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[1]
AI may be creating instead of destroying jobs for now, ECB blog argues
FRANKFURT, March 4 (Reuters) - The increasing use of artificial intelligence by firms may be creating some jobs in the euro zone rather than destroying them as many fear, a European Central Bank blog post argued on Wednesday. Economists have been debating whether AI could put white collar staff out of work, and a recent study by Germany's Ifo Institute found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years. But the ECB's own Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises found that companies making significant use of AI are more likely to take on additional staff in the near term. "In other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog post, which is not necessarily the view of the ECB, said. Firms planning to invest in AI are also more likely to have positive expectations for future employment growth, the blog argued. "This is true regardless of the level of planned AI investment and suggests that a pause in hiring due to investment in AI technology is also unlikely over the next year," the blog, written by two ECB staff economists, said. However, the outlook may change on the longer horizon, the authors said. Most of the gloomier surveys cover longer horizons than the ECB's own question and the outlook could change once AI starts to significantly transform production processes. Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Andrew Heavens Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab
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AI not hitting European jobs for now: ECB
Frankfurt (Germany) (AFP) - Artificial intelligence has only had minor effects on employment in Europe so far, European Central Bank economists said Wednesday, but they warned the technology's future impact was uncertain. Comparing 3,500 firms, some of which reported using AI and some of which did not, the economists overall found no difference in terms of creating or cutting jobs. Firms that use AI particularly frequently were in fact four percent likelier to hire new staff than average, the economists said in a blog post. "As things stand, based on firms' overall hiring plans, investment in and the intensive use of AI are not yet replacing jobs," they said. "In fact, some firms are hiring additional employees -- perhaps because they are looking to develop and implement AI technologies while maintaining their existing production processes, or because AI is a way to help them scale up more quickly," they added. The economists warned that firms that invested in AI with the aim of cutting jobs did indeed end up doing so, suggesting there could be profound effects on jobs as the technology matures. "However, only 15 percent of firms that use AI cite reducing labour costs as a factor, and this is insufficient to offset the overall positive effects observed to date," they said. Concern has grown that AI could have profound effects on employment, and firms including American tech giant Amazon and German insurer Allianz have cited AI-uptake as a reason for job cuts in recent months. Markets tumbled last week after a viral blog post described a gloomy scenario in which AI led to mass layoffs, depressing economic growth. The ECB economists warned that the limited effects seen to date might continue in the future. "AI has not yet significantly transformed production processes," they said. "Given that this is set to change, the longer-term impact of AI on employment remains less clear."
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AI Job Creation: European Central Bank Blog Reveals Positive Employment Trends
Economists have been debating whether AI could put white collar staff out of work, and a recent study by Germany's Ifo Institute found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years. The increasing use of artificial intelligence by firms may be creating some jobs in the euro zone rather than destroying them as many fear, a European Central Bank blog post argued on Wednesday. Economists have been debating whether AI could put white collar staff out of work, and a recent study by Germany's Ifo Institute found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years. But the ECB's own Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises found that companies making significant use of AI are more likely to take on additional staff in the near term. "In other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog post, which is not necessarily the view of the ECB, said. Firms planning to invest in AI are also more likely to have positive expectations for future employment growth, the blog argued. "This is true regardless of the level of planned AI investment and suggests that a pause in hiring due to investment in AI technology is also unlikely over the next year," the blog, written by two ECB staff economists, said. However, the outlook may change on the longer horizon, the authors said. Most of the gloomier surveys cover longer horizons than the ECB's own question and the outlook could change once AI starts to significantly transform production processes.
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ECB blog suggests AI may create jobs rather than eliminate them By Investing.com
Investing.com -- Artificial intelligence may be creating jobs in the euro zone instead of eliminating them, according to a European Central Bank blog post published Wednesday. The ECB's Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises found that companies making significant use of AI are more likely to hire additional staff in the near term. "In other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog post said. The post does not necessarily represent the ECB's official view. Firms planning to invest in AI are also more likely to have positive expectations for future employment growth, according to the blog written by two ECB staff economists. "This is true regardless of the level of planned AI investment and suggests that a pause in hiring due to investment in AI technology is also unlikely over the next year," the economists said. The findings contrast with concerns about AI's impact on employment. A recent study by Germany's Ifo Institute found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years. The blog post noted that the outlook may change over a longer time horizon. Most surveys with more pessimistic findings cover longer periods than the ECB's survey, and the employment picture could shift once AI begins to significantly transform production processes. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.
