AI Attempts to Predict 2025 NFL Draft: Mixed Results and Challenges
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I asked AI to predict the NFL Draft 2025, here's what ChatGPT, Gemini, and Manus think is going to happen
The NFL Draft is one of the biggest nights of the year for football fans and teams alike, as commissioners prepare to improve their squads for the 2025 season. I'm a huge NFL fan, and have been ever since I lived in the US in my early 20s. That said, I've never really paid much attention to the NFL Draft, despite its importance. This year, I've decided to educate myself on the top prospects beyond my favorite team, the Philadelphia Eagles, and I've turned to AI to try and help me understand where and when each college footballer will be selected. I previously attempted to predict the March Madness bracket using ChatGPT, and you guessed it, ChatGPT failed despite getting the final four correct. This time, I've decided to pit ChatGPT Deep Research against some competition in the form of Gemini Deep Research and Manus AI. So without further ado, here's what AI predicts will happen in the 2025 NFL Draft. If you're a fan of the NFL, you're more than likely up to speed on how the NFL Draft works. However, you might just be interested in AI and want to know how accurately AI research tools can compile reports for upcoming events. If you fall into that second category, here are the basics. The NFL Draft consists of seven rounds, each containing 32 picks. That's 257 total selections. For this experiment, I've asked ChatGPT, Gemini, and Manus to predict the first round, which consists of the 32 best players from this year's draft pool. During the NFL Draft, there are often trades between teams that can impact the draft order. Teams will each focus on different positions, so if one moves up via trade, they may select a different player to the team that would've initially had that draft pick. For fairness, AI can't determine which teams will trade during the first round, so I'll take that into account when I compare the predictions with the real-life results in a few days. My prompt was simple: "Can you predict the first round of the NFL Draft 2025, which takes place on April 24, 2025?" Gemini and Manus began compiling their research almost instantly, while ChatGPT required further information, such as which particular analysts to prioritize and how I wanted the breakdown of its choices to look. I decided to give ChatGPT as much freedom as possible, so it was as fair a comparison as possible with the other AI research models. All three returned with in-depth analysis, highlighting each of the first 32 picks and why each team is likely to select each player. While ChatGPT and Gemini were able to make selections purely from this year's draft class, Manus somehow managed to get mixed up and add players from last year's draft who currently play in the NFL to its selection process. In the list below you'll find AI's predictions of the NFL Draft 2025. While you'll notice some trends like all three models selecting Cam Ward as the overall number 1 pick, there's quite a lot of variety between all three predictions. 10 of Manus' 32 selections already play in the NFL, rendering the predictions incorrect from the get-go. Interestingly, Shedeur Sanders, one of the biggest names of this year's draft can be found as high up as 3rd overall in ChatGPT's predictions and as low down as 21st in Gemini's. This will be one of the picks worth watching, as based on where he's selected it could impact how accurate the final results are. I'll be updating this article following the 2025 NFL Draft and comparing the results between all three AI models. With so much variability, can AI research tools come close? Stay tuned to TechRadar to find out.
