Dell Projects $15 Billion in AI Server Sales for FY2026 Amid Mixed Q4 Results

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Dell Technologies forecasts $15 billion in AI server sales for the upcoming fiscal year, despite reporting mixed fourth-quarter results. The company remains optimistic about AI adoption and its competitive position in the market.

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Dell's Ambitious AI Server Sales Projection

Dell Technologies has set an ambitious target of $15 billion in AI server sales for the fiscal year 2026, showcasing the company's strong commitment to the rapidly growing AI infrastructure market

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. This projection comes on the heels of Dell's reported $10 billion in AI-optimized server sales for fiscal year 2025, indicating a significant year-over-year growth expectation

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Q4 2025 Financial Performance

Dell's fourth-quarter results for fiscal year 2025 presented a mixed picture:

  • Revenue: $23.9 billion, up 7% year-over-year, but falling short of analyst estimates of $24.55 billion

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  • Earnings per share: $2.68 (adjusted), beating Wall Street's target of $2.53

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  • Net income: $1.53 billion, a 27% increase from the previous year

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The company's Infrastructure Solutions Group, which includes server products, saw a 22% increase in sales to $11.35 billion, while the Client Solutions Group, encompassing PC sales, grew by 5% to $11.88 billion

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AI Server Market Position and Strategy

Dell's optimism about its AI server business is rooted in several factors:

  1. Competitive advantage: The company claims to be the first to bring Nvidia's Blackwell GB200 rack to market, emphasizing its engineering prowess and collaboration with key partners

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  2. Comprehensive approach: Dell offers not just hardware but also set-up, services, and financing, which it believes gives it an edge in winning deals with cloud service providers and enterprises

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  3. Growing demand: The company reported $4.1 billion in backlogged AI server orders at the end of January, indicating strong market interest

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Challenges and Market Dynamics

Despite the positive outlook, Dell faces some challenges:

  1. Margin pressure: The company forecasts a decline in its adjusted gross margin rate for fiscal year 2026 due to higher costs associated with building AI servers

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  2. Competitive landscape: Dell is operating in a fiercely competitive market, with rivals like Super Micro Computer also vying for market share

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  3. Potential tariff impact: The company is reviewing U.S. trade tariff orders on Chinese products to assess potential impacts on operations and pricing

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Future Outlook and Investor Relations

For fiscal year 2026, Dell projects:

  • Total revenue between $101 billion and $105 billion

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  • Adjusted earnings per share of $9.30, slightly above analyst estimates

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In a show of confidence, Dell has increased its annual dividend by 18% and announced a $10 billion share repurchase authorization

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. However, the stock saw a slight decline in after-hours trading following the earnings report, reflecting investor concerns about the mixed results and future challenges

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As Dell navigates the evolving AI infrastructure landscape, its ability to maintain its competitive edge while managing costs and market expectations will be crucial for its continued success in this high-growth sector.

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