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On Thu, 5 Sept, 12:08 AM UTC
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Amphenol Downgraded: Analyst Cites NVIDIA Design Changes As Risk To AI Revenue Growth - Amphenol (NYSE:APH)
Analyst cuts price target to $71, citing reduced content in future systems affecting EPS targets for 2025/2026. Electronic and fiber optic connector company Amphenol Corporation APH shares are trading lower after B of A Securities analyst Wamsi Mohan downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral and lowered its price target from $80 to $71. The analyst says their checks indicate that design issues with NVIDIA Corporation's GB200-based systems may lead to changes that could reduce Amphenol's AI revenue opportunities. Specifically, adjustments to address system overheating might result in replacing Amphenol's flyover cables with a printed circuit board (PCB), impacting APH's total addressable market, adds the analyst. Given the potential design changes, Amphenol could see a substantial reduction in content, around $24K, in NVL36- and NVL72-based systems, writes the analyst. Mohan notes that this would complicate the achievement of the EPS targets for 2025/2026, which were based on higher content expectations. In July, the company reported second-quarter sales increase of 18% year-on-year to $3.61 billion, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $3.38 billion and adjusted EPS of 44 cents topped the analyst consensus estimate. Investors can gain exposure to the stock via Spear Alpha ETF SPRX and AdvisorShares Focused Equity ETF CWS. Price Action: APH shares are down 1.44% at $61.02 at the last check Wednesday. Read Next: CrowdStrike Faces Short-Term Challenges Like Pipeline Delays, Deal Scrutiny, and Discounting Pressure, Analyst Says Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors. Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
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Evercore maintains Outperform rating on Amphenol stock amid NVL72 concerns By Investing.com
Evercore ISI has reaffirmed its Outperform rating and a $75.00 price target for Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:APH), a leading electronics manufacturer. The firm addressed investor concerns regarding the potential re-architecture of NVL72 systems and its impact on Amphenol's business, emphasizing that while there are challenges, Amphenol remains a key partner in developing solutions. The re-architecture of NVL72 systems, which involves shifting away from copper, could potentially destabilize the functionality of the systems by significantly increasing the power required by the rack. Optics may seem like an ideal solution, but it would also raise the power specification to approximately 150KW/rack. Printed Circuit Board (PCB) traces, another alternative, present issues with signal integration and cross-talk, leading to higher distortion and latency compared to copper cables. Despite these technical challenges, Evercore ISI suggests that there are various alternatives to manage them, such as adjusting the mix towards NVL36 racks or deploying a doubled NVL36 solution. Amphenol's collaboration with NVDA is seen as a positive sign, as they work together on a range of solutions to address these alternatives. The firm also noted that the recent sell-off due to perceived AI-centric weakness is overdone. They expect Amphenol to see a significant upside to current street estimates for CY25 EPS of around $2.00, driven by factors such as the Andrew integration, CIT accretion, industrial recovery, and iPhone cycle tailwinds. In other recent news, Amphenol Corporation reported record Q2 sales of $3.610 billion, an 18% increase year-over-year, fueled by growth in the artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and IT datacom markets. The company also completed the acquisition of Lutze U.S. and has agreed to acquire CommScope's Outdoor Wireless Networks segment for $2.1 billion. Despite a 17% decline in the broadband market, Amphenol projects Q3 sales between $3.7 billion and $3.8 billion. BofA Securities has downgraded Amphenol from Buy to Neutral, following insights suggesting potential design alterations that could affect the company's market. TD Cowen and Baird have also revised their price targets for Amphenol, while Truist Securities has increased its price target, maintaining a Buy rating. CommScope Holding (NASDAQ:COMM) Company announced preliminary Q2 results, expecting consolidated net sales of $1.39 billion, and is in discussions to address its capital structure. The company plans to sell its Outdoor Wireless Networks segment to Amphenol for $2.1 billion. Evercore ISI's confidence in Amphenol Corporation (NYSE:APH) is echoed by recent data and analysis from InvestingPro. With a robust market capitalization of $73.85 billion and a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.79, Amphenol stands out as a significant player in its industry. The company's commitment to shareholder returns is evident from its impressive track record of raising its dividend for 12 consecutive years, a trend that is supported by a strong dividend growth of 57.14% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This commitment to consistent dividend payments is further highlighted by the fact that Amphenol has maintained these payments for 20 consecutive years. InvestingPro Tips also reveal that analysts are optimistic about Amphenol's financial performance, with 12 analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. This suggests that the company is expected to continue its trajectory of profitability, which has been consistent over the last twelve months. Furthermore, with a Price/Book ratio of 8.19 as of Q2 2024, the company's assets are highly valued by the market, although it is worth noting that the company is trading at a high earnings multiple. For investors looking for more detailed analysis and additional tips on Amphenol Corporation, InvestingPro offers a comprehensive suite of tools and insights. There are 14 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Amphenol, which can be accessed at: https://www.investing.com/pro/APH. These tips could provide further clarity on the company's financial health and investment potential.
