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On Mon, 18 Nov, 12:00 AM UTC
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French tech mogul Xavier Niel warns that Europe will be reduced to an 'abandoned' continent if it misses this crucial opportunity
If there's anything buzzy in the tech world, chances are Xavier Niel caught wind of it. The hacker-turned-entrepreneur owns a sprawling telecom empire, sits on TikTok parent ByteDance's five-member board, and is a major startup champion, counting French darling Mistral AI among his investments. The billionaire has had a keen eye on tech developments throughout his career. But he has also witnessed Europe slip behind the U.S. and China in innovation. Europe has produced some promising startups amid the generative AI frenzy, such as Mistral AI and Aleph Alpha. However, the region will have to do a lot more to keep up with the global AI race. Niel warns that Europe has a real shot at showing its promise and creativity on the AI front. But if it misses the boat, it could cease to be relevant. "If Europe doesn't do this right, it will become a very small continent abandoned for a few generations," he told the Financial Times in an interview published Sunday. What differentiates European AI startups are their "values," such as privacy and transparency, Niel said. It's also generating engineering and mathematics-focused talent at its universities, which could give the region an edge -- if it moves fast and breaks things, as the saying goes. "Sure, the world moves faster now, the resources are greater. But there will always be two clever kids somewhere in the world, working out of a garage, with a technological vision or a new idea," Niel said. The French mogul, who is estimated to be worth $8.7 billion according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, is at the center of AI developments. His optimism in Europe's AI prowess has led him to develop the world's biggest startup incubator in Paris, Station F. He has also co-invested $300 million in a non-profit AI research lab alongside Eric Schmid and Rodolphe Saadé. Still, he worries that if Europe fails to ride the AI wave, it'll be reduced to "the nicest place in the world for museums," Niel told Wired in September. He likened the current AI moment to when search engines became mainstream. Today, they are largely run by American players, such as Google and Microsoft Bing. "If you want to create a search engine now from scratch, you cannot win because you were not there 25 years ago," he said. Other experts have also been concerned about Europe trailing behind and how that might impact the region's security and defense prospects compared to the rest of the world. What Niel touts as one of Europe's strengths has also led to the perception that it regulates AI too harshly, pushing competitors out of its market. The European Union passed a first-of-its-kind draft of AI rules, which some see as groundbreaking while others think it's restrictive. In an in-depth report into Europe's competitiveness, former ECB President Mario Draghi highlighted that AI could open up new opportunities if deployed correctly. Meanwhile, German tech company SAP's CEO Christian Klein said overregulation risks holding Europe's startups back. The likes of Meta's Mark Zuckerberg and Spotify's Daniel Ek issued an open letter in September echoing similar concerns, urging Europe to fix its "fragmented and inconsistent" regulations on AI. Companies in Fortune 500 Europe, ranking the region's biggest companies by revenue, are slowly but surely integrating AI into advanced applications. Ultimately, Europe's strategy for addressing challenges could determine whether it's a winner or a loser. "Put simply, developing, launching, or just using technology is harder in Europe than it is anywhere else in the world. To stay in the global race, the EU needs a new approach: mitigating the risks of new technology while enabling innovation," Google's EMEA president Matt Brittin told Fortune last month.
