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White House Economist Calls Citrini AI Report 'Science Fiction'
A top White House economist dubbed the weekend report about artificial intelligence risks that had roiled the stock market "science fiction." The paper from Citrini Research imagines a 2028 world in which rapid advances in machine intelligence turbocharge productivity but render large swaths of human labor obsolete -- sparking job losses, collapsing consumer spending and dragging down stock indexes like the S&P 500. Pierre Yared, the acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said the paper violates basic economics to say that AI will destroy jobs because it's so productive. "The Citrini report is an interesting piece of science fiction -- and I like science fiction," Yared said in a brief interview after speaking at the National Association for Business Economics in Washington. "But I think that if you really look at it, and think long and hard about it, it violates some of the basic identities in economics." Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has often said that modern economic history shows that increases in investment are followed by increases in employment, and that he anticipates the same with AI. Trump's Vision Earlier at the NABE conference, Yared said that "overall, the administration's position on AI is to lean into it" and to ensure the US can "dominate" internationally. Bessent and other top officials have hailed the investment surge in the field as a parallel to the 1990s internet and personal-computing boom, which underpinned that era's strong growth, low unemployment and contained inflation. Shortly after he took office last year, President Donald Trump scrapped an AI policy established by predecessor Joe Biden that set safety and transparency requirements for AI developers.
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White House Economist Rejects AI Doomsday Fears | PYMNTS.com
By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions. The report, published by Citrini Research on Sunday (Feb. 22), shook the stock market on Monday (Feb. 23) by saying that if AI makes a lot of human labor obsolete, there could be job losses as well as drops in consumer spending and the stock market, according to the Bloomberg report. Asked about this speculation by Bloomberg, Pierre Yared, the acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, said: "AI can either be a groundbreaking innovation that increases production, increases income" and expenditure, "or it can be an innovation that ends up not delivering on its promise." PYMNTS reported in September that the big question right now is: How will AI impact jobs? The report noted that as AI technologies evolve at warp speed, there is major angst over whether they will fuel mass unemployment. At the same time, some observers believe that the technology will lead to an upskilling of workers rather than an elimination of jobs. The PYMNTS Intelligence report "Wage to Wallet Index: Measuring the Labor Economy's Impact on U.S. Financial and Economic Health" found that workers who could be most exposed to automation are not acting as though humanoid robots are about to displace them at scale. The report found that among Labor Economy workers -- the consumer group made up of mostly hourly workers who make under $50,000 a year -- a clear majority continue to believe their skills will remain relevant as technology evolves. The White House released a policy roadmap in July that outlines President Donald Trump's push to keep America in the lead in the global AI race by focusing on deregulation, building AI infrastructure, expanding export controls and giving chatbots free speech. "As our global competitors race to exploit these technologies, it is a national security imperative for the United States to achieve and maintain unquestioned and unchallenged global technological dominance," Trump said in the opening page of "America's AI Action Plan."
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A top White House economist rejected alarming predictions about AI-driven job losses that rattled markets this week. Pierre Yared called the Citrini Research report 'science fiction,' arguing it violates basic economic principles. The administration maintains AI will drive productivity and employment, not destroy jobs.
Pierre Yared, acting chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, dismissed a weekend report from Citrini Research that sparked market turbulence, calling it an "interesting piece of science fiction" that fundamentally misunderstands economics
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. The report imagined a 2028 scenario where rapid advances in AI turbocharge productivity but render massive swaths of human labor obsolete, triggering job losses, collapsing consumer spending, and dragging down the stock market2
. Speaking at the National Association for Business Economics in Washington, Yared argued that the paper "violates some of the basic identities in economics" by suggesting AI will destroy jobs precisely because it's productive1
.
Source: Bloomberg
The administration's stance frames AI as an economic boon rather than a threat. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has consistently pointed to modern economic history showing that increases in investment are followed by increases in employment, and he anticipates the same pattern with AI technologies
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. Yared emphasized that "AI can either be a groundbreaking innovation that increases production, increases income" and expenditure, "or it can be an innovation that ends up not delivering on its promise"2
. Bessent and other top officials have compared the current investment surge to the 1990s internet boom, which underpinned that era's strong economic growth, low unemployment, and contained inflation1
.Despite widespread anxiety about automation, workers themselves appear less concerned about displacement. A PYMNTS Intelligence report found that among Labor Economy workers—mostly hourly workers earning under $50,000 a year—a clear majority continue to believe their skills will remain relevant as technology evolves
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. Workers most exposed to automation are not acting as though humanoid robots are about to displace them at scale. Some observers believe AI will lead to upskilling of workers rather than an elimination of jobs, suggesting the technology could drive productivity and employment simultaneously2
.Related Stories
At the NABE conference, Yared stated that "overall, the administration's position on AI is to lean into it" and ensure the US can "dominate" internationally
1
. President Donald Trump released America's AI Action Plan in July, outlining a strategy focused on deregulation, building AI infrastructure, expanding export controls, and protecting free speech for chatbots2
. Trump emphasized that "as our global competitors race to exploit these technologies, it is a national security imperative for the United States to achieve and maintain unquestioned and unchallenged global technological dominance." Shortly after taking office, Trump scrapped an AI policy established by predecessor Joe Biden that set safety and transparency requirements for AI developers1
. The shift signals a clear preference for accelerating AI development over implementing restrictive safeguards, betting that the technology will create opportunities rather than trigger the catastrophic scenarios outlined in the Citrini Research report.
Source: PYMNTS
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