export restrictions that have significantly impacted Nvidia's operations in China 1234.

Source: CNBC

Source: CNBC

The New Blackwell-Based GPU

The upcoming GPU will be part of Nvidia's latest generation Blackwell-architecture AI processors. According to sources familiar with the matter, the chip is expected to be priced between $6,500 and $8,000, considerably lower than the recently restricted H20 model, which sold for $10,000 to $12,000 34.

Key features of the new chip include:

  1. Based on Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D, a server-class graphics processor
  2. Use of conventional GDDR7 memory instead of more advanced high bandwidth memory
  3. Avoidance of TSMC's advanced Chip-on-Wafer-on-Substrate (CoWoS) packaging technology

The lower price point reflects the chip's weaker specifications and simpler manufacturing requirements, designed to comply with US export regulations 3.

Production Timeline and Market Impact

Nvidia plans to begin mass production of the new GPU as early as June, with the chip expected to be widely available in the Chinese market by Q3 or Q4 of this year 13. This rapid development and production schedule underscores Nvidia's urgency to maintain its presence in the lucrative Chinese market.

The company is also reportedly developing another Blackwell-architecture chip for China, set to begin production as early as September 3.

Source: TweakTown

Source: TweakTown

Navigating Export Restrictions

The introduction of this new chip is Nvidia's latest attempt to navigate the complex landscape of US export restrictions targeting China. The company has faced a series of challenges, including:

  1. Export bans on flagship H100 and H200 accelerators
  2. Introduction and subsequent ban of the H800 model
  3. Recent ban on the cut-down H20 model, forcing Nvidia to write off $5.5 billion in GPU supply 13

The latest export restrictions have introduced new limits on GPU memory bandwidth, a crucial metric for AI workloads. Investment bank Jefferies estimates that the new regulations cap memory bandwidth at 1.7-1.8 terabytes per second, compared to the 4 terabytes per second capability of the H20 3.

Market Share and Competition

Nvidia's market share in China has plummeted from 95% before 2022 to 50% currently, according to CEO Jensen Huang. The company faces increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers, particularly Huawei with its Ascend 910B chip 3.

Source: Interesting Engineering

Source: Interesting Engineering

An Nvidia spokesperson stated that the company is still evaluating its "limited" options, emphasizing that until a new product design is settled and approved by the US government, Nvidia is "effectively foreclosed from China's $50 billion data center market" 34.

As the situation continues to evolve, Nvidia's ability to adapt to regulatory challenges while maintaining its technological edge will be crucial in determining its future success in the Chinese market.

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