AI Boom Triggers Memory Chip Shortage, Threatening Consumer Electronics and Automotive Industries

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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China's largest chipmaker SMIC warns of impending memory chip shortage as manufacturers prioritize high-margin AI components over consumer electronics. The shortage could impact smartphones, cars, and laptops in 2025.

AI Demand Creates Memory Supply Crisis

China's largest contract chipmaker, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), has issued a stark warning about an impending memory chip shortage that could significantly impact consumer electronics and automotive industries in 2025. During a recent earnings call, SMIC co-CEO Zhao Haijun revealed that concerns over memory chip availability are causing customers to scale back orders for other semiconductor components

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Source: Economic Times

Source: Economic Times

"People don't dare place too many orders for the first quarter next year," Zhao explained, "because no one knows how many memory chips will actually be available -- how many phones, cars, or other products it can support"

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. This cautious approach reflects broader industry concerns about supply constraints as manufacturers increasingly prioritize artificial intelligence applications over traditional consumer products.

High-Bandwidth Memory Drives Supply Shift

The shortage stems from chipmakers' strategic pivot toward producing High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), a specialized type of memory chip essential for AI computing. AI servers, particularly those running on Nvidia processors, rely heavily on HBM technology, making it an extremely lucrative market segment for memory suppliers like SK Hynix and Micron

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"The AI build-out is absolutely eating up a lot of the available chip supply, and 2026 looks to be far bigger than this year in terms of overall demand," Dan Nystedt, research analyst at TriOrient, told CNBC

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. The appeal is clear: AI companies are willing to pay premium prices for advanced memory chips, creating significantly higher profit margins compared to standard consumer electronics components.

Consumer Electronics Face Supply Constraints

This shift toward AI-focused production is creating a supply crunch for industries dependent on cheaper, standard memory chips. "It could be very bad for PCs, laptops, consumer electronics and automotive, which depend on cheap memory chips," Nystedt warned

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M.S. Hwang, research director at Counterpoint Research, noted that supply tightness is already affecting low-end smartphones and set-top boxes, with risks that "could broaden" across more product categories

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. China is particularly vulnerable due to its heavy reliance on low-cost devices, though the impact is expected to be global.

Industry Recovery Challenges

The current shortage is compounded by the memory industry's recent struggles. The sector experienced severe downturns in 2023 and part of 2024, leading to underinvestment in production capacity. "They're building new capacity now, but it will take time to get running," Nystedt explained

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This timing creates a perfect storm: just as demand for AI memory chips reaches unprecedented levels, the industry lacks sufficient capacity to meet both AI and consumer electronics needs simultaneously.

Price Increases Expected

Consumers are likely to bear the financial burden of this supply imbalance. Market research firm TrendForce has identified that the memory sector has entered a "robust upward pricing cycle," which could force electronics brands to raise retail prices for smartphones, notebooks, and other consumer devices .

The situation reflects a broader transformation in the semiconductor industry, where AI applications are reshaping production priorities and supply chains, potentially creating long-term structural changes in how memory chips are allocated across different market segments.

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