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On Sat, 22 Feb, 12:13 AM UTC
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[1]
Fed's Jefferson says AI is speeding investors' reactions to central bankers' messages
(Reuters) - Artificial intelligence is speeding the rate at which investors react to specific sentences in central bankers' speeches and in statements describing their policy actions, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said on Friday, but it's unclear whether that increased speed is boosting or hindering the effective transmission of monetary policy. "For now, I do not think artificial intelligence is changing the way policymakers communicate, but research shows that it has affected how quickly information about policy is incorporated into asset prices," Jefferson said in prepared remarks to a conference at the San Francisco Fed that did not touch on his outlook for monetary policy or the U.S. economy. Further research is needed, he said, to determine whether the faster speed is allowing monetary policy to get transmitted faster through the economy, or, as some worry, that it "may provide an incentive for investors to value speed over accuracy, and may reduce the long-run informativeness of asset prices, which could hurt the transmission of monetary policy." In any event, Jefferson said, research makes it clear that it's not just investors but also households that pay attention and respond to monetary policy pronouncements. Policymakers, he said, "should communicate as clearly as possible to avoid increasing uncertainty."
[2]
Fed's Jefferson says AI is speeding investors' reactions to central bankers' messages
Feb 21 (Reuters) - Artificial intelligence is speeding the rate at which investors react to specific sentences in central bankers' speeches and in statements describing their policy actions, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said on Friday, but it's unclear whether that increased speed is boosting or hindering the effective transmission of monetary policy. "For now, I do not think artificial intelligence is changing the way policymakers communicate, but research shows that it has affected how quickly information about policy is incorporated into asset prices," Jefferson said in prepared remarks to a conference at the San Francisco Fed that did not touch on his outlook for monetary policy or the U.S. economy. Further research is needed, he said, to determine whether the faster speed is allowing monetary policy to get transmitted faster through the economy, or, as some worry, that it "may provide an incentive for investors to value speed over accuracy, and may reduce the long-run informativeness of asset prices, which could hurt the transmission of monetary policy." In any event, Jefferson said, research makes it clear that it's not just investors but also households that pay attention and respond to monetary policy pronouncements. Policymakers, he said, "should communicate as clearly as possible to avoid increasing uncertainty." Reporting by Ann Saphir; Editing by Paul Simao Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab Suggested Topics:Artificial Intelligence
[3]
Fed's Jefferson Says AI Speeds Impact of Policy on Asset Prices
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said artificial intelligence tools may help with the transmission of monetary policy, but cautioned about the limits of the technology. Jefferson said research suggests the automated analysis of the Fed's communication, along with automated trading, had increased how quickly information is incorporated into asset prices.
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson discusses the impact of AI on investor reactions to central bank communications, highlighting both potential benefits and concerns for monetary policy transmission.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson has highlighted the growing influence of artificial intelligence (AI) on how investors respond to central bank communications. Speaking at a conference at the San Francisco Fed, Jefferson noted that AI is accelerating the speed at which investors react to specific sentences in central bankers' speeches and policy statements 1.
Jefferson emphasized that while AI is not currently changing how policymakers communicate, research indicates it has significantly affected the speed at which policy information is incorporated into asset prices 2. This rapid processing of information by AI tools, coupled with automated trading systems, has led to faster market reactions to central bank announcements.
The Fed Vice Chair pointed out that this increased speed of information processing could have both positive and negative implications for monetary policy transmission:
Jefferson stressed the need for further research to determine whether the accelerated reaction times are enhancing or hindering the effective transmission of monetary policy.
While the focus has been on investor reactions, Jefferson also noted that research shows households pay attention and respond to monetary policy announcements. This broader impact underscores the importance of clear communication from policymakers to avoid increasing uncertainty 2.
Despite acknowledging the potential benefits of AI in policy transmission, Jefferson cautioned about the technology's limitations. He emphasized the need for a balanced approach in leveraging AI tools while being aware of their constraints 3.
The insights shared by Jefferson highlight the evolving landscape of monetary policy in the age of AI. As central banks navigate this new terrain, they must consider how to effectively communicate their policies while accounting for the rapid, AI-driven market reactions. This development may lead to adjustments in communication strategies and potentially influence the timing and delivery of policy announcements in the future.
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The Bank of England raises concerns about the increasing use of AI in financial markets, warning of potential market instability, manipulation, and systemic risks without human awareness.
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The International Monetary Fund reports on the dual nature of AI adoption in financial markets, highlighting both its potential to enhance efficiency and the risks of increased market volatility.
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