AI Demand Triggers Memory Chip Shortage, Threatening Higher Prices for Smartphones and Electronics

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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A global memory chip shortage driven by AI data center demand is forcing manufacturers to prioritize high-margin AI components over consumer electronics, leading to supply constraints and potential price increases for smartphones, laptops, and cars in 2025-2026.

AI Boom Creates Memory Chip Supply Crisis

The artificial intelligence revolution is creating an unprecedented strain on global memory chip supplies, with industry leaders warning of significant shortages that could drive up prices for smartphones, laptops, and other consumer electronics throughout 2025 and 2026. The crisis stems from tech giants' massive investments in AI infrastructure, which is consuming memory chips at rates that far exceed current production capacity

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During a recent earnings call, Zhao Haijun, co-CEO of China's largest contract chipmaker Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC), revealed that customers are hesitant to place orders due to uncertainty about memory chip availability. "People don't dare place too many orders for the first quarter next year," Zhao explained, "because no one knows how many memory chips will actually be available -- how many phones, cars, or other products it can support"

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Consumer Electronics Face Price Surge

The memory chip shortage is already manifesting in higher consumer prices, with smartphone manufacturers leading the charge. Lu Weibing, president of Chinese electronics giant Xiaomi, warned during an earnings call that "everyone will likely observe that retail prices for products will see a significant increase" in 2026

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. The impact is already visible in markets like India, where flagship devices such as the Oppo Find X9 series and OnePlus 15 have become more expensive compared to their predecessors

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Samsung, a major memory chip supplier, has reportedly hiked smartphone memory chip prices by up to 60 percent compared to September levels

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. iQOO India CEO Nipun Marya acknowledged that while companies could absorb cost increases of 5-10 percent, "no company can exist" absorbing a 60 percent hike in raw material costs

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Source: ET

Source: ET

AI Infrastructure Drives Demand

The root cause of the shortage lies in the explosive demand for High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and other advanced memory chips required for AI computing. AI servers, primarily running on processors from companies like Nvidia, heavily rely on these specialized memory components. Dan Nystedt, research analyst at TriOrient, noted that "the AI build-out is absolutely eating up a lot of the available chip supply, and 2026 looks to be far bigger than this year in terms of overall demand"

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Memory suppliers are prioritizing AI demand due to typically higher margins, as AI server companies are willing to pay premium prices for advanced chips. This shift leaves fewer resources available for cheaper memory chips used in consumer electronics, potentially creating severe supply constraints for PCs, laptops, and automotive applications

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Strategic Capacity Management Intensifies Crisis

The shortage is compounded by deliberate capacity management strategies employed by memory chip manufacturers. William Keating, head of semiconductor consulting firm Ingenuity, explained that chipmakers have been "drastically cutting" spending on expanding capacity in recent years. "Keep capacity tight, keep prices high is basically their mantra," Keating said, noting that this approach aims to prevent a repeat of previous memory price collapses that cost manufacturers tens of billions in losses

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Source: France 24

Source: France 24

The memory industry suffered severe downturns in 2023 and part of 2024, leading to under-investment in production capacity. While companies are building new capacity now, it will take considerable time to become operational

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. Industry analysts TrendForce have already lowered their 2026 global production forecasts for smartphones and notebook laptops, citing the "robust upward pricing cycle" in the memory industry

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