AI Demand Drives RAM Prices to Record Highs as Memory Shortage Threatens Device Market in 2026

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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The AI infrastructure boom is creating a global RAM shortage that could reshape consumer electronics markets in 2026. IDC warns that smartphone prices may spike 5-10% for budget models, while the PC market faces a potential 9% contraction. Memory manufacturers are redirecting production from consumer devices to high-margin AI data center components, creating a supply crisis that analysts say could persist for years.

AI Infrastructure Boom Triggers Global Memory Crisis

The relentless expansion of AI data centers is creating a memory shortage that threatens to disrupt consumer electronics markets throughout 2026 and beyond. As companies like OpenAI, Google, Amazon, and Meta race to build AI infrastructure, their insatiable AI demand for DRAM and high-bandwidth memory is redirecting silicon wafer capacity away from consumer devices

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. The International Data Corporation (IDC) warns this isn't a typical boom-and-bust cycle but rather a strategic reallocation that could persist for years, fundamentally altering the economics of smartphones, PCs, and other consumer electronics

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Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

Memory manufacturers Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron are prioritizing high-margin enterprise components over consumer-grade memory, creating a supply crunch that has already pushed some server memory kits to astronomical prices. A 4TB DDR5 memory kit now costs $77,000, more than a Porsche 718 Cayman, while prices for 2TB configurations have surged 20% in less than a month

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. This diversion of chips to AI data centers represents an economically rational choice for manufacturers but creates severe downstream consequences for device makers and consumers.

Source: How-To Geek

Source: How-To Geek

Smartphone Price Increase Hits Budget Models Hardest

The global RAM shortage is poised to drive significant smartphone price increases in 2026, with budget devices bearing the brunt of the impact. IDC predicts that entry-level phones could see prices spike by at least 5-10%, as memory comprises 15-20% of material costs for cheaper handsets compared to 10-15% for premium models

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. Value-focused manufacturers like Xiaomi, Oppo, Realme, and TCL, which operate with thin margins, will have "no choice" but to pass increased costs to consumers, according to Nabila Popal, senior research director at IDC

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Source: PC Magazine

Source: PC Magazine

In moderate scenarios, average selling prices could rise 3-5%, while pessimistic forecasts suggest increases of 6-8%

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. This memory shortage has already altered IDC's 2026 predictions, swinging from a slight decline to a 2% increase in average phone prices. Despite potential unit shipment declines, the overall smartphone market is expected to reach a record high value of $578.9 billion due to higher prices

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. The crisis may also force manufacturers to reduce RAM configurations, with entry-level and mid-range devices potentially reverting to 4GB from the current standard of 8GB or more

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PC Market Decline Threatens Industry Recovery

The PC market faces even more severe disruption, with IDC warning of a potential 9% contraction in shipments during 2026 under pessimistic scenarios, while moderate forecasts project a 5% decline

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. This represents a dramatic revision from November's forecast of a 2.5% drop, as skyrocketing RAM pricing accelerated beyond initial projections. The timing is particularly problematic, as the memory crisis coincides with the Windows 10 end-of-life refresh cycle and the industry's push toward AI PCs, which should have driven growth rather than contraction

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Dell has already announced price increases of up to 30% for business customers, with Lenovo expected to follow in early 2026

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. HP is considering either adjusting prices or reducing memory in its laptops, while ASUS and Acer plan to pass costs to consumers. System integrators including MAINGEAR and CyberPowerPC have already raised prices on prebuilt desktop PCs

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. Higher PC average selling prices could rise 4-6% in moderate scenarios and 6-8% in pessimistic ones, with larger OEMs like Dell, HP, Lenovo, and ASUS better positioned to weather the storm than smaller regional vendors and white-box builders

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AI Chip Demand Creates Paradox for AI PCs

The AI infrastructure boom has created a bitter irony for the consumer technology industry. Just as vendors attempt to upsell consumers on AI PCs featuring neural processing units and enhanced capabilities, the economics of building these systems are deteriorating rapidly

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. Microsoft's Copilot+ requirements set a 16GB memory floor, with many premium designs targeting 32GB or more, but memory is precisely the component becoming most scarce and expensive. User enthusiasm for AI-branded systems has been muted, and frustration with forced integration of AI features in Windows 11 is increasingly visible, making higher prices look less like an upgrade opportunity and more like an unwanted tax

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The 8GB RAM threshold is particularly significant for smartphones, as it's considered the baseline requirement for running on-device generative AI features like Galaxy AI and Google Pixel photo capabilities

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. Premium flagship phones from Apple and Samsung are unlikely to receive RAM upgrades in 2026, with manufacturers scrapping plans for 24GB configurations and limiting top-tier handsets to 16GB, while Pro variants may revert to 12GB to protect margins

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. Apple and Samsung's large cash reserves and long-term supply agreements provide some insulation, allowing them to secure memory supply 12 to 24 months in advance, though they won't escape unscathed

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