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AI may be creating instead of destroying jobs for now, ECB blog argues
FRANKFURT, March 4 (Reuters) - The increasing use of artificial intelligence by firms may be creating some jobs in the euro zone rather than destroying them as many fear, a European Central Bank blog post argued on Wednesday. Economists have been debating whether AI could put white collar staff out of work, and a recent study by Germany's Ifo Institute found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years. But the ECB's own Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises found that companies making significant use of AI are more likely to take on additional staff in the near term. "In other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog post, which is not necessarily the view of the ECB, said. Firms planning to invest in AI are also more likely to have positive expectations for future employment growth, the blog argued. "This is true regardless of the level of planned AI investment and suggests that a pause in hiring due to investment in AI technology is also unlikely over the next year," the blog, written by two ECB staff economists, said. However, the outlook may change on the longer horizon, the authors said. Most of the gloomier surveys cover longer horizons than the ECB's own question and the outlook could change once AI starts to significantly transform production processes. (Reporting by Balazs Koranyi; Editing by Andrew Heavens)
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A European Central Bank blog post challenges fears about AI-driven job losses, revealing that companies making significant use of AI are actually more likely to hire additional staff in the near term. The ECB's Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises found AI-intensive firms are 4% likelier to add employees, though economists warn the long-term impact remains uncertain as the technology matures.
The European Central Bank has published research suggesting that AI may be generating jobs rather than eliminating them across the euro zone, at least for now. According to an ECB blog post released Wednesday, companies making significant use of AI are more likely to hire additional staff in the near term, contradicting widespread anxiety about technology-driven unemployment
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. The findings emerge from the ECB's Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises, which compared approximately 3,500 firms across Europe2
.Source: Market Screener
Firms that use AI particularly frequently were found to be 4% likelier to hire new staff compared to average companies, the economists noted in their blog post
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. "In other words, AI-intensive firms tend, on average, to hire rather than fire," the blog stated, though it clarified this does not necessarily represent the official view of the ECB3
. Companies planning technology investment in AI also demonstrate more optimistic expectations for future employment growth, regardless of the scale of their planned AI adoption4
. This suggests that firms may be hiring to develop and implement AI technologies while maintaining existing production processes, or using AI as a tool to scale up operations more quickly2
.
Source: ET
The ECB findings stand in stark contrast to other research, including a study by Germany's Ifo Institute which found that more than a quarter of German firms expect AI to lead to job cuts in the next five years
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. Economists have been actively debating whether AI could displace white collar staff, with recent high-profile examples including Amazon and Allianz citing AI-uptake as reasons for workforce reductions2
. However, the ECB research reveals that only 15% of firms using AI cite reducing labor costs as a motivating factor, which is insufficient to offset the overall positive effects observed to date2
. Those firms that did invest in AI specifically to cut jobs did indeed follow through, but they represent a minority of AI adopters2
.
Source: France 24
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While the near term outlook appears encouraging, the two ECB staff economists who authored the blog cautioned that the long-term impact of AI on employment remains unclear
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. "AI has not yet significantly transformed production processes," they noted, adding that "given that this is set to change, the longer-term impact of AI on employment remains less clear"2
. Most surveys with more pessimistic findings cover longer time horizons than the ECB's research, and the employment picture could shift substantially once AI begins to fundamentally reshape how companies operate1
. The blog suggests that hiring plans over the next year are unlikely to pause due to AI investment, but this could change as the technology matures and becomes more deeply integrated into business operations3
. Market anxiety about AI-driven job losses intensified recently after a viral blog post described a scenario of mass layoffs depressing economic growth2
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