Tesla's Autonomous Future: Wedbush Predicts 'Golden Age' with $500 Price Target

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

5 Sources

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives raises Tesla's price target to $500, citing the imminent launch of robotaxis and the company's potential in AI and autonomous vehicles.

Wedbush's Bullish Outlook on Tesla

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives has significantly raised Tesla's price target from $350 to $500, signaling a strong bullish outlook for the electric vehicle giant 12. This new target suggests a potential 46.6% surge in Tesla's share price over the next year, marking a new high for Tesla price targets on Wall Street 1.

The 'Golden Age of Autonomous'

Ives believes that Tesla is on the cusp of a "golden age of autonomous" growth, with the upcoming launch of robotaxis in Austin next month serving as a key catalyst 123. This launch is viewed as the beginning of a "key next chapter of growth for Musk & Co." 4.

Source: Economic Times

Source: Economic Times

Tesla as an AI Powerhouse

Wedbush's vision for Tesla extends beyond its identity as a car company. Ives sees Tesla as a leading disruptive technology player, positioned to capitalize on the convergence of autonomous driving and AI 2. He argues that Tesla could become "one of the best pure plays on AI over the next decade" 5.

Valuation and Market Potential

Ives estimates that the AI and autonomous opportunity alone is worth at least $1 trillion for Tesla 15. In a bull case scenario, he projects that Tesla could reach a $2 trillion market cap by the end of 2026 25. The analyst believes that the majority of Tesla's valuation upside is centered around the success of its autonomous vision 1.

Full Self-Driving (FSD) Software

Tesla's Full Self-Driving software is seen as a "golden goose" by Wedbush. The firm predicts that FSD adoption rates could rise past 50%, potentially changing Tesla's financial model and margins 2. However, it's important to note that FSD still requires a human driver and has faced regulatory scrutiny and safety concerns 2.

Source: CNBC

Source: CNBC

Competitive Landscape

While Tesla isn't alone in the robotaxi push, with competitors like Alphabet's Waymo, Uber, and China's Baidu also in the race, Ives believes Tesla has a competitive edge due to its "unmatched scale and scope globally" 2. He suggests that Tesla could potentially license its technology to other auto players both in the US and globally 2.

Regulatory Considerations

Ives speculates that the close ties between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump could potentially help reduce regulatory hurdles for Tesla's autonomous ambitions 25. However, this remains a point of speculation and potential controversy.

Market Response

Source: Quartz

Source: Quartz

Following Ives' announcement, Tesla shares climbed more than 1% in premarket trading on Friday 14. This marks a positive turn for the stock, which had dropped more than 15% in 2025 prior to this news 1.

Investor Caution

Despite the optimistic outlook, Ives warns that Tesla's stock trajectory will likely be volatile. He emphasizes that "Rome was not built in a day," suggesting that realizing Tesla's autonomous and robotics vision will take time 25.

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