US Drafts Sweeping Export Controls Requiring Global Approval for Nvidia and AMD AI Chips

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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The Trump administration has drafted regulations that would require U.S. government approval for AI chip shipments anywhere in the world. The proposed rules establish a tiered licensing system based on computing scale, with small batches undergoing simplified reviews while massive deployments of over 200,000 GPUs would require host governments to negotiate directly with the U.S. and commit to investments in American AI infrastructure.

Trump Administration Proposes Government Approval for AI Chips Worldwide

The Trump administration has drafted new export regulations that would require government approval for AI chips to be shipped anywhere outside the United States, marking a significant shift in how Washington controls the global semiconductor industry. According to Bloomberg, the proposed rules would give the U.S. Department of Commerce authority to approve virtually all exports of AI accelerators from companies like Nvidia and AMD, expanding restrictions that currently cover around 40 countries to a worldwide system

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. This represents the administration's most substantive step toward a global chip export strategy since scrapping President Joe Biden's AI Diffusion Rule last May, less than a week before it was set to take effect.

Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

Global Tiered Licensing System Scales with Computing Power

The new export regulations establish a tiered licensing system based on computing scale, creating different approval processes depending on the size of AI chip deployments. Shipments involving up to 1,000 Nvidia GB300 graphics processing units (GPUs) would pass through a simplified review and may qualify for limited exemptions, according to a document seen by Reuters

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. However, to qualify for an exemption, exporters would have to monitor the chips, and recipients would need to agree to software that prevents the chips from being linked to form larger clusters. Mid-scale deployments would require pre-clearance before seeking export licenses from the U.S. Department of Commerce, introducing compliance obligations that may include operational transparency, disclosure of business activities, and potential on-site inspections by U.S. authorities.

Source: Reuters

Source: Reuters

Massive AI Data Centers Face Intergovernmental Negotiations

For truly massive deployments exceeding 200,000 GB300 GPUs operated by a single company within one country, the host government would have to negotiate directly with the U.S. government. The U.S. would only approve such exports to allies that make stringent security guarantees and commit to matching investments in U.S. AI infrastructure, though the draft rule doesn't specify an investment ratio

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. For context, 200,000 GB300s is the number that NScale, a UK company specializing in renting AI chips to third parties, is planning to provide to Microsoft across four sites in the U.S. and Europe. This scale of deployment is comparable to clusters currently operated by AWS, Microsoft, Oracle, OpenAI, or xAI. The proposed policy would give the Trump administration power to allow or decline large-scale AI infrastructure buildouts globally, making it an extremely powerful tool that lets the U.S. government influence how global AI infrastructure develops.

Source: Tom's Hardware

Source: Tom's Hardware

Impact on Semiconductor Industry and Global AI Market Remains Uncertain

The sweeping export controls could significantly affect the semiconductor industry and the global AI market, depending on how officials implement the licensing requirements. If Washington approves chip sales speedily and with few strings attached, the global AI infrastructure buildout could continue with added paperwork . However, bureaucratic delays or drawn-out negotiations would complicate project planning. Last year, it took months after the U.S. announced a chip export deal with the United Arab Emirates for licenses to flow, contingent on the Gulf nation investing $1 in the U.S. for every dollar invested at home. A big unknown is how much money the U.S. would expect from countries like France or India, which have ambitions to build large data centers of 1 gigawatt or more.

Trade Restrictions Could Hurt U.S. Dominance in AI Accelerators

This oversight approach may end up hurting U.S. chip companies and the country's current dominance in the global AI market. If it becomes harder to source chips from the U.S., companies may increasingly turn to other sources, especially as chip companies outside the U.S. continue to develop more advanced chips

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. In Nvidia's case, export regulations already are causing damage—the semiconductor giant has not seen the return of its customers in China after nearly a year of uncertainty about whether they would keep access to the AI technology. Nvidia and AMD shares initially fell on the news but later regained ground, with Nvidia closing up 0.2% while AMD closed down 1.3%

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. The Bureau of Industry and Security, which is responsible for semiconductor export controls, along with Nvidia and AMD, did not respond to requests for comment. The Trump team's framework isn't finalized, as officials across federal agencies are currently providing input, and the draft could change substantially or be shelved for other priorities.

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