OpenAI's $74 Billion Loss Trajectory Contrasts Sharply with Anthropic's Path to Profitability

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Internal documents reveal OpenAI's massive cash burn rate and projected $74 billion loss by 2028, while competitor Anthropic aims for profitability the same year through a more conservative business-focused strategy.

OpenAI's Staggering Financial Burn Rate

Internal financial documents have revealed the extraordinary scale of OpenAI's cash consumption, painting a picture of a company betting its future on massive infrastructure investments. According to leaked Microsoft financial records obtained by tech blogger Ed Zitron, OpenAI spent $8.7 billion on inference computing through Azure alone in the first three quarters of 2025, more than double its $3.7 billion spend in 2024

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. The company's total commitment to Microsoft for compute power has exceeded $12 billion since 2024, with projections suggesting operating losses could reach $74 billion by 2028

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Source: Futurism

Source: Futurism

The financial documents indicate OpenAI's cash burn rate currently sits at approximately 70% of revenue, with the company anticipating burning through roughly $9 billion this year on $13 billion in sales

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. This trajectory is expected to worsen before improving, with operating losses projected to reach roughly three-quarters of revenue by 2028.

Anthropic's Conservative Path to Profitability

In stark contrast, competitor Anthropic has charted a more sustainable course toward profitability. The AI startup, valued at nearly $200 billion, derives approximately 80% of its revenue from enterprise clients and maintains over 300,000 business customers

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. By avoiding costly developments in image and video generation, Anthropic has maintained better control over its expense-to-revenue ratio.

Source: Digit

Source: Digit

The company's financial projections show a dramatically different trajectory from OpenAI. While both companies currently burn cash at similar rates relative to revenue, Anthropic forecasts reducing its cash burn to roughly one-third of revenue by 2026 and down to 9% by 2027, positioning itself to break even by 2028

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. This conservative approach has attracted significant backing from major cloud providers, with Amazon Web Services pledging $8 billion and Google investing over $3 billion

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The Sora Factor: Expensive Innovation

OpenAI's video generation tool Sora exemplifies the company's expensive innovation strategy. According to Forbes estimates, the application could be costing OpenAI approximately $15 million per day, or roughly $5 billion annually

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. A single ten-second video clip reportedly costs the company around $1.30 to generate, with Sora lead Bill Peebles acknowledging that the "economics are currently completely unsustainable"

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Infrastructure Commitments and Future Outlook

OpenAI's strategy relies heavily on massive infrastructure investments, with CEO Sam Altman announcing commitments of up to $1.4 trillion over the next eight years for computing deals with cloud and chip providers

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. The company is spending nearly $100 billion on backup data-center capacity alone to cover unforeseen demand from future products.

Source: Fortune

Source: Fortune

Despite the massive losses, OpenAI projects explosive revenue growth, expecting to reach approximately $200 billion in annual revenue by 2030 and achieve cash flow positivity by 2029 or 2030

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. However, questions remain about revenue accuracy, with leaked documents suggesting actual revenues may be significantly lower than reported, potentially $2 billion short of the $4.3 billion claimed in early October

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