Marvell Technology stock surges as AI chip demand drives revenue forecast to $15 billion

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Marvell Technology's shares jumped over 11% after the chipmaker raised its fiscal 2028 revenue forecast to $15 billion, nearly 40% growth driven by surging demand for custom AI chips. The company's Q4 revenue hit $2.22 billion, beating estimates as Big Tech firms spend $630 billion on AI infrastructure this year.

Marvell Technology Beats Estimates on AI Chip Surge

Marvell Technology reported fourth-quarter revenue of $2.22 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase that exceeded Wall Street's expectations of $2.21 billion

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. The company's adjusted earnings per share reached $0.80, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $0.79

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. Net income nearly doubled to $396.1 million, up from $200.2 million in the year-ago period, demonstrating strong profitability as AI demand accelerates across enterprise clients

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. The chipmaker's stock soared more than 11% in early trading, potentially adding over $10 billion to its market value

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Record Sales Forecast Signals Multi-Year AI Infrastructure Boom

CEO Matt Murphy unveiled a dramatically upgraded sales forecast, projecting fiscal 2028 revenue to approach $15 billion, representing nearly 40% growth and towering over the analyst consensus estimate of $12.92 billion

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. The company also raised its fiscal 2027 revenue growth outlook to more than 30%, nearing $11 billion, well above the $9.5 billion mark projected at an investor event in September

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. Murphy emphasized that the company generated $8.195 billion in full-year revenue for fiscal 2026, rising 42% from the year before, driven by "robust AI demand"

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. He added that design wins in fiscal 2026 hit an all-time record, which the company expects will continue to fuel future revenue growth

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Source: SiliconANGLE

Source: SiliconANGLE

Data Center Business Powers Growth in Custom AI Processors

The data center segment, Marvell Technology's largest business unit, generated $1.65 billion in revenue, a 21% increase that matched analyst estimates of $1.64 billion

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. Murphy told analysts that the higher revenue forecast is "all being driven by our data center business" as tech giants continue pouring money into expanding their AI infrastructure

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. The company manufactures custom chips and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for hyperscalers seeking alternatives to Nvidia's general-purpose AI processors

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. Amazon Web Services is thought to be the biggest buyer of custom processors from Marvell, with the chipmaker playing a key role in designing the popular "Trainium" chips for artificial intelligence workloads

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Source: Reuters

Source: Reuters

Big Tech Spending Fuels $630 Billion AI Infrastructure Wave

Big Tech firms including Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta are expected to spend at least $630 billion to build AI infrastructure this year, lifting demand for chips, servers, and networking equipment from companies such as Marvell Technology

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. This massive capital outlay is boosting demand for Marvell's custom ASICs and high-speed interconnects that shuttle data between AI processors, memory, and servers, which President and COO Chris Koopmans said is "still growing massively"

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. Marvell and rival Broadcom help cloud-computing companies design custom chips tailored to their data-center workloads, a fast-growing business as hyperscalers seek alternatives to Nvidia

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. Broadcom recently projected over $100 billion in AI chip sales next year, signaling rapid share gains in the market dominated by Nvidia

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Strategic Acquisitions Position Marvell for AI Cluster Expansion

Marvell Technology has invested heavily in acquisitions to strengthen its position in the custom AI processors market. The company splurged $5.5 billion on networking startup Celestial AI, which designs optical interconnect technology to enable more rapid data center communications

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. Celestial's technology is critical for linking vast numbers of AI processors together so they can operate as giant clusters and power advanced large language models

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. Additionally, Marvell spent $550 million to acquire XConn Technologies Holdings, which manufactures high-speed networking switches that will likely be paired with Celestial's interconnects

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. Citigroup analysts noted that Marvell's focus on linking chips more closely within a single system could expand its role as cloud companies build larger AI clusters

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Outlook and Market Position Signal Accelerating Growth

For the first quarter, Marvell Technology expects revenue of around $2.40 billion, plus or minus 5%, above analysts' average estimate of $2.27 billion

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. Murphy stated that "we expect year-over-year revenue growth to accelerate each quarter in fiscal 2027, driven by continued strength in our data center business, with bookings continuing to grow at a record pace"

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. J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur told MarketWatch that the results have reassured investors that Marvell's lead custom chip program with AWS remains on track, and the company is also seeing strong demand for its optical digital signal processors, which convert electrical signals into light to enable low-latency, high-bandwidth data transmission in data centers

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. William Blair analysts wrote that they see Marvell as "well positioned to grab its fair share" of the AI infrastructure market, despite some concerns about its concentration of sales among a few large customers

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