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Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Says Energy Bottlenecks Can't Stop AI Growth: Companies Could Go Partially Off-Grid
In a blog post on Wednesday, Cathie Wood-led ARK Invest has projected that the growth and profitability of AI data centers will remain strong, despite increasing power demand and costs. What Happened: The blog written by Sam Korus, director of Research Autonomous Technology & Robotics at ARK Invest, indicates that AI companies could partially operate off-grid through independent power generation. For example, Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has used generators to power xAI's data center in Memphis, Tennessee, bypassing full grid interconnection. ARK estimates that the additional demand from AI data centers will drive the growth in global electricity demand to 3.2% at a compound annual rate through 2030. This is despite the average growth in electricity production globally being around 2.7% annually for the past five years. See Also: Apple's Smart Camera Coming In 2026, Cupertino Eyeing 'Tens of Millions' In Annual Shipments, Says Top Supply Chain Analyst ARK's research also suggested that the time required to build new generation and distribution capacity will not be a limiting factor. Electricity accounts for approximately 9% of total AI data center costs, leaving ample room for companies to invest in expedited, non-grid power solutions without disrupting data center economics. The research suggested that the incremental capital required to meet the incremental electricity demand would be around $235 billion in 2030, roughly 6% of what ARK expects to be spent on AI hardware that year. Why It Matters: The power demand for AI has been a topic of concern, with President-elect Donald Trump previously expressing shock at AI's substantial electricity demands in a conversation with Musk. Earlier, the CEO of Oklo Inc., Jacob DeWitte, also highlighted the "mind-blowing" demand for AI power, noting that Alphabet Inc. -- Google's parent company -- partnering with Kairos Power is just the beginning for nuclear power startups eager to collaborate with major tech firms. In April 2024, it was reported that if energy efficiency does not improve, AI data centers could account for up to a quarter of U.S. power demand by the decade's end. Read Next: AI Capabilities Plateauing, Say Andreessen Horowitz Founders, Echoing Concerns Of OpenAI Co-Founder Ilya Sutskever Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors. Market News and Data brought to you by Benzinga APIs
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Electric Grid Limitations Should Not Slow Development Of AI Data Centers
ARK's research suggests that power shortages are unlikely to impede the expansion of AI data centers and that the higher electricity costs associated with rapid development of AI data centers will not impact their profitability ARK Invest holds a precision lens on thematic investing. We focus on disruptive innovation and identify themes that will enhance productivity and create wealth. ARK seeks to research and invest in technologically enabled innovation that cuts across economic sectors and changes the way our world works. Our current themes include: Industrial Innovation, Web x.0, and the Genomic Revolution. Innovation is inevitable, and ultimately wins out in an equity market. Our research is made available on our website and we invite everyone to participate in our discussions around thematic investing in innovation. For more information please visit: https://ark-invest.com
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ARK Invest's research suggests that power demands and costs won't hinder AI data center growth, with companies potentially adopting off-grid solutions to meet energy needs.
ARK Invest, led by Cathie Wood, has released a compelling analysis suggesting that the rapid expansion of AI data centers is unlikely to be hindered by increasing power demands and costs. In a recent blog post, Sam Korus, Director of Research Autonomous Technology & Robotics at ARK Invest, outlined the firm's projections and potential solutions for the energy challenges facing AI infrastructure 1.
ARK estimates that the additional demand from AI data centers will drive global electricity demand growth to 3.2% annually through 2030, surpassing the average growth of 2.7% seen in the past five years 1. Despite this increase, the research indicates that the time required to build new generation and distribution capacity will not be a limiting factor for AI development.
The firm projects that the incremental capital needed to meet the increased electricity demand would be approximately $235 billion in 2030. This figure represents only about 6% of the expected spending on AI hardware for that year, suggesting that energy costs will not significantly impact the overall economics of AI data centers 1.
One of the key insights from ARK's research is the potential for AI companies to operate partially off-grid through independent power generation. This approach is exemplified by Elon Musk's xAI, which has utilized generators to power its data center in Memphis, Tennessee, bypassing full grid interconnection 1.
ARK's analysis reveals that electricity accounts for only about 9% of total AI data center costs. This leaves substantial room for companies to invest in expedited, non-grid power solutions without disrupting the economic viability of their data centers 1.
The power demand for AI has been a topic of significant discussion and concern. Earlier reports suggested that AI data centers could potentially account for up to a quarter of U.S. power demand by the end of the decade if energy efficiency does not improve 2. This projection has sparked conversations about the sustainability of AI growth and its impact on energy infrastructure.
The issue has even caught the attention of political figures, with President-elect Donald Trump reportedly expressing shock at AI's substantial electricity demands during a conversation with Elon Musk 1. Additionally, collaborations between tech giants and nuclear power startups, such as Alphabet Inc.'s partnership with Kairos Power, indicate a growing interest in innovative energy solutions for AI infrastructure 1.
Despite these concerns, ARK Invest maintains a bullish outlook on the future of AI data centers. Their research suggests that the growth and profitability of these centers will remain strong, even in the face of increasing power demands and costs 2. This optimistic view is based on the potential for technological advancements and creative energy solutions to overcome current limitations.
As the AI industry continues to evolve, the interplay between technological innovation and energy infrastructure will likely remain a critical area of focus for investors, policymakers, and technology companies alike.
Elon Musk's AI company xAI has open-sourced the Grok 2.5 model on Hugging Face, making it available for developers to access and explore. Musk also announced plans to open-source Grok 3 in about six months, signaling a commitment to transparency and innovation in AI development.
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