Cisco Sees Strong AI Momentum, Expects Over $1 Billion in AI Orders for Fiscal 2025

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Cisco reports Q1 2025 earnings, highlighting significant AI-driven growth despite overall revenue decline. The company projects over $1 billion in AI orders for fiscal 2025, with $300 million already secured in Q1.

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Cisco's Q1 2025 Financial Performance

Cisco Systems reported its fiscal first-quarter earnings for 2025, showcasing a mixed financial picture. The company's earnings per share of 91 cents surpassed analyst expectations of 87 cents 12. However, overall revenue declined by 6% year-over-year to $13.84 billion, though still beating the projected $13.77 billion 13.

The networking giant experienced a 23% decline in its core networking business, with revenue dropping to $6.75 billion 3. This decrease was attributed to elevated shipment levels from the previous year 4. Despite this setback, Cisco saw significant growth in other areas, particularly in AI-related sectors.

AI-Driven Growth and Future Projections

Cisco's CEO, Chuck Robbins, highlighted the company's strong momentum in AI-related orders. In Q1 alone, Cisco secured over $300 million in AI infrastructure orders from webscale customers 25. This early success has bolstered confidence in the company's fiscal 2025 target of exceeding $1 billion in AI orders 15.

Robbins emphasized three key areas of AI opportunity for Cisco:

  1. AI training infrastructure for webscale customers
  2. AI network connectivity for enterprise customers
  3. AI network inference and enterprise cloud readiness 5

The company's data center switching portfolio experienced its third consecutive quarter of double-digit order growth, indicating strong enterprise preparation for AI deployments 4.

Security and Observability Segments Shine

Cisco's security segment saw remarkable growth, with revenue doubling year-over-year to $2.02 billion 3. This surge was partly due to the integration of Splunk, which Cisco acquired for $28 billion 4. The observability segment also showed strong performance, with a 36% revenue increase to $258 million 3.

Strategic Shifts and Future Outlook

Cisco is actively repositioning itself to capitalize on the growing AI market. The company has introduced new data center hardware powered by Nvidia's GPUs and plans to support other GPU types in the future 3. Robbins noted that while 2025 is expected to see real enterprise deployment of AI technologies, most enterprises are currently focused on upgrading their data center infrastructures 3.

For the upcoming quarter, Cisco forecasts earnings between 89 to 91 cents per share on revenue of $13.75 billion to $13.95 billion 2. The company has also raised its fiscal 2025 outlook, projecting revenue between $55.3 billion and $56.3 billion, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.60 to $3.66 2.

Challenges and Market Response

Despite the positive AI outlook, Cisco faces challenges in its traditional networking business and ongoing restructuring efforts. The company is in the process of cutting 7% of its global workforce, approximately 6,000 jobs, to reduce costs and invest in growth areas 2.

The market's initial response to Cisco's earnings was mixed, with the stock declining by about 2% in after-hours trading 34. However, the company's shares have shown a 17% increase year-to-date, reflecting overall positive sentiment towards Cisco's strategic direction 3.

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