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Tech investor Xavier Niel urges Europe's AI start ups not to cash out
Xavier Niel, one of Europe's top technology investors, believes the region can succeed in creating leading artificial intelligence companies even without the billions in capital raised by US competitors -- as long as founders are not tempted to cash out too early. "I think we can create big things with a few hundred million euros," the French billionaire who made his fortune in telecoms with operator Iliad and now invests broadly in start-ups. This includes backing Paris-based AI group Mistral which has soared to a €6bn valuation within a year of being founded. "Europe can create competitive AI models today," he said in an interview with the Financial Times. "But over the next two or three years, [success] depends on the number of initiatives and the ability of those who are the real geniuses -- those building the best companies -- not to be swallowed up or to sell too quickly." Such optimism about European tech is notable given that the continent lost to US and Chinese giants during previous waves of disruption from the internet to social networks, leading the region to distinguish itself more on regulation than innovation. Niel's view carries weight as a prolific tech investor with deep contacts in Silicon Valley who also sits on the boards of private equity group KKR and TikTok owner ByteDance. Europe has few players to compete against the likes of OpenAI and Google that are building the so-called large language models that underpin AI applications. Some hopefuls such as Germany's Aleph Alpha have thrown in the towel. Despite his optimism, Niel warned that if AI innovation failed to take root, the region would be "demoted" in the global economy. It would depend on US and Chinese tools built without its "values", such as privacy and transparency. "If Europe doesn't do this right, it will become a very small continent abandoned for a few generations," he said. France is home to one of the remaining hopefuls in AI models: Mistral, founded last year by a trio of scientists from Google and Meta. Flush with over $1bn in funding, Mistral has developed a large language model that it says is leaner and more capital efficient than better-funded competitors. Although Niel insisted his message not to sell out too early was addressed broadly to European founders, it rings particularly true for Mistral. "Founders need to realise that if a bigger company is offering to buy them at X value then it is probably worth 2 or 3 times that." Niel has supported the AI ecosystem in France with investment of about €500mn so far, and said he could eventually deploy billions. A non-profit research lab called Kyutai aims to create open-source AI models -- a project joined by ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt. Niel's cloud infrastructure company Scaleway runs one of the biggest supercomputers in the European private sector. Niel makes early-stage investments of €15mn annually through his Kima Ventures fund, and also backed the New Wave fund where he recently intervened to end a power struggle between founders. There is still time to mint AI winners in Europe, Niel said, given the quality of its maths and engineering institutes and how tech giants have yet to establish dominance. Plus, the scale of the opportunity in AI means that "it will not be one company that wins, but dozens or even hundreds," he said. "Sure, the world moves faster now, the resources are greater. But there will always be two clever kids somewhere in the world, working out of a garage, with a technological vision or a new idea." Niel was once one such a kid, as the 57-year-old iconoclastic entrepreneur recently related in a memoir-like book of interviews titled Une Sacrée Envie de Foutre le Bordel ("An intense urge to stir up trouble"). He dabbled in hacking as a teenager and briefly became an asset for the French domestic spy agency as it was building its first cyber unit. They had him hack then French president François Mitterrand's phone so the agency could get a bigger budget, according to the book. Niel's first lucrative business was running adults-only sex chat services on Minitel, a rudimentary French network that preceded the internet. But the real breakthrough came in telecoms when he founded Iliad in 1990 as a low-cost challenger when France opened the market to competition. It went public in 2004. Only months after the IPO, Niel was arrested on suspicion of misusing assets and pimping, which was related to investments in sex shops he made with a partner from his Minitel days. He spent a month in jail and was later convicted on the lesser charge. Niel wrote that the judge gave him advice he has never forgotten: you can skim the line between right and wrong but never cross it. Flush from Iliad's success, Niel invested in technology, real estate, and media such as Le Monde newspaper. Now private, Iliad has expanded to around 20 countries, most recently Ukraine. In Paris, Niel built the world's biggest start-up incubator called Station F and opened a free coding school. As his projects multiplied, Niel took on an ambassador-like role for European tech. When Pavel Durov, the billionaire creator of the Telegram messaging app, was arrested and questioned in France over alleged complicity in criminal activity, his first phone call was to Niel. "When I went to prison everyone disappeared on me. So when a friend runs into a problem in France, I'm not the kind of person who doesn't pick up the phone." In September, Niel joined the board of ByteDance, the Chinese parent of TikTok, that has been scrutinised in the US and Europe over data privacy, misinformation and security. US President Joe Biden signed a law to ban the platform over national security concerns if its Chinese parent does not divest by 2025. President-elect Donald Trump has said he could reverse the decision -- an eventuality that Niel personally supports. "I think it would be positive for TikTok to continue to exist, with its skilled workforce, in the US. Positive for competition, for citizens, for the improvement of products," he said. "What worries me is that if TikTok comes under pressure, then all the other social networks, including the Americans ones, will also," he said. Niel said he had been a "small investor for a long time" and thought being the sole European on the board would help ByteDance's plans to expand in the region. "We are capable of welcoming them in Europe and helping them to invest . . . and to understand who we are as we are, [our] way of operating," he said. For them, "it creates value, and for us, it creates future-oriented investment in Europe."
