TSMC's Record-Breaking Performance Fueled by AI Boom, Outshining Rivals

Curated by THEOUTPOST

On Thu, 17 Oct, 1:08 PM UTC

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TSMC's shares hit an all-time high following impressive Q3 results and a strong Q4 outlook, driven by surging AI demand. Meanwhile, rival Samsung faces setbacks in its chip manufacturing ambitions.

TSMC's Record-Breaking Performance

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) has achieved a significant milestone, with its shares hitting an all-time high following the release of its third-quarter earnings report. The company's stock closed at NT$1,085 (US$33.77) on Friday, surpassing its previous record of NT$1,080 set in July 12. This surge in share price has propelled TSMC to become Asia's most valuable company, with a market capitalization of approximately $884 billion 34.

Impressive Q3 Results and Strong Q4 Outlook

TSMC's third-quarter performance exceeded market expectations, with net profit soaring by 54% to US$10.12 billion 2. The company's gross margin reached an impressive 57.8%, surpassing its own high-end guidance of 55.5% 2. This remarkable growth can be attributed to strong artificial intelligence (AI) demand, solid execution, and improved utilization rates in advanced nodes 2.

Looking ahead, TSMC has provided an optimistic forecast for the fourth quarter, projecting revenue between US$26.1 billion and US$26.9 billion, with an expected gross profit margin of 57% to 59% 2. Analysts believe that TSMC's gross margin has the potential to rise further into next year, driven by increased revenue contribution from advanced chips and improved yields with 3-nanometer technology 2.

AI Boom Driving Growth

The surge in AI-related demand has been a key factor in TSMC's success. The company's high-performance computing segment, which includes AI chips, accounted for 51% of overall revenue in the third quarter 25. TSMC expects its revenue from AI-related servers and processors to triple this year, representing approximately 15% of its total revenue 25.

Competitive Landscape and Challenges

While TSMC continues to thrive, its main rivals in the foundry business, Samsung and Intel, are facing challenges in advancing their chip-making technology 2. This situation may allow TSMC to negotiate better prices for lithography machines and further improve its cash flow 2.

However, TSMC is not without its own challenges. Recent reports suggest that the U.S. Department of Commerce is investigating whether TSMC has been manufacturing AI or smartphone chips for China's Huawei, potentially violating U.S. export controls 34. TSMC has responded by stating its commitment to compliance with laws and regulations, including export controls 34.

Samsung's Setbacks

In contrast to TSMC's success, Samsung Electronics is facing setbacks in its chip manufacturing ambitions. The South Korean giant has reportedly postponed taking deliveries of chipmaking equipment from Dutch firm ASML for its upcoming factory in Texas 1. This delay is attributed to Samsung's struggle to secure major customers for the project, dealing a blow to Chairman Jay Y. Lee's plans to expand beyond memory chips into contract chip manufacturing 1.

Industry Outlook

Despite some concerns raised by TSMC's chip-equipment supplier ASML about a potential delay in industry recovery, analysts remain optimistic about TSMC's prospects. The company's strong position in the AI chip market and its technological lead over competitors suggest that TSMC is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced semiconductors in the coming years 25.

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