Portugal Aims to Boost Productivity by Retraining 30% of Workforce in AI

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A McKinsey study suggests that Portugal could close its productivity gap with the EU average by 2030 if it retrains 1.3 million workers in generative AI technologies.

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Portugal's AI-Driven Productivity Boost

Portugal is setting its sights on a significant economic transformation through the power of artificial intelligence (AI). A recent study by consulting firm McKinsey has revealed that the country could potentially close its productivity gap with the European Union average by 2030, provided it undertakes a massive workforce retraining initiative focused on generative AI technologies

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The Productivity Challenge

Historically, Portugal has grappled with low productivity, which has been a major hindrance to its economic growth. Between 2010 and 2022, productivity gains contributed a mere 0.6% to the country's compound annual GDP growth, less than half the EU average of 1.3%

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. This longstanding issue has been described as Portugal's "Achilles' heel," underscoring the urgent need for transformative measures.

The AI Solution

The McKinsey study proposes an ambitious plan: retrain approximately 1.3 million workers, representing about 30% of Portugal's employed population, to work with generative AI

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. This large-scale upskilling initiative could potentially catapult Portugal's productivity contribution to GDP growth from 0.6% to 3.1% by 2030, aligning it with the projected EU average

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Understanding Generative AI

Generative AI, the focal point of this proposed transformation, is a cutting-edge technology that learns from past data to create new content, such as text, images, or computer code. Unlike traditional AI systems that merely categorize or identify data, generative AI has the capacity to produce original outputs based on its training

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The Scale of Change

The study outlines the magnitude of the task ahead:

  1. Retraining 1.3 million workers in new technological and social skills.
  2. Shifting approximately 320,000 people from roles in customer service or administrative support to new positions.
  3. Fostering close collaboration between the public, private, and education sectors

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Investment and Implementation

Duarte Begonha, a senior partner at McKinsey, emphasizes that the primary investment will be in "changing processes, procedures and ways of working"

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. He notes that for every euro invested in generative AI technologies, an additional three euros will need to be invested in managing organizational change

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A Unique Opportunity

Begonha views this initiative as "a unique opportunity for the country to compete directly with the developed economies of the world in terms of growth"

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. If successful, this AI-driven transformation could position Portugal as a competitive player in the global economy, marking a significant turning point in its economic trajectory.

As Portugal embarks on this ambitious journey, the world will be watching to see if AI can indeed be the catalyst for closing longstanding productivity gaps and reshaping national economies.

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