Big Tech AI Spending Cuts Stock Buybacks to Lowest Level Since 2019 as $700B Race Intensifies

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Major technology companies are dramatically reducing stock buybacks to fund massive artificial intelligence investments. Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta spent the least on combined share repurchases last quarter since 2019, with the four companies expected to pour over $700 billion into AI-related capital expenditures this year. The strategic shift raises questions about when these investments will deliver returns as free cash flow is projected to plummet 64%.

Big Tech Cuts Stock Buybacks to Fund AI Infrastructure Race

A dramatic shift in capital allocation is underway at the world's largest technology companies. Last quarter, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon.com, and Meta Platforms spent the least on combined share repurchases than in any quarter since 2019, according to data compiled by Bloomberg

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. Alphabet and Microsoft spent roughly $11 billion on stock buybacks, while Amazon and Meta held off entirely

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. Amazon hasn't bought back stock since 2022, signaling a fundamental change in Big Tech financial strategies.

Source: ET

Source: ET

The pullback in share repurchases reflects an intense AI infrastructure race as these companies redirect capital toward artificial intelligence investments. Robert Schiffman, senior credit analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, noted that "there's certainly a setup for an extended period of reduced share buybacks," adding that "it's just what are the best uses of capital"

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. This shift in capital allocation represents a strategic bet that AI spending will generate long-term returns superior to returning cash to shareholders.

Massive Capital Expenditures Trigger Investor Skepticism

The four Big Tech giants are expected to spend more than $700 billion combined on capital expenditures this year as they rush to expand computing infrastructure

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. These increasing capital expenditures have sparked investor skepticism about whether and when the relentless outlays will deliver promised payoffs. Microsoft shares have plunged 17% and Amazon.com has lost 8% following earnings reports that revealed higher-than-anticipated spending without sufficient anticipated revenue growth to justify it

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Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Meta Platforms initially jumped on a strong sales forecast but has since given up those gains, now down 3.6% since its earnings report

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. Even Alphabet, considered the clearest AI winner in the group, has fallen 9.1% since its results hit on February 4

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. Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners, observed that "in the history of the world, probably nobody has been able to make more money in asset-light businesses than these companies. They're throwing that to the wind because they're all caught up in some kind of race"

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Decline in Free Cash Flow Reshapes Financial Outlook

The pile of money being directed toward AI-related infrastructure has investors scrutinizing free cash flow metrics more closely. The combined free cash flow for Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon is projected to fall 64% over the next four quarters to about $96 billion from roughly $270 billion in 2025

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. This steep decline in free cash flow represents a significant departure from years of steady cash generation that fueled regular share repurchases.

Only Amazon is expected to see its free cash flow turn negative over that stretch, with three of the next four quarters in the red

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. However, all four companies maintain substantial financial cushions, with each holding more than $80 billion in cash and cash equivalents at the end of 2025. Alphabet and Amazon each hold more than $120 billion apiece

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. Schiffman suggested that CFOs are prioritizing "generating growth" and directing capital "toward long-term cash flow generating assets versus keeping up some sort of consistency on buybacks"

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. The question now is whether these massive capex investments will translate into the revenue growth and competitive advantages that justify abandoning the shareholder-friendly policies that defined Big Tech for years.

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