Baidu reports third straight revenue decline as AI-first strategy struggles to gain traction

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Baidu's revenue fell 4% to $4.8 billion in Q4 2025, marking three consecutive quarters of decline as China's search giant struggles in both advertising and AI. While the company invests heavily in AI Cloud and autonomous driving, it faces mounting pressure from Alibaba, Tencent, and DeepSeek. CEO Robin Li announced a $5 billion buyback and first-ever dividend to boost shareholder returns.

Baidu Revenue Decline Extends to Third Consecutive Quarter

Baidu reported a revenue decline of 4% to 32.74 billion yuan ($4.8 billion) for the December quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of falling sales for China's once-dominant search engine operator

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. The figure barely met analyst expectations of $4.680 billion, while net profit plummeted 66% year-over-year to 1.78 billion yuan ($259.1 million), significantly missing the FactSet consensus estimate of 2.56 billion yuan

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. The struggling core advertising segment continues to weigh heavily on results, even as the company accelerates its transformation into an AI-driven enterprise.

Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Artificial Intelligence Push Shows Mixed Results Against Fierce Competition

Despite being among the first Chinese companies to launch a chatbot similar to ChatGPT, Baidu has lost ground to larger competitors including Alibaba and Tencent, as well as nimble newcomers like DeepSeek

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. The company unveiled its Ernie 5.0 Thinking model in November, which scored above-average on benchmarking site Artificial Analysis but was eclipsed by numerous Chinese open-source models. During the holiday period, Baidu joined Big Tech rivals in a $700 million cash giveaway, contributing 500 million yuan to attract users to its AI apps—an amount that fell behind peers like Alibaba and Tencent, which leveraged their vast social media and e-commerce ecosystems more effectively

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AI-Powered Businesses Deliver Growth Amid Broader Struggles

Baidu's AI-first strategy is beginning to show traction in specific segments, even as overall performance disappoints. The company's AI-powered business grew 48% and now accounts for 43% of general business revenue in the fourth quarter, up from 39% in the third quarter

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. AI Cloud infrastructure generated 5.8 billion yuan in fourth-quarter revenue, with subscription-based AI accelerator infrastructure revenue surging 143% year-over-year

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. AI Applications produced 2.7 billion yuan, while AI-native marketing services also generated 2.7 billion yuan, up 110% year-over-year. The Ernie AI assistant, integrated into Baidu's flagship search app, reached 202 million monthly active users in December, crossing a significant milestone

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Apollo Go Autonomous Ride-Hailing Service Accelerates International Expansion

The autonomous ride-hailing service Apollo Go completed 3.4 million fully driverless rides in the fourth quarter, representing more than 200% year-over-year growth, with cumulative rides surpassing 20 million by February 2026

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. Baidu has expanded its robotaxi operations to the Middle East and Europe, accelerating an international push that could yield profit sooner than generative Artificial Intelligence ventures

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. This geographic diversification comes as the company faces a prolonged economic slowdown in its home market.

Kunlunxin Chip Unit IPO and Shareholder Returns Strategy

Baidu's semiconductor arm, Kunlunxin, has hired banks for an initial public offering in Hong Kong as investors seek local alternatives to Nvidia chips amid escalating geopolitical tensions

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. Analysts at Nomura suggest the proposed spinoff could be well-received by investors given the recent performance of Chinese chip designers

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. To boost shareholder returns, Baidu announced its first-ever dividend policy with an initial payment potentially by the end of 2026, alongside a new share repurchase program of up to $5 billion over three years

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. As of December 31, 2025, Baidu maintained a cash position of $42.06 billion.

Financial Outlook Remains Challenging Despite Strategic Pivots

Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Robert Lea and Jasmine Lyu warn that Baidu faces a difficult financial outlook, with AI ventures set to lose money for at least the next three years

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. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin dropped to 14% from 20% year-over-year, while Research & Development expenses rose 1.4% to $800 million and Selling, General, and Administrative expenses increased 10.6% to $1.06 billion, primarily due to increased expected credit losses

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. CEO Robin Li emphasized that 2025 marked a turning point as Artificial Intelligence became central to the company's strategy, expressing confidence that the AI-first strategy will create long-term value despite near-term headwinds

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. Baidu shares fell 4.01% in premarket trading following the earnings announcement, and Hong Kong-listed shares have declined more than 6% this year after a nearly 60% jump in 2025

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Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

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