Anthropic's AI Tool Launches Trigger $68.6 Billion Rout in Indian IT Stocks

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Indian IT stocks suffered their worst month in 23 years, with the Nifty IT index plunging 21% in February as Anthropic unveiled multiple AI capabilities. The selloff erased $68.6 billion in market value, led by TCS and Infosys, as investor concerns about AI disruption intensified across the $300 billion IT services industry.

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Anthropic Sparks Historic Selloff in IT Stocks

Indian IT stocks endured their most brutal month in nearly 23 years as artificial intelligence lab Anthropic rolled out a series of AI tool launches throughout February, triggering a $68.6 billion market value erosion

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. The Nifty IT index crashed 21% during the month, with all 10 constituents falling between 16.8% and 27%

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. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Infosys led the market value erosion, losing approximately $21.9 billion and $16.3 billion respectively, while Coforge emerged as the steepest percentage decliner, down 26.8%

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The selloff reflects mounting investor concerns about AI's potential to fundamentally reshape the labor-intensive delivery model that underpins India's roughly $300 billion IT services industry

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. This Indian IT sector downturn caused the Nifty 50 index to rise just 0.4% in February while the Sensex edged 0.1% lower, significantly underperforming both the MSCI Asia ex-Japan and MSCI Emerging Markets indexes

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Timeline of AI Disruption Events

The market reaction to AI intensified through a cascade of announcements from Anthropic. On February 3, the company launched plug-ins for its Claude Cowork agent capable of automating tasks across legal, sales, marketing and data analysis, prompting Wall Street to end sharply lower

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. The tech selloff spilled over to Dalal Street the following day, with the Nifty IT index crashing 6% as heavyweights like Infosys, Tech Mahindra, LTI Mindtree, and TCS fell up to 8%

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On February 6, Anthropic unveiled Claude Opus 4.6, designed to handle complex financial research and enterprise tasks that would normally take days for humans to complete

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. The index tumbled 5.5% on February 13 after the company announced that any organization could purchase Claude Enterprise directly on its website with no sales conversation required

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COBOL Modernization Fears Intensify

The most dramatic single-day decline occurred on February 24 when IBM shares plunged 13%—their steepest drop in 25 years—after Anthropic said its Claude AI tool could help streamline COBOL code

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. The company claimed that tools like Claude Code can automate the exploration and analysis phases that consume most of the effort in COBOL modernization, potentially reducing timelines from years to quarters

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This development hit Indian IT firms particularly hard. Coforge, Persistent Systems and HCLTech led losses with declines of 7-8%, while Infosys, Tech Mahindra, Mphasis and TCS fell roughly 4-6%

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. COBOL remains critical for many Indian IT firms supporting global banking, insurance and retail infrastructure, with TCS among the largest employers for mainframe and COBOL-related roles in India

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Enterprise AI Partnerships Offer Limited Relief

On February 24, Anthropic attempted to ease software sector fears by hosting an enterprise agents event where it revealed new partnerships

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. The company launched updates to Claude Cowork allowing integration into enterprise apps such as Salesforce-owned Slack, Intuit, Docusign, LegalZoom, FactSet and Google's Gmail

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. Organizations can now deploy customizable plug-ins across sectors like financial analysis, engineering and human resources

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The announcement provided temporary relief, with the S&P 500 software and services index climbing 0.5%, though it remained down 23.5% for the year

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. Salesforce advanced 3.4%, becoming one of the biggest gainers on the Dow

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Automation Tools Threaten Revenue Models

Investors have zeroed in on the AI-driven automation push from U.S. firms, heightening concerns over faster project execution, pricing pressure and reduced billable hours

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. Brokerages warn the sector could face further pressure if AI starts eating into application services revenue, which typically accounts for 40% to 70% of total revenue for these companies

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"There are no easy answers to whether AI eventually renders IT services obsolete over the long term," said analysts led by Abhishek Pathak of Motilal Oswal

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. "The narrative that AI is coming for not just IT but large swathes of the economy could be too strong to shake, at least in the short term," the analysts added

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Broader Economic Implications and Human Intervention Debate

A slowdown or contraction in India's IT sector could have immediate consequences on both residential and commercial real estate demand, with the Nifty Realty index rising roughly 2% in February following an 18% decline over the past three months

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. Foreign portfolio investors pulled out approximately 110 billion rupees ($1.21 billion) from IT stocks in the first half of February, following a record 750 billion rupees of net selling in 2025

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Robert Pavlik, Senior Portfolio Manager at Dakota Wealth, noted that while parts of these products would be welcomed by corporations trying to reduce overhead and costs, human intervention remains essential

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. "I don't think that people anticipate AI will taking over for real humans and real tasks," Pavlik said, adding that workforce adaptation and implementation of AI products is not yet fully done

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Ken Polcari, Partner at Slatestone Wealth, emphasized that while AI will clearly disrupt the world, it's not the end of the world

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. "Like every industrial revolution, there'll be anxiety going through it, but then when it comes out the other side, there will be new opportunities," Polcari stated

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. The share price volatility reflects a "shoot first, ask questions later" mentality driven by algorithms, with some analysts identifying potential value in stocks that have been severely punished

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