Trump Administration Plans to Overhaul Biden-Era AI Chip Export Restrictions, Boosting Semiconductor Stocks

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On Thu, 8 May, 12:06 AM UTC

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The Trump administration's reported plans to rescind Biden-era AI chip export restrictions have led to a surge in semiconductor stocks. The move aims to simplify regulations while maintaining control over chip exports to China.

Trump Administration Aims to Revoke Biden's AI Chip Export Restrictions

The Trump administration is reportedly planning to rescind a key Biden-era export restriction on AI chips, known as the "AI diffusion rule" 12. This move has led to a significant rise in semiconductor stocks, with major players like NVIDIA, AMD, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. seeing notable gains 13.

The AI Diffusion Rule and Its Impact

The AI diffusion rule, introduced in January and set to take effect on May 15, grouped countries into three tiers with varying levels of export restrictions 12. It aimed to prevent China from acquiring AI chip technology through intermediaries by creating new U.S. licensing obligations for AI chip shipments globally 3. However, the rule faced criticism from tech giants and industry leaders who argued it would harm U.S. competitiveness and push allies toward China 14.

Proposed Changes and Their Implications

The Trump administration plans to replace the complex tiered system with a simpler framework that still targets countries accused of diverting chips to China, including Malaysia and Thailand 12. This move is expected to ease market pressure while maintaining control over chip exports to adversaries like China 4.

Industry Response and Stock Market Reactions

The news of potential policy changes has had a significant impact on the stock market:

  • NVIDIA shares climbed up to 3.10% 13
  • Advanced Micro Devices gained up to 3.8% 14
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. rose by 1.31% 1
  • Other semiconductor stocks, including Intel, NXP Semi, KLA, Analog Devices, and Broadcom, also experienced gains 34

Global Implications and Middle East Negotiations

The rollback comes ahead of Trump's planned Middle East trip, where countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia hope to negotiate better terms for AI chip access 12. The UAE's recent $1.4 trillion commitment to invest in the U.S. highlights the potential economic implications of these policy changes 2.

Ongoing Enforcement and Future Outlook

While the Commerce Department works on a new rule, existing chip export curbs will continue to be strictly enforced 3. The industry is closely monitoring the situation, as the proposed changes could have significant implications for semiconductor trade and the global supply chain 34.

This development represents a major shift in U.S. technology export policy, potentially reshaping the landscape of AI chip distribution and international trade relations in the semiconductor industry.

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