Wall Street Closes Higher on Tech Boost, but Inflation Data Dampens Rate Cut Hopes

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On Thu, 12 Sept, 8:04 AM UTC

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Wall Street ended higher on Tuesday, driven by tech stocks, but hotter-than-expected inflation data reduced expectations for significant Fed rate cuts in 2024.

Tech Sector Leads Market Gains

Wall Street closed on a positive note on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reaching new highs for the year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led the gains, rising 0.7%, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.5% 1. The market's upward momentum was primarily driven by the technology sector, with notable performances from industry giants.

Inflation Data Impacts Rate Cut Expectations

Despite the overall positive market performance, the day's economic data presented a mixed picture. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November showed a 0.1% increase from the previous month and a 3.1% rise from a year earlier 2. This inflation reading, while indicating a slowdown, was slightly higher than economists' expectations. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remained steady at 4% year-over-year.

The inflation data had a significant impact on market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. Investors and analysts began to reassess their predictions for potential interest rate cuts in 2024, with many now anticipating fewer or smaller reductions than previously expected.

Federal Reserve Meeting and Market Reaction

The release of the inflation data coincided with the start of the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting. Market participants are closely watching for signals from the central bank regarding its stance on interest rates and economic outlook. The Fed's decision and subsequent commentary are expected to provide crucial insights into the trajectory of monetary policy for the coming year.

In response to the inflation figures, the yields on U.S. Treasury securities saw an uptick. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.205%, reflecting the market's recalibration of interest rate expectations 1.

Sector Performance and Notable Stocks

While the technology sector led the day's gains, other sectors showed mixed results. Energy stocks faced some pressure due to a decline in oil prices, with U.S. crude futures falling 3.8% to settle at $68.61 per barrel 2.

Among individual stocks, Oracle saw a significant drop of 12.4% following the release of its second-quarter results, which fell short of expectations in terms of cloud revenue growth 1. Conversely, Alphabet, Google's parent company, experienced a 0.6% increase after announcing its latest artificial intelligence model, Gemini.

Market Outlook and Investor Sentiment

As the year draws to a close, investors are maintaining a cautiously optimistic outlook. The S&P 500 has seen a remarkable 20% gain year-to-date, largely driven by enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence and hopes for a less aggressive monetary policy stance from the Federal Reserve 2.

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