US drafts sweeping export controls requiring approval for Nvidia AI chips shipped worldwide

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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The Trump administration has drafted regulations requiring U.S. government approval for AI chip shipments anywhere in the world, establishing a tiered licensing system based on computing capacity. Large deployments exceeding 200,000 Nvidia GB300 GPUs would require host governments to invest in U.S. AI infrastructure and provide national security assurances, potentially making American AI hardware twice as expensive for foreign buyers.

Trump Administration Proposes Global Licensing System for AI Chips

The U.S. government has drafted sweeping export controls that would require approval from the U.S. Department of Commerce for virtually all AI chips shipped outside American borders, according to multiple reports

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. The proposed regulations would expand existing restrictions that currently cover around 40 countries into a worldwide licensing framework, giving the Donald Trump administration unprecedented control over whether other nations can build AI data centers and under what conditions. Companies like Nvidia and AMD would need government permission for exports to any destination, transforming Washington into the gatekeeper of the global AI industry.

Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

The Commerce Department confirmed it is working to formalize a new approach to AI hardware export rules, though it explicitly rejected returning to the AI Diffusion Rule from the Joe Biden era. "We will not. It was burdensome, overreaching, and disastrous," the department stated

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. However, experts suggest the new framework may prove even more restrictive than the criticized Biden-era policy it replaces.

Source: Axios

Source: Axios

Tiered Licensing System Based on Computing Capacity

The proposed regulations establish a multi-level structure tied directly to the scale of AI accelerators being purchased. Shipments of up to 1,000 Nvidia GB300 GPUs would undergo an expedited approval process with certain exemption opportunities

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. According to documents reviewed by Reuters, even these small installations could require a license unless exporters monitor the chips and recipients agree to software preventing the chips from being linked into larger chip clusters

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Medium-scale deployments would need pre-authorization from the Commerce Department before companies could even apply for export licenses. This tier introduces compliance obligations including operational transparency, disclosure of business activities, and potential on-site inspections by U.S. authorities

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. The review process would vary based on the size and scale of each potential purchase, with larger orders requiring corresponding governments to become involved

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Foreign Investments in U.S. Required for Massive Deployments

The most significant provisions target truly massive AI infrastructure projects. Planned clusters using 200,000 GB300 GPUs or more, operated by one entity in one country, would trigger direct intergovernmental negotiations with security guarantees and mandatory investments in U.S. AI infrastructure

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. For context, 200,000 GB300s represents the scale that UK-based NScale is planning to provide Microsoft across four sites in the U.S. and Europe, described as "one of the largest AI infrastructure contracts ever signed"

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Source: Tom's Hardware

Source: Tom's Hardware

Recent export licenses allowing Cerebras and Nvidia to supply hardware to the United Arab Emirates included a requirement that the Middle Eastern country invest one dollar in U.S. AI infrastructure for every dollar spent domestically

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. If similar terms were applied globally, this would effectively double the cost of AI hardware from Nvidia and AMD for companies in allied nations, potentially affecting countries like France and India with ambitions to build large data centers of 1 gigawatt or more.

Impact on Global AI Market and U.S. Chip Dominance

The draft regulations mark the Trump administration's most substantive step toward a global chip export strategy since rescinding Biden's approach in May 2025, less than a week before it was set to take effect

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. Trump officials have consistently stated they want the world to use American AI technology and have begun setting up initiatives to promote American AI exports, especially in the Global South

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However, this oversight approach carries significant risks for U.S. chip companies and America's current dominance in the global AI market. If sourcing chips from the U.S. becomes more difficult or expensive, companies may increasingly turn to alternative suppliers, particularly as chip manufacturers outside the U.S. continue developing more advanced products

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. Nvidia has already experienced this dynamic with China, where the semiconductor giant has not seen the return of customers after nearly a year of uncertainty about access to AI technology

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Whether the framework ultimately proves more or less restrictive than Biden's AI Diffusion Rule will depend entirely on how officials use the worldwide license requirements. Fast approvals with minimal conditions would allow projects to proceed with additional paperwork, while bureaucratic delays or drawn-out negotiations could severely disrupt planning for AI data centers globally

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. Another major uncertainty is how Trump may wield these controls in broader diplomatic negotiations, especially as he recalibrates tariff strategies with allied nations

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The proposed policy is not finalized, and officials across federal agencies are currently providing input. The draft could change substantially or be shelved for other priorities

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. The Bureau of Industry and Security, responsible for semiconductor export controls, along with Nvidia and AMD, have not responded to requests for comment on the proposed regulations.

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