Dell Raises AI Server Revenue Forecast to $25 Billion Amid Strong Q4 Outlook

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Dell Technologies reported mixed Q3 results but provided strong Q4 guidance driven by accelerating AI server demand. The company raised its annual AI server revenue forecast to $25 billion and secured major deals with government and enterprise customers.

Mixed Q3 Results Drive Strong Future Outlook

Dell Technologies reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that presented a mixed picture for investors, with revenue slightly missing Wall Street expectations while delivering robust guidance for the fourth quarter. The company posted Q3 revenue of $27.01 billion, falling short of the $27.13 billion analyst consensus

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. Despite the revenue miss, Dell's shares rose approximately 3% in extended trading following the announcement of stronger-than-expected forward guidance

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Source: Market Screener

Source: Market Screener

Net income for the quarter reached $1.54 billion, or $2.28 per diluted share, representing a significant improvement from the year-ago period's $1.17 billion, or $1.64 per share

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. Adjusted earnings per share of $2.59 exceeded analyst estimates of $2.47, demonstrating the company's operational efficiency despite revenue challenges

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AI Server Business Drives Record Performance

The standout performer in Dell's portfolio was its artificial intelligence server business, which generated $5.6 billion in shipments during the third quarter

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. Chief Operating Officer Jeff Clarke highlighted the accelerating momentum, stating that "AI momentum is accelerating in the second half of the year, leading to record AI server orders of $12.3 billion and an unprecedented $30 billion in orders year to date"

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The company significantly raised its expectations for AI server shipments, increasing the annual forecast to $25 billion from the previous $20 billion projection

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. This marks the second upward revision this year, with Dell having previously raised the forecast in August

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Strategic Customer Base and Market Position

Dell's customer base for AI systems differs notably from traditional cloud hyperscalers, focusing instead on enterprise customers, government entities, and emerging "neoclouds" like CoreWeave

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. The company has secured significant deals with prestigious clients including the U.S. Department of Energy, Abu Dhabi's AI firm G42, and Elon Musk's AI startup xAI

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A notable development was Dell's announcement of a deal with Iren, a neocloud company, to sell Nvidia-based GB300 systems that will be rented to Microsoft

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. This transaction, announced in November, is not included in the company's fourth-quarter AI server sales projection of $9.4 billion

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Segment Performance and Challenges

Dell's Infrastructure Solutions Group, encompassing data center operations, reported $14.11 billion in sales, meeting analyst expectations

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. Within this segment, servers and networking components generated $10.1 billion, representing a 37% annual increase

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. The company also sold $4 billion worth of storage equipment during the quarter .

However, Dell's Client Solutions Group, which includes laptops and PCs, faced headwinds with $12.48 billion in sales, up 3% year-over-year but below the $12.65 billion analyst estimate

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. The laptop and PC business specifically declined 7% annually, reflecting ongoing challenges in the traditional computing market .

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