Big Tech AI Race Pushes Capital Expenditures to $650 Billion as Investor Pressure Mounts

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

22 Sources

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Amazon leads with $200 billion, followed by Google's $185 billion in planned spending for 2026. The four hyperscalers are investing more than Israel's GDP in AI infrastructure, but plummeting stock prices reveal deep investor concerns about returns. Free cash flow is taking a hit as tech company spending accelerates beyond cloud infrastructure services revenue.

Big Tech Capital Expenditures Reach Historic Heights in AI Race

The AI race has pushed Big Tech into unprecedented spending territory. Amazon announced it projects $200 billion in capital expenditures throughout 2026, up from $131.8 billion in 2025, across AI, chips, robotics, and satellites

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. Google follows closely with projected spending between $175 billion and $185 billion for 2026, up from $91.4 billion the previous year

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. Microsoft is running at a pace that implies around $120 billion annually, while Meta expects capital expenditures in the range of $115 billion to $135 billion

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Source: ET

Source: ET

These four hyperscalers collectively plan to fork out roughly $635 billion to $650 billion this year on AI infrastructure investment, more than Israel's entire gross domestic product of $610 billion during 2025

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. The massive tech company spending represents an estimated 60% increase from a year ago.

Data Center Construction Drives AI Infrastructure Spending

The capital expenditures fuel an acceleration in data center construction taking place worldwide. Companies are competing for finite crews of electricians, cement trucks, and Nvidia chips rolling out of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. factories

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. These sprawling facilities hold racks of servers powered by expensive processors, and the sprint to build them has pinched energy supplies and raised concerns about competition for power and water resources.

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

The AI infrastructure build-out is driving shortages of components like memory as manufacturers prioritize chip production that cashes in on the lucrative data center market, rather than those for everyday PCs and phones

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. The huge capex pledges add up to more than total cloud infrastructure services revenue in 2025, which reached $419 billion according to Synergy Research Group

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Investor Pressure Mounts Despite AI Dominance Strategy

Each company saw its stock price plummet as investors balked at the hundreds of billions being committed, with companies showing higher spends tending to drop more

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. Microsoft's share price fell about 10 percent after its recent results were announced, marking the second-biggest single-day decline in market value for any stock, as investors expected a bigger payoff

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Investor sentiment reflects concerns about free cash flow deterioration. Last year, the four biggest U.S. internet companies generated a combined $200 billion in free cash flow, down from $237 billion in 2024

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. Amazon is now looking at negative free cash flow of almost $17 billion in 2026 according to Morgan Stanley analysts, while Bank of America analysts see a deficit of $28 billion

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. The company filed with the SEC indicating it may seek to raise equity and debt as its buildout continues

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Google Demonstrates Strong Returns from Generative AI Investment

Google's latest quarterly report provided evidence that its internet empire is withstanding the AI shakeup. The company marked its third consecutive quarter of digital ad growth of more than 10% from the previous year, while posting more than 30% sales growth in its division that powers data centers for AI services

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. Alphabet's fourth-quarter profit rose 30% from the prior year to $34.5 billion, while revenue climbed 18% to $113.8 billion

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Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

"Search saw more usage than ever before, with AI continuing to drive an expansionary moment," said Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai

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. Google Cloud, which oversees the data centers behind many AI services, posted revenue of $17.7 billion, a 48% increase

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. Google is embedding more of its Gemini AI into its search engine, Gmail, and Chrome browser as it competes with OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity.

Cloud Market Growth Fuels Continued Investment

The cloud market itself continues growing at an impressive pace, running at about 30 percent year-on-year and marking a ninth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth

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. "GenAI has simply put the cloud market into overdrive," said Synergy Research Group chief analyst John Dinsdale. "AI-specific services account for much of the growth since 2022, but AI technology has also enhanced the broader portfolio of cloud services, driving revenue growth across the board"

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The big three clouds dominate with Amazon (AWS) holding 28 percent of the worldwide market in Q4 2025, Microsoft Azure at 21 percent, and Google Cloud at 14 percent

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. Among tier-two providers, CoreWeave is now generating more than $1.5 billion in quarterly cloud revenue and has joined the top ten cloud providers

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. The companies see the race to provide AI compute resources as the next winner-take-all or winner-takes-most market, and none is willing to lose

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