AI Model Revolutionizes Drug Safety by Predicting Human Toxicity Before Clinical Trials

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Researchers at POSTECH have developed a machine learning model that predicts drug toxicity in humans by analyzing biological differences between animal models and humans, potentially preventing dangerous clinical trial failures.

Revolutionary AI Model Addresses Critical Gap in Drug Development

Researchers at Pohang University of Science & Technology (POSTECH) have developed a groundbreaking machine learning model that could fundamentally transform drug safety testing by predicting human toxicity before clinical trials begin

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. The research, published in eBioMedicine, addresses one of the pharmaceutical industry's most persistent challenges: the translation gap between animal testing and human clinical trials

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The urgency of this innovation is underscored by historical drug development failures. TGN1412, an immunotherapy candidate, triggered a cytokine storm within hours of human administration, leading to multiple organ failure. Similarly, Aptiganel, a stroke drug that showed promise in animal studies, was discontinued due to severe human side effects including hallucinations and sedation

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Understanding Genotype-Phenotype Differences

The research team, led by Professor Sanguk Kim from POSTECH's Department of Life Sciences and Graduate School of Artificial Intelligence, focused on quantifying "Genotype-Phenotype Differences (GPD)" between humans and preclinical models

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. This approach represents the first attempt to incorporate these biological differences into drug toxicity prediction.

The team analyzed three critical factors: gene perturbation impact on survival (essentiality), tissue-specific gene expression patterns, and gene connectivity within biological networks. This comprehensive analysis helps explain why drugs safe in animal models can prove dangerous in humans, similar to how chocolate is safe for humans but toxic to dogs

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Source: Medical Xpress

Source: Medical Xpress

Impressive Performance Metrics

The AI model demonstrated remarkable predictive capabilities when validated against data from 434 hazardous drugs and 790 approved medications. The system significantly outperformed traditional chemical-based prediction methods, increasing the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) from 0.35 to 0.63 and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) from 0.50 to 0.75

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Perhaps most impressively, the model achieved 95% accuracy in chronological validation tests. When trained only on drug data available through 1991, it successfully predicted which drugs would later be withdrawn from the market due to toxicity concerns

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Industry Impact and Future Applications

The practical implications for pharmaceutical companies are substantial. By identifying high-risk drug candidates before expensive clinical trials begin, companies could significantly reduce development costs and timelines while improving patient safety. Co-first authors Dr. Minhyuk Park and Woomin Song emphasized that this "human-centered toxicity prediction model will be a very practical tool in new drug development"

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The research was supported by South Korea's National Research Foundation, Medical Device Innovation Center, and Synthetic Biology Human Resources Development Program, indicating strong governmental backing for this innovative approach to drug safety

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