Anthropic AI tool for lawyers triggers double-digit plunge in legal software stocks

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Anthropic's release of a new AI tool designed for in-house lawyers sent shockwaves through European and US markets, with legal software stocks plunging over 10%. RELX, Wolters Kluwer, and Thomson Reuters led the decline as investors worry the tool could disrupt core business models built around contract reviewing and legal workflows. The selloff highlights mounting fears about whether traditional software firms can defend against AI's disruptive impact.

Anthropic AI Tool Triggers Market Turmoil for Legal Software Stocks

Shares of legal software and data service companies experienced dramatic declines after Anthropic unveiled a new AI tool targeting the legal industry. RELX Plc and Wolters Kluwer NV both fell more than 10%, while Thomson Reuters shares plunged over 17% in Toronto trading to C$123.21

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. Pearson Plc dropped 4%, and other major players including London Stock Exchange Group and Experian Plc slid between 7% and 9%

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. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF fell as much as 4.4%, while a UBS Group AG basket of European stocks deemed at risk of AI disruption dropped nearly 7% to a record low

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Source: ET

Source: ET

AI Tool for In-House Lawyers Raises Disruption Concerns

Anthropic, the company behind the Claude chatbot, released its legal plugin on GitHub, designed to automate legal tasks including contract reviewing, non-disclosure agreement triage, compliance workflows, legal briefings, and templated responses

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. The tool specifically targets in-house lawyers at companies, a market segment that has been central to the growth strategies of established legal software providers. However, Anthropic cautioned that the plugin doesn't provide legal advice, stating that "AI-generated analysis should be reviewed by licensed attorneys before being relied upon for legal decisions"

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. Morgan Stanley analysts described the launch as "a sign of intensifying competition, and thus a potential negative" for incumbent firms

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Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

European Software Stocks Face AI's Disruptive Impact

The selloff accelerated concerns about whether European software stocks, once viewed as AI winners, can defend their business models against generative AI advances. "The software companies were assumed to be winners from AI," said Lars Skovgaard, senior investment strategist at Danske Bank. "But all of a sudden, you start to worry about whether you can earn the money back from your AI investments, and/or will you be outsmarted by updates coming in"

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. RELX shares have now slumped over 45% from their peak last February, marking a dramatic reversal for what had become one of Britain's 10 largest listed companies

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. Germany's SAP, which was Europe's most valuable company less than a year ago, has fallen 40% from last year's high after wiping off $40 billion in market value in a single day

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Source: Reuters

Source: Reuters

Thomson Reuters' Legal-Workflow Business Under Threat

The Anthropic AI tool poses a direct challenge to Thomson Reuters' core legal-workflow business, particularly its Westlaw, Practical Law, and CoCounsel platforms that offer similar capabilities

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. The Legal Professionals segment generated roughly half of Thomson Reuters' $1.46 billion revenue in the most recent quarter

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. Chief Executive John Hasker told investors in November that the company expects to invest heavily in generative AI, with spending expected to exceed $200 million in both 2025 and 2026

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. National Bank of Canada downgraded Thomson Reuters' target price to C$190 from C$300, reflecting growing market caution that AI could reduce demand for traditional software licenses and workflow tools

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Market Disruption Extends Beyond Legal Sector

The stock prices plunge extended to advertising companies, with France's Publicis diving over 8.5% after announcing approximately 900 million euros ($1.06 billion) earmarked for acquisitions in 2026, focusing on AI-powered technologies and data assets

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. According to a Barclays survey of investors, advertising agencies are seen as the most exposed part of European media to artificial intelligence

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. Maximilien Pascaud, analyst at Baader Bank, noted that "deflationary pressure on software-sector multiples could persist as long as the organic monetisation of AI is not clearly demonstrated"

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. This earnings season, just 71% of software companies in the S&P 500 have beaten revenue expectations, compared with 85% for the overall tech sector .

Implications for Jobs and Professional Services

The news reignites concerns about job losses caused by the AI boom. More than a quarter (27%) of UK workers worry their jobs could disappear in the next five years as a result of AI, according to a recent survey

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. British businesses reported an average 11.5% increase in productivity aided by AI, though the UK is losing more jobs than it is creating as companies adopt more AI tools, according to Morgan Stanley

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. London mayor Sadiq Khan warned in his Mansion House speech that AI could destroy swathes of jobs in the capital, particularly affecting white-collar workers in finance, creative industries, and professional services such as law, accounting, consulting, and marketing

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. Anthropic's unique position as a major model developer gives it an advantage in disrupting both traditional legal news and data service companies as well as legal AI startups like Harvey AI and Legora, which rely on underlying models from developers like Anthropic

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. Stephen Yiu, CIO of Blue Whale Growth Fund, cautioned that "this year is the defining year whether companies are AI winners or victims"

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