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Amphenol Corporation's stock faces downgrade and concerns due to Nvidia's design changes in AI chips. Analysts weigh in on potential revenue impact and long-term outlook.
Amphenol Corporation (NYSE: APH), a leading manufacturer of interconnect solutions, has recently faced a stock downgrade following concerns about Nvidia's design changes in AI chips. Truist analyst William Stein downgraded Amphenol from Buy to Hold, citing potential risks to the company's AI-related revenue growth 1.
The primary concern stems from Nvidia's introduction of the NVL72 chip design, which reportedly reduces the number of connectors required. This change could potentially affect Amphenol's revenue from AI-related products, as the company has been a key supplier of high-speed connectors for Nvidia's AI systems 2.
While Truist's downgrade has raised concerns, not all analysts share the same pessimistic outlook. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani maintains an Outperform rating on Amphenol stock, albeit with a slightly reduced price target of $100, down from $105 2.
Daryanani acknowledges the potential near-term headwinds but remains optimistic about Amphenol's long-term prospects. The analyst believes that while the NVL72 design change may impact connector content, Amphenol's diversified portfolio and strong market position could help mitigate these challenges 2.
The exact impact on Amphenol's revenue remains uncertain. Estimates suggest that AI-related sales currently contribute about 3-5% to Amphenol's total revenue. However, this segment has been a significant driver of the company's recent growth 1.
Despite the potential setback in AI-related revenue, analysts like Daryanani believe that Amphenol's broader market presence and diverse product offerings could help offset any losses. The company's involvement in various sectors beyond AI, including automotive, industrial, and telecommunications, may provide stability and growth opportunities 2.
Following the news of the downgrade and concerns about Nvidia's design changes, Amphenol's stock experienced some volatility. Investors and market watchers are closely monitoring the situation, weighing the potential short-term challenges against the company's long-term growth prospects 1.
As the AI chip market continues to evolve rapidly, companies like Amphenol will need to adapt to changing design requirements and market dynamics. The coming quarters will be crucial in determining the actual impact of Nvidia's design changes on Amphenol's financial performance and market position.
Melius Research raises Amkor Technology's price target, citing Apple business and AI prospects. Baird increases Amphenol's share target, highlighting strong AI sector growth. Both companies poised for potential growth in the semiconductor industry.
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Amphenol projects upbeat Q4 sales and profit, benefiting from increased demand in IT, data communications, and defense sectors, partly fueled by the AI boom.
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Applied Materials, a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer, beats Q4 expectations but faces headwinds in China sales and non-AI chip demand. The company's stock falls despite strong earnings, as analysts express concerns about future growth.
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Semiconductor companies with AI exposure see strong growth and stock performance, while analysts predict a broadening rally in the sector for 2025.
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Applied Materials, a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer, reported robust Q3 results, prompting diverse analyst opinions on the company's future prospects amid market challenges and opportunities.
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