ASM International's Q4 Orders Miss Forecasts, but AI Demand Drives Positive Outlook

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ASM International, a Dutch semiconductor equipment maker, reported lower-than-expected Q4 orders due to weak demand in China, but sees strong AI-driven growth prospects.

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ASM International's Q4 Performance and Market Challenges

ASM International, a Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer, reported mixed results for the fourth quarter of 2024. The company's orders fell short of analysts' expectations, primarily due to weak demand in China. ASM International booked €731.4 million ($765.7 million) in orders, representing an 8% year-on-year increase at constant currencies. However, this figure was below the consensus estimate of €786.61 million 1.

The company attributed the lower-than-expected orders to declining sales in China during the second half of 2024. This downturn is largely a result of ongoing U.S. export restrictions aimed at curbing Beijing's access to advanced semiconductor technology. ASM International anticipates a further decrease in China revenue for 2025 1.

Strong Financial Performance Despite Challenges

Despite the order shortfall, ASM International demonstrated robust financial performance in other areas. The company's quarterly revenue grew by 27% at constant currencies to €809 million, surpassing analysts' forecasts and reaching the upper end of its guidance. Net profit climbed to €225.8 million from €90.9 million, exceeding expectations. The gross profit, a key metric in the semiconductor industry, came in at €407.2 million with a 50.3% margin 1.

AI-Driven Demand and Future Outlook

ASM International's CEO, Hichem M'Saad, highlighted the increasingly pivotal role of artificial intelligence (AI) in driving demand for chip-making equipment. The company reported strong orders for gate-all-around technology, as chip makers transition to these advanced transistors for improved electrical signals and overall chip performance 1.

Looking ahead, ASM International provided an optimistic forecast for the first quarter of 2025. The company expects revenue between €810 million and €850 million, surpassing the average analyst estimate of €800.2 million. This positive outlook is largely attributed to the ongoing AI boom driving demand for semiconductor equipment 2.

Strategic Initiatives and Market Position

ASM International announced plans to propose a 2024 dividend of €3 per common share, an increase from the previous year's €2.75. Additionally, the company's management board authorized a new share repurchase program of up to €150 million between 2025 and 2026 1.

The company maintains its full-year revenue forecast of between €3.2 billion and €3.6 billion for 2025, demonstrating confidence in its market position and growth prospects despite the challenges in the Chinese market 1.

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