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Tech Investor Niel: EU Risks Being 'Abandoned' in AI Race | PYMNTS.com
Can Europe create leading artificial intelligence (AI) firms without spending as much as companies in America? Telecom billionaire Xavier Niel thinks it's possible, provided that the founders of these AI companies avoid the temptation to cash out too early, the Financial Times (FT) reported Sunday (Nov. 17). "I think we can create big things with a few hundred million euros," Niel, one of Europe's top tech investors, said in an interview with the FT. "Europe can create competitive AI models today," added Niel, who has backed AI companies such as Mistral. "But over the next two or three years, [success] depends on the number of initiatives and the ability of those who are the real geniuses -- those building the best companies -- not to be swallowed up or to sell too quickly." The FT noted that Niel's optimism about the European tech sector is noteworthy, considering that the region trailed the U.S. and China when past tech waves -- the internet, social media -- took place. If AI innovation doesn't take hold in Europe, Niel told the news outlet, the region will be "demoted" in the global economy, relying on American and Chinese tech created without its "values" like privacy and transparency. "If Europe doesn't do this right, it will become a very small continent abandoned for a few generations," he said. Niel's opinion, the report said, carries weight, as he has strong ties to Silicon Valley and sits on the boards of companies like KKR and ByteDance. In other AI news, PYMNTS wrote last week about Google's recent rollout of its Gemini iPhone app, marking the latest move by tech companies to attract mainstream consumers that want AI tools for day-to-day tasks on their phones. The increasing competition among consumer AI apps indicates a high-stakes battle for customer attention and wallets as companies scramble to convert casual users into paying subscribers via features such as chatbots, photo editing and writing assistance. "One good thing about AI-powered apps is their ability to create personalized experiences," said Dmytro Tymoshenko, the CEO of Noiz, which develops AI-powered summaries of YouTube videos. "AI is able to analyze data at a very high speed, which allows it to, for instance, recommend content based on user preferences quite fast."
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French tech mogul Xavier Niel emphasizes the critical importance of Europe's participation in the AI race, warning that failure to innovate could lead to the continent's economic irrelevance.
Xavier Niel, the French tech mogul and billionaire investor, has issued a stark warning about Europe's future in the global AI race. With an estimated net worth of $8.7 billion, Niel's perspective carries significant weight in the tech industry 1.
Niel believes that Europe has the potential to create competitive AI companies without matching the billions invested by US competitors. He states, "I think we can create big things with a few hundred million euros" 2. However, he emphasizes that success hinges on European founders resisting the temptation to sell their companies prematurely.
The continent has produced promising AI startups like Mistral AI and Aleph Alpha. Niel highlights Europe's strengths, including its focus on values such as privacy and transparency, and its ability to generate engineering and mathematics-focused talent 1.
Niel warns of dire consequences if Europe fails to capitalize on the AI revolution: "If Europe doesn't do this right, it will become a very small continent abandoned for a few generations" 2. He fears that without successful AI innovation, Europe could be "demoted" in the global economy, becoming overly dependent on US and Chinese technologies 3.
To support the European AI ecosystem, Niel has invested approximately €500 million and is prepared to deploy billions more 2. His investments include:
While Niel sees Europe's values as a strength, others view the region's regulatory approach as potentially stifling. The EU's draft AI rules have been met with mixed reactions, with some praising their groundbreaking nature and others criticizing them as overly restrictive 1.
Despite the challenges, Niel remains optimistic about Europe's chances in the AI race. He believes that the scale of the AI opportunity means "it will not be one company that wins, but dozens or even hundreds" 2. However, he stresses the importance of founders recognizing their companies' true value and not selling out too quickly.
As the AI landscape continues to evolve, Europe's ability to foster innovation while addressing regulatory concerns will be crucial in determining its place in the global AI ecosystem.
Reference
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Yann LeCun, Meta's chief AI scientist, calls for Europe to take greater risks and invest more in AI, while expressing skepticism about the recently announced $500 billion US AI investment plan.
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Donald Trump's announcement of a $500 billion AI infrastructure project in the US has prompted European tech leaders to call for similar investments, highlighting concerns about Europe's competitiveness in the global AI race.
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The AI Action Summit in Paris saw European nations and the EU announce massive investments in AI development, totaling around €320 billion, in a bid to compete with the US and China in the global AI race.
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The European Union unveils a massive €200 billion investment plan to boost its AI capabilities, aiming to compete with the United States and China in the global AI race.
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Palantir's CEO Alex Karp cautions Europe about falling behind in AI adoption, as the company reports exceptional Q3 results driven by U.S. AI demand. The warning comes amid concerns about EU regulations potentially stifling AI innovation.
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