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On Fri, 31 Jan, 4:05 PM UTC
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CNBC Daily Open: Markets shake off DeepSeek fears to focus on what's near
Markets rise amid choppy trading Major U.S. benchmarks rose on Thursday in a volatile session that saw stocks slump in the final hour of trading before sharply recovering losses. Europe's regional Stoxx 600 index added 0.86% to close at a record high, buoyed by the European Central Bank's quarter-point cut to interest rates on Thursday. That said, ECB President Christine Lagarde cautioned that the euro area economy "is set to remain weak in the near term." Slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth U.S. gross domestic product expanded by 2.3% on an annualized and inflation-adjusted pace in the fourth quarter of 2024, the U.S. Commerce Department reported Thursday. The figure was lower than the 2.5% expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones, and a drop from the 3.1% growth recorded in the third quarter. Still, the U.S. experienced healthy economic growth of 2.8% for the whole of 2024. Apple's services sales make up for iPhone slump Apple shares climbed around 3% in extended trading after the company reported a 14% year-on-year jump in services revenue during its first fiscal quarter -- which helped boost gross margins to 46.9%, the highest on record. That bump defrayed worries over declining iPhone sales, which not only missed LSEG estimates by the largest margin in two years but were also lower compared with a year earlier because of weakness in the Greater China market. New funding round would double OpenAI's valuation OpenAI is in talks to raise up to $40 billion in a funding round that would lift the artificial intelligence company's valuation to as high as $340 billion, CNBC has confirmed, more than doubling its last valuation of $157 billion by private investors. Masayoshi Son's SoftBank would lead the round, contributing up to $25 billion, according to two people familiar with the negotiations who asked not to be named because the talks are ongoing. At such amounts, SoftBank would surpass Microsoft as OpenAI's top backer. India's budget will walk a tightrope Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the national budget on Feb. 1v, the coalition government's first full-year budget after assuming power in June. The Indian government faces a tough choice between fiscal prudence and reviving growth. Sitharaman pledged in her July budget speech to narrow the deficit to 4.5% of GDP in the next fiscal year, but more government stimulus might be needed to revive the country's slowing economy. [PRO] As goes January, so goes the year The January Barometer, a concept devised by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader's Almanac, states that "as goes the S&P 500 in January, so goes for the year." With only one trading day left in the month, the S&P is higher by 3.2% for the month -- putting it on course to signal gains for the rest of 2025. But why would performance in January determine the market's direction in the following eleven months?
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CNBC Daily Open: What DeepSeek? Big Tech is already bringing in billions
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here. Markets rise amid choppy trading Major U.S. benchmarks rose on Thursday in a volatile session that saw stocks slump in the final hour of trading before sharply recovering losses. Asia-Pacific markets mostly advanced Friday. India's Nifty 50 index climbed around 0.8% ahead of the country's Union Budget on Saturday, in which the government has to balance fiscal prudence with economic stimulus. Slower-than-expected U.S. economic growth U.S. gross domestic product expanded by 2.3% on an annualized and inflation-adjusted pace in the fourth quarter of 2024, the U.S. Commerce Department reported Thursday. The figure was lower than the 2.5% expected by economists surveyed by Dow Jones, and a drop from the 3.1% growth recorded in the third quarter. Still, the U.S. experienced healthy economic growth of 2.8% for the whole of 2024. Apple's services sales make up for iPhone slump Apple shares climbed around 3% in extended trading after the company reported a 14% year-on-year jump in services revenue during its first fiscal quarter -- which helped boost gross margins to 46.9%, the highest on record. That bump defrayed worries over declining iPhone sales, which fell 11% on an annual basis in the Greater China market. But CEO Tim Cook said there's "a national subsidy program" in China, which could boost sales. Samsung Electronics' operating profits take a hit Samsung Electronics reported fourth-quarter revenue that rose 12% from a year earlier, beating LSEG estimates. Annual revenue in 2024 was the second highest on record, Samsung said. The South Korean firm's operating profit jumped about 130% year on year -- but slumped nearly 30% on a quarterly basis amid soft market conditions and an increase in company expenditures. New funding round would double OpenAI's valuation OpenAI is in talks to raise up to $40 billion in a funding round that would lift the artificial intelligence company's valuation to as high as $340 billion, CNBC has confirmed, more than doubling its last valuation of $157 billion by private investors. Masayoshi Son's SoftBank would lead the round, contributing up to $25 billion, according to two people familiar with the negotiations who asked not to be named because the talks are ongoing. At such amounts, SoftBank would surpass Microsoft as OpenAI's top backer. [PRO] As goes January, so goes the year The January Barometer, a concept devised by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader's Almanac, states that "as goes the S&P 500 in January, so goes for the year." With only one trading day left in the month, the S&P is higher by 3.2% for the month -- putting it on course to signal gains for the rest of 2025. But why would performance in January determine the market's direction in the following eleven months?