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2025 NFL Draft: ChatGPT's Round 1 predictions vs. reality -- The results may surprise you
The 2025 NFL draft starts on Thursday, April 24, at the Packers' Lambeau Field in Wisconsin's Green Bay and will go on till Saturday, April 26. While NFL fans have been through multiple mock drafts by experts and league analysts in recent months, USA Today has taken the help of artificial intelligence (AI) to generate "countless AI-generated mock drafts". However, the results do not seem to be up to the mark as the news outlet states that these have made a "mockery" of this year's mock draft season. OpenAI's ChatGPT, which has taken over the AI world by storm ever since its launch a few years ago, got significant attention recently when the company unveiled its "most advanced image generator" in GPT‑4o. Ever since its introduction, the chatbot has kept its users busy worldwide as they create various types of images. This brought into spotlight - the highly popular Studio Ghibli trend. Here's taking a look at some of the NFL Draft 2025 predictions made by the AI platform: As per the USA Today report, ChatGPT was only able to get 11 of the projected picks in line with this year's NFL Draft order. It suggests that the Jaguars can go for Colorado's Travis Hunter to strengthen their CB/WR position. However, this seems unlikely to happen as the side will not be picking until No. 5 position, which means Hunter is far away from its reach. Tennessee Titans - Cam Ward Almost all the NFL mock drafts have suggested the Titans to go for Miami QB Cam Ward this year as the No. 1 overall pick. The chatbot has projected this as the No. 2 pick. New York Giants - Shedeur Sanders Results from the chatbot give the Giants a chance to bag the Colorado QB at No. 3 pick, pointing out his "accuracy" and "poise" as the reasons behind this. Carolina Panthers - Carson Beck This is a completely incorrect prediction as the Panthers don't have the No. 4 pick and don't look concerned about getting another QB player after seeing Bryce Young make significant strides during the last season. New England Patriots - Abdul Carter ChatGPT has dropped the Patriots to No. 5 overall, even when the side is eligible to pick the No. 4 pick. Apart from these, it suggests that Las Vegas Raiders can pick Arizona's WR Tetairoa McMillan, Michigan CB Will Johnson for New York Jets, Georgia Edge Jalon Walker for Carolina Panthers, Penn State TE Tyler Warren for Chicago Bears and Arizona Cardinals going for Michigan DT Mason Graham. FAQs What is the schedule for NFL Draft 2025? Round 1 will start at 8 PM ET on Thursday. The second and third rounds are scheduled from 7 PM ET on Friday, followed by the remaining rounds on Saturday, beginning from noon. Where to catch all the live updates? The three-day event can be viewed across the NFL Network, ESPN and other channels. Further, live streaming will be done on Fubo.
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Multiple AI models, including ChatGPT, Gemini, and Manus, were tasked with predicting the 2025 NFL Draft's first round. The experiment revealed both the potential and limitations of AI in sports forecasting.
AI Takes on the NFL Draft: A Predictive Challenge
In an intriguing intersection of artificial intelligence and sports, multiple AI models were recently tasked with predicting the outcomes of the 2025 NFL Draft. This experiment, conducted by tech enthusiasts and sports analysts, aimed to test the capabilities of AI in forecasting complex sporting events 1.
The Contenders: ChatGPT, Gemini, and Manus
Three prominent AI models were put to the test: OpenAI's ChatGPT, Google's Gemini, and Manus AI. Each was asked to predict the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft, which consists of 32 picks. The challenge was significant, given the multitude of variables involved in draft decisions, including team needs, player performances, and potential trades 1.
Methodology and Challenges
The AI models were provided with a simple prompt: "Can you predict the first round of the NFL Draft 2025, which takes place on April 24, 2025?" While Gemini and Manus quickly generated their predictions, ChatGPT required additional context and parameters 1.
Interestingly, the experiment revealed some limitations in the AI's understanding of current NFL rosters. Manus AI, for instance, included players from the previous year's draft who are already in the NFL, highlighting the importance of up-to-date data in AI predictions 1.
Key Predictions and Discrepancies
All three AI models agreed on Cam Ward as the overall number one pick, showing some consensus. However, there were significant variations in other predictions. For example, Shedeur Sanders, a highly anticipated prospect, was ranked anywhere from 3rd overall by ChatGPT to 21st by Gemini 1.
ChatGPT's Performance in Detail
A separate analysis of ChatGPT's predictions by USA Today revealed further insights into the AI's capabilities and limitations. The model correctly aligned only 11 of its projected picks with the actual 2025 NFL Draft order. Some notable discrepancies included predicting Travis Hunter to the Jaguars, despite the team not having a pick until the 5th position 2.
Implications for AI in Sports Analysis
This experiment underscores both the potential and current limitations of AI in sports forecasting. While AI can process vast amounts of data and identify patterns, it struggles with the nuanced decision-making processes of NFL teams and the ever-changing landscape of player performances and team needs 12.
Future Prospects
As AI technology continues to evolve, its ability to make accurate sports predictions may improve. However, this experiment demonstrates that human expertise and real-time information remain crucial in sports analysis. The integration of more sophisticated data models and real-time updates could potentially enhance AI's predictive capabilities in future drafts 12.
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