Salesforce's AI Investments Fail to Impress as Q3 Revenue Forecast Falls Short

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Salesforce's stock plummets as Q3 revenue forecast disappoints investors, raising questions about the company's AI strategy and its ability to monetize recent investments in the face of economic uncertainty.

Salesforce's AI Investments Under Scrutiny

Salesforce, once a darling of the stock market, is facing a challenging period as its artificial intelligence (AI) investments fail to yield immediate returns. The company's shares have plummeted 24% year-to-date, placing it among the 30 worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 Index

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. This sharp decline comes in stark contrast to the company's impressive performance in 2023 and 2024, when its stock soared over 150%

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Source: Economic Times

Source: Economic Times

Disappointing Q3 Revenue Forecast

The cloud software provider's recent earnings report has further exacerbated investor concerns. Salesforce forecast third-quarter revenue between $10.24 billion and $10.29 billion, with the midpoint falling below analysts' average estimate of $10.29 billion

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. This weak outlook sent Salesforce shares tumbling nearly 7% in pre-market trading

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AI Investments and Monetization Challenges

Salesforce has been aggressively integrating AI across its cloud services, culminating in the 2024 commercial launch of Agentforce, an AI agent platform designed to automate tasks and streamline operations

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. However, the company's efforts to monetize these AI investments appear to be lagging, as evidenced by the disappointing revenue forecast

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Source: BNN

Source: BNN

Economic Uncertainty and Customer Spending

The weak outlook is partly attributed to economic uncertainty, which has forced customers to pull back on spending

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. This challenging macroeconomic environment is putting pressure on cloud companies like Salesforce to deliver substantial returns on their billion-dollar AI investments

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Strategic Moves and Investor Reaction

In an attempt to boost investor confidence, Salesforce announced a $20 billion increase to its existing share buyback program, bringing the total to $50 billion

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. However, this move did little to allay investor concerns about the company's growth prospects

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Acquisitions and Job Cuts

Salesforce has recently returned to its strategy of acquisitions to expand its cloud offerings. In May, the company acquired data management platform Informatica for about $8 billion

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. Additionally, CEO Marc Benioff revealed that Salesforce has cut 4,000 jobs in customer support due to AI, stating that the technology now accounts for about 30% to 50% of the company's work

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Source: SiliconANGLE

Source: SiliconANGLE

Valuation and Analyst Perspectives

Despite the recent setbacks, some analysts see potential for growth given Salesforce's current valuation. The stock trades at over 20.98 times its 12-month forward earnings estimates, compared to higher multiples for rivals Microsoft and Oracle

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. J.P. Morgan analysts noted that the "second-quarter results and positive company commentary are sufficient at this juncture, considering CRM shares are trading near a historically low valuation level and deep discount to software peers"

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As Salesforce navigates this challenging period, investors and industry observers will be closely watching to see if the company can successfully monetize its AI investments and regain its position as a top performer in the software sector.

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