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OpenAI is in talks for a massive funding round that could double its valuation, while Apple and Samsung report mixed financial results. Meanwhile, U.S. economic growth slows, and markets react to various economic indicators.
OpenAI, the artificial intelligence powerhouse, is reportedly in talks to raise up to $40 billion in a new funding round that could catapult its valuation to an astounding $340 billion 12. This potential valuation would more than double the company's previous valuation of $157 billion. SoftBank, led by Masayoshi Son, is expected to spearhead this round with a contribution of up to $25 billion. If successful, this investment would position SoftBank as OpenAI's top backer, surpassing even Microsoft's stake in the company.
Apple reported mixed results in its first fiscal quarter, with services revenue jumping 14% year-on-year, pushing gross margins to a record high of 46.9% 12. However, the tech giant faced challenges with iPhone sales, which declined, particularly in the Greater China market. Despite this setback, Apple's shares climbed approximately 3% in extended trading.
Samsung Electronics also presented a mixed financial picture. While the company's fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% from the previous year, beating estimates, its operating profit experienced a significant quarterly decline of nearly 30% 2. This slump was attributed to soft market conditions and increased company expenditures.
The U.S. economy showed signs of slowing growth in the fourth quarter of 2024. The Commerce Department reported an annualized and inflation-adjusted GDP expansion of 2.3%, falling short of the 2.5% expectation and marking a decrease from the third quarter's 3.1% growth 12. Despite this slowdown, the overall economic growth for 2024 remained healthy at 2.8%.
Financial markets demonstrated resilience in the face of these economic indicators. Major U.S. benchmarks rose on Thursday, overcoming a volatile trading session. The European Stoxx 600 index reached a record high, buoyed by the European Central Bank's interest rate cut 1. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde cautioned about potential near-term economic weakness in the euro area.
As January draws to a close, market analysts are paying close attention to the "January Barometer" theory, which suggests that the S&P 500's performance in January can indicate the market's direction for the rest of the year 12. With the S&P 500 up by 3.2% for the month, this could potentially signal positive gains for the remainder of 2025.
In Asia, markets mostly advanced, with India's Nifty 50 index climbing ahead of the country's Union Budget announcement 2. The Indian government faces the challenge of balancing fiscal prudence with the need for economic stimulus in its upcoming budget presentation.
As global markets navigate through economic uncertainties and technological advancements, the potential massive funding round for OpenAI underscores the continued investor confidence in the AI sector, despite broader economic challenges faced by established tech giants.
September 2024 saw financial markets break from traditional patterns, with major indices posting gains despite historical trends. This unexpected performance has sparked discussions about economic resilience and future market directions.
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Meta discontinues its third-party fact-checking program, while AI startup Anthropic is in talks for a major funding round. Meanwhile, economic concerns arise as inflation fears impact markets.
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Stock markets show gains despite Federal Reserve warnings about tariffs. Meanwhile, tech giants make strides in AI, and companies like Qualcomm and Huawei report significant growth.
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A comprehensive look at recent AI-related developments, including potential TikTok deals, Chinese AI advancements, and their impact on global markets and tech companies.
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Recent market trends show a cooling enthusiasm for Trump's policies and AI investments, while economic indicators present a mixed picture across global